XRP的$ 2.56坩堝：越野阻力，五年的NVT以及在市場動盪中$ 3.00的不確定途徑

XRP是Ripple的跨境支付解決方案的核心數字資產，發現自己陷入了不穩定的舞蹈中，阻力

The price of XRP, the digital asset at the heart of Ripple’s cross-border payment solutions, has been repeatedly rejected at the $2.56 level, a critical point of resistance that has stalled the token’s upward momentum.

XRP的價格是Ripple跨境支付解決方案核心的數字資產，已在2.56美元的水平上反复拒絕，這是阻力的關鍵點，使代幣的上升勢頭停滯不前。

As the month comes to a close, XRP’s attempts to break through $2.56 have been thwarted twice, leaving investors pondering the token’s immediate trajectory. The $3.00 mark, once within sight, now seems increasingly distant, especially with concerning on-chain indicators emerging.

隨著一個月的結束，XRP試圖通過2.56美元的挫敗嘗試了兩次，這使投資者思考了令牌的即時軌跡。 $ 3.00的大關一旦在視線內就越來越遙遠，尤其是在出現鏈上的指標時。

The Importance of the $2.56 Level

2.56美元的重要性

The $2.56 resistance level has become a crucial battleground, where bullish aspirations meet bearish realities. Each failed attempt to surpass this threshold serves to amplify its psychological weight.

2.56美元的抵抗水平已成為一個至關重要的戰場，在這個戰場上，看漲的願望符合看跌的現實。每個閾值都無法嘗試擴大其心理體重。

The inability to break through $2.56 not only stalls the token’s price ascent but also raises concerns about its underlying strength and the broader market sentiment surrounding it.

無法打破2.56美元的損失，不僅使代幣的價格上漲失速，而且引起了人們對其潛在的實力和周圍更廣泛的市場情緒的擔憂。

The optimism that accompanied XRP’s positive movements in recent weeks has been tempered by the stark reality of this stubborn resistance.

最近幾週XRP伴隨的積極運動的樂觀情緒已被這種頑固的抵抗的鮮明現實所抑制。

The $2.56 price point has become deeply ingrained in the collective consciousness of XRP investors, who are now left contemplating the implications of this technical factor.

2.56美元的價格點已經在XRP投資者的集體意識中深深地根深蒂固，XRP投資者現在正在考慮這一技術因素的含義。

Technical Analysis: A Crucial Point of Contention

技術分析：至關重要的爭論點

A glance at the4-hour chart reveals that XRP's price is currently hovering around $2.51. Despite touching as high as $2.56 on Friday, the bulls were ultimately unable to sustain the momentum and maintain gains above this level.

一瞥4小時的圖表表明，XRP的價格目前徘徊在2.51美元左右。儘管週五的收入高達2.56美元，但公牛隊最終仍無法維持這種勢頭，並保持超過這一水平的增長。

The rejection at $2.56 occurred twice this month, further highlighting the significance of this technical barrier.

拒絕為2.56美元，本月發生了兩次，進一步強調了這種技術障礙的重要性。

Moreover, the recent price action also saw a rejection at the Fib level of 0.382 at $2.55, indicating that the bears might be returning to exert more pressure.

此外，最近的價格行動還將FIB水平的拒絕為0.382，為2.55美元，這表明熊隊可能會恢復施加更大的壓力。

The inability to break through the $2.56 resistance might also be stalling the formation of a bullish Engulfing pattern, which could have signaled a reversal of the bearish trend.

無法打破2.56美元的抵抗力也可能導致看漲的吞噬模式的形成，這可能表明了看跌趨勢的逆轉。

However, with the price now falling below the lower SMA line and the Fib level of 0.2 at $2.5, the outlook appears bearish.

但是，由於價格現在低於較低的SMA線，而FIB水平為0.2美元，為2.5美元，Outlook似乎看跌。

Network Value to Transaction (NVT) Ratio Reaches a 5-Year High

網絡價值與交易（NVT）比率達到5年

Adding to the brewing concerns is the sharp rise in XRP’s Network Value to Transaction (NVT) Ratio, which has hit a five-year high, a level last seen in January 2020.

