XRP的$ 2.56坩埚：越野阻力，五年的NVT以及在市场动荡中$ 3.00的不确定途径

XRP是Ripple的跨境支付解决方案的核心数字资产，发现自己陷入了不稳定的舞蹈中，阻力

The price of XRP, the digital asset at the heart of Ripple’s cross-border payment solutions, has been repeatedly rejected at the $2.56 level, a critical point of resistance that has stalled the token’s upward momentum.

XRP的价格是Ripple跨境支付解决方案核心的数字资产，已在2.56美元的水平上反复拒绝，这是阻力的关键点，使代币的上升势头停滞不前。

As the month comes to a close, XRP’s attempts to break through $2.56 have been thwarted twice, leaving investors pondering the token’s immediate trajectory. The $3.00 mark, once within sight, now seems increasingly distant, especially with concerning on-chain indicators emerging.

随着一个月的结束，XRP试图通过2.56美元的挫败尝试了两次，这使投资者思考了令牌的即时轨迹。 $ 3.00的大关一旦在视线内就越来越遥远，尤其是在出现链上的指标时。

The Importance of the $2.56 Level

2.56美元的重要性

The $2.56 resistance level has become a crucial battleground, where bullish aspirations meet bearish realities. Each failed attempt to surpass this threshold serves to amplify its psychological weight.

2.56美元的抵抗水平已成为一个至关重要的战场，在这个战场上，看涨的愿望符合看跌的现实。每个阈值都无法尝试扩大其心理体重。

The inability to break through $2.56 not only stalls the token’s price ascent but also raises concerns about its underlying strength and the broader market sentiment surrounding it.

无法打破2.56美元的损失，不仅使代币的价格上涨失速，而且引起了人们对其潜在的实力和周围更广泛的市场情绪的担忧。

The optimism that accompanied XRP’s positive movements in recent weeks has been tempered by the stark reality of this stubborn resistance.

最近几周XRP伴随的积极运动的乐观情绪已被这种顽固的抵抗的鲜明现实所抑制。

The $2.56 price point has become deeply ingrained in the collective consciousness of XRP investors, who are now left contemplating the implications of this technical factor.

2.56美元的价格点已经在XRP投资者的集体意识中深深地根深蒂固，XRP投资者现在正在考虑这一技术因素的含义。

Technical Analysis: A Crucial Point of Contention

技术分析：至关重要的争论点

A glance at the4-hour chart reveals that XRP's price is currently hovering around $2.51. Despite touching as high as $2.56 on Friday, the bulls were ultimately unable to sustain the momentum and maintain gains above this level.

一瞥4小时的图表表明，XRP的价格目前徘徊在2.51美元左右。尽管周五的收入高达2.56美元，但公牛队最终仍无法维持这种势头，并保持超过这一水平的增长。

The rejection at $2.56 occurred twice this month, further highlighting the significance of this technical barrier.

拒绝为2.56美元，本月发生了两次，进一步强调了这种技术障碍的重要性。

Moreover, the recent price action also saw a rejection at the Fib level of 0.382 at $2.55, indicating that the bears might be returning to exert more pressure.

此外，最近的价格行动还将FIB水平的拒绝为0.382，为2.55美元，这表明熊队可能会恢复施加更大的压力。

The inability to break through the $2.56 resistance might also be stalling the formation of a bullish Engulfing pattern, which could have signaled a reversal of the bearish trend.

无法打破2.56美元的抵抗力也可能导致看涨的吞噬模式的形成，这可能表明了看跌趋势的逆转。

However, with the price now falling below the lower SMA line and the Fib level of 0.2 at $2.5, the outlook appears bearish.

但是，由于价格现在低于较低的SMA线，而FIB水平为0.2美元，为2.5美元，Outlook似乎看跌。

Network Value to Transaction (NVT) Ratio Reaches a 5-Year High

网络价值与交易（NVT）比率达到5年

Adding to the brewing concerns is the sharp rise in XRP’s Network Value to Transaction (NVT) Ratio, which has hit a five-year high, a level last seen in January 2020.

