由於市場預期 SEC 監管轉變，XRP ETF 批准幾率飆升至 70%

正如流行的基於加密貨幣的預測平台 Polymarket 所預測的那樣，XRP 的交易所交易基金 (ETF) 批准率已飆升至 70%。這一轉變是在 XRP 價格大幅上漲、近七年來首次觸及 3.39 美元後，人們越來越樂觀的情況下發生的。

Anticipation builds for XRP Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) approval, with Polymarket odds surging to 70%.

人們對 XRP 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 獲得批准的預期越來越高，Polymarket 的可能性飆升至 70%。

After a major price surge, hitting $3.39 for the first time in almost seven years, XRP has attracted increasing optimism regarding its ETF approval. This anticipation is particularly strong among investors and market analysts, following a recent record-breaking performance by XRP. As the cryptocurrency enjoyed a bullish wave, rising by more than 40% in just one week, its potential to secure approval for an ETF has gathered momentum.

在價格大幅上漲，近七年來首次觸及 3.39 美元後，XRP 因其 ETF 的批准而吸引了越來越多的樂觀情緒。在 XRP 最近破紀錄的表現之後，投資人和市場分析師的這種預期尤其強烈。隨著加密貨幣迎來一波看漲浪潮，在短短一周內上漲了 40% 以上，其獲得 ETF 批准的潛力已經增強。

According to predictions by JPMorgan, Solana and XRP ETFs could collectively see more than $14 billion in capital inflows by 2025. Among altcoin ETFs, these two are expected to draw the most attention, with XRP’s share of that amount estimated to be between $4 billion and $8 billion. This optimism is further fueled by the success of U.S. Bitcoin ETFs in 2024, which could pave the way for other digital assets to enter the ETF space.

根據摩根大通的預測，到2025 年，Solana 和XRP ETF 的資本流入總額可能會超過140 億美元。到40 億美元之間。 2024 年美國比特幣 ETF 的成功進一步推動了這種樂觀情緒，這可能為其他數位資產進入 ETF 領域鋪平道路。

Polymarket odds on the approval of XRP ETFs have jumped to 70%, increasing significantly from less than 50% just a week ago. This rise in odds demonstrates the heightened confidence within the cryptocurrency community, with many viewing the approval of XRP ETFs as an eventuality, rather than a distant dream.

Polymarket 批准 XRP ETF 的可能性已躍升至 70%，從一週前的不到 50% 大幅增加。這種可能性的上升表明加密貨幣社群的信心增強，許多人將 XRP ETF 的批准視為一種偶然，而不是一個遙遠的夢想。

As the anticipation grows, investors are optimistic that the remaining regulatory challenges will soon be overcome, bringing XRP ETFs closer to reality. However, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) continues to be the primary obstacle in the approval process. At present, there are four applications for XRP ETFs pending with the SEC: WisdomTree, Bitwise, Canary Capital, and 21Shares.

隨著預期的成長，投資人樂觀地認為剩餘的監管挑戰將很快被克服，使 XRP ETF 更接近現實。然而，美國證券交易委員會（SEC）仍然是審批過程中的主要障礙。目前，有四項 XRP ETF 申請正在向 SEC 等待：WisdomTree、Bitwise、Canary Capital 和 21Shares。

The main challenge facing these applications stems from the SEC’s stance on XRP, which it still considers a security. However, the tides may be turning, as there are indications that the regulatory environment could shift.

這些應用程式面臨的主要挑戰源於 SEC 對 XRP 的立場，它仍然認為 XRP 是一種證券。然而，潮流可能正在轉變，因為有跡象表明監管環境可能會改變。

With the upcoming inauguration of President-elect Trump, changes at the SEC are anticipated. Gary Gensler, the current SEC chair, a known opponent of Ripple and its XRP token, is expected to resign. This shift could lead to the reevaluation of XRP’s legal status, potentially dropping the long-standing lawsuit filed against Ripple. Legal experts and Ripple executives are hopeful that these developments will facilitate a more favorable environment for XRP ETF approval.

隨著當選總統川普即將就職，預計美國證券交易委員會將會改變。現任 SEC 主席加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 預計將辭職，他是 Ripple 及其 XRP 代幣的著名反對者。這一轉變可能會導致對 XRP 法律地位的重新評估，從而可能撤銷針對 Ripple 提起的長期訴訟。法律專家和 Ripple 高層希望這些進展將為 XRP ETF 的批准創造更有利的環境。

Ripple’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, has expressed confidence in this shift, emphasizing that the SEC’s ongoing appeal is based on previously unsuccessful arguments. He believes that the transition to pro-innovation regulation under the incoming administration will benefit Ripple and its projects, including the XRP ETF.

Ripple 執行長 Brad Garlinghouse 對這一轉變表示有信心，並強調 SEC 的持續上訴是基於先前不成功的論點。他認為，新政府向支持創新監管的過渡將使 Ripple 及其項目受益，包括 XRP ETF。

In conclusion, while the SEC remains a significant hurdle, the increasing optimism surrounding XRP and its potential for ETF approval is undeniable. The likelihood of an XRP ETF approval has strengthened, and with regulatory shifts on the horizon, it may not be long before the first XRP ETF is introduced. However, as of now, Litecoin is likely to be the first altcoin to secure an ETF approval in 2025, as its ETF application is already in motion.

總之，雖然 SEC 仍然是一個重大障礙，但不可否認的是，圍繞 XRP 及其獲得 ETF 批准的潛力的樂觀情緒日益增強。 XRP ETF 獲得批准的可能性有所增強，隨著監管變化的臨近，第一隻 XRP ETF 可能很快就會推出。然而，截至目前，萊特幣很可能成為第一個在 2025 年獲得 ETF 批准的山寨幣，因為其 ETF 申請已經在進行中。