加上釀造問題的是，XRP網絡價值與交易（NVT）比率的急劇上升，該比率達到了五年，這是2020年1月的最後一個水平。

The NVT Ratio, which compares a cryptocurrency’s market capitalization to the volume of transactions conducted on its network, is a key indicator of on-chain value.

NVT比將加密貨幣的市值與網絡上進行的交易量進行了比較，是鏈價值的關鍵指標。

A high NVT Ratio can be a double-edged sword. While it may indicate bullish investor sentiment, it also signals a disconnect between market capitalization and actual network usage.

高NVT比率可以是雙刃劍。雖然這可能表明看漲投資者的情緒，但它也標誌著市值和實際網絡使用之間的斷開連接。

This disparity is a classic bear market or, in this case, a pre-bear market scenario, often signaling an overheated market.

這種差異是一個經典的熊市，或者在這種情況下，是一種前熊市的情況，通常表明市場過熱。

As the initial euphoria subsides and investors begin to question the inflated value, the stage is set for a price correction, especially with transaction activity remaining low. This imbalance could trigger a deeper decline in XRP’s price.

隨著最初的Euphoria消退，投資者開始質疑膨脹的價值，階段是為了進行價格糾正的，尤其是在交易活動較低的情況下。這種不平衡可能會導致XRP的價格更深地下降。

The implications of this inflated NVT are bearish, suggesting that the token’s price appreciation has been driven primarily by speculative fervor rather than genuine utility and adoption.

這種膨脹的NVT的含義是看跌，這表明令牌的價格讚賞主要是由投機性的熱情而不是真正的效用和採用驅動。

This disconnect between perceived value and actual usage is unsustainable in the long run.

從長遠來看，感知值和實際用法之間的這種斷開連接是不可持續的。

The market, in its inherent wisdom, tends to correct such imbalances. As the initial euphoria surrounding XRP cools, investors may begin to reassess its intrinsic value, leading to a potential sell-off that could exacerbate the token’s price decline.

市場本質上傾向於糾正這種失衡。隨著圍繞XRP冷卻的最初欣喜，投資者可能會開始重新評估其內在價值，從而導致潛在的拋售，這可能會加劇令牌價格下跌。

The fib level of 0.2 at $2.5 could serve as the next crucial support level for XRP. However, if the bears manage to break this support, the next support zone might be found at the Fib level of 0.1 at $2.4.

$ 2.5的FIB水平為0.2，可以用作XRP的下一個關鍵支持水平。但是，如果熊隊設法打破了這一支持，則可能在0.1的FIB水平上找到下一個支持區，為2.4美元。

The potential for further price decline exists, especially if the broader cryptocurrency market continues to be affected by macroeconomic factors and experiences a steeper downturn.

存在進一步價格下降的潛力，尤其是如果更廣泛的加密貨幣市場繼續受到宏觀經濟因素的影響，並且經歷了更陡峭的衰退。

This scenario could push XRP to reach the Fib level of 0.0 at $2.3 or even lower, at $2.2.

這種情況可能會推動XRP以$ 2.3甚至更低的價格達到0.0的FIB水平，$ 2.2。

However, if the bulls manage to regain control and break through the Fib level of 0.382 at $2.55, the next resistance zone might be encountered at the Fib level of 0.5 at $2.65.

但是，如果公牛設法以2.55美元的價格重新獲得控制和突破0.382的FIB水平，則下一個電阻區可能會在0.5的FIB水平下遇到，為2.65美元。

A move above this level could open the door for further gains towards the Fib level of 0.618 at $2.75.

超過此水平的舉動可以打開大門，以朝著0.618的FIB水平進一步增長，價格為2.75美元。

The final Fib level to keep an eye on is 0.8 at $2.86.

密切關注的最終FIB水平為0.8，$ 2.86。

The Importance of Caution and Further Analysis

謹慎和進一步分析的重要性

In light of the prevailing uncertainties, investors are advised to exercise prudence and caution. The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, and unexpected events

鑑於普遍的不確定性，建議投資者進行審慎和謹慎。加密貨幣市場仍然高度波動和意外的事件