加上酿造问题的是，XRP网络价值与交易（NVT）比率的急剧上升，该比率达到了五年，这是2020年1月的最后一个水平。

The NVT Ratio, which compares a cryptocurrency’s market capitalization to the volume of transactions conducted on its network, is a key indicator of on-chain value.

NVT比将加密货币的市值与网络上进行的交易量进行了比较，是链价值的关键指标。

A high NVT Ratio can be a double-edged sword. While it may indicate bullish investor sentiment, it also signals a disconnect between market capitalization and actual network usage.

高NVT比率可以是双刃剑。虽然这可能表明看涨投资者的情绪，但它也标志着市值和实际网络使用之间的断开连接。

This disparity is a classic bear market or, in this case, a pre-bear market scenario, often signaling an overheated market.

这种差异是一个经典的熊市，或者在这种情况下，是一种前熊市的情况，通常表明市场过热。

As the initial euphoria subsides and investors begin to question the inflated value, the stage is set for a price correction, especially with transaction activity remaining low. This imbalance could trigger a deeper decline in XRP’s price.

随着最初的Euphoria消退，投资者开始质疑膨胀的价值，阶段是为了进行价格纠正的，尤其是在交易活动较低的情况下。这种不平衡可能会导致XRP的价格更深地下降。

The implications of this inflated NVT are bearish, suggesting that the token’s price appreciation has been driven primarily by speculative fervor rather than genuine utility and adoption.

这种膨胀的NVT的含义是看跌，这表明令牌的价格赞赏主要是由投机性的热情而不是真正的效用和采用驱动。

This disconnect between perceived value and actual usage is unsustainable in the long run.

从长远来看，感知值和实际用法之间的这种断开连接是不可持续的。

The market, in its inherent wisdom, tends to correct such imbalances. As the initial euphoria surrounding XRP cools, investors may begin to reassess its intrinsic value, leading to a potential sell-off that could exacerbate the token’s price decline.

市场本质上倾向于纠正这种失衡。随着围绕XRP冷却的最初欣喜，投资者可能会开始重新评估其内在价值，从而导致潜在的抛售，这可能会加剧令牌价格下跌。

The fib level of 0.2 at $2.5 could serve as the next crucial support level for XRP. However, if the bears manage to break this support, the next support zone might be found at the Fib level of 0.1 at $2.4.

$ 2.5的FIB水平为0.2，可以用作XRP的下一个关键支持水平。但是，如果熊队设法打破了这一支持，则可能在0.1的FIB水平上找到下一个支持区，为2.4美元。

The potential for further price decline exists, especially if the broader cryptocurrency market continues to be affected by macroeconomic factors and experiences a steeper downturn.

存在进一步价格下降的潜力，尤其是如果更广泛的加密货币市场继续受到宏观经济因素的影响，并且经历了更陡峭的衰退。

This scenario could push XRP to reach the Fib level of 0.0 at $2.3 or even lower, at $2.2.

这种情况可能会推动XRP以$ 2.3甚至更低的价格达到0.0的FIB水平，$ 2.2。

However, if the bulls manage to regain control and break through the Fib level of 0.382 at $2.55, the next resistance zone might be encountered at the Fib level of 0.5 at $2.65.

但是，如果公牛设法以2.55美元的价格重新获得控制和突破0.382的FIB水平，则下一个电阻区可能会在0.5的FIB水平下遇到，为2.65美元。

A move above this level could open the door for further gains towards the Fib level of 0.618 at $2.75.

超过此水平的举动可以打开大门，以朝着0.618的FIB水平进一步增长，价格为2.75美元。

The final Fib level to keep an eye on is 0.8 at $2.86.

密切关注的最终FIB水平为0.8，$ 2.86。

The Importance of Caution and Further Analysis

谨慎和进一步分析的重要性

In light of the prevailing uncertainties, investors are advised to exercise prudence and caution. The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, and unexpected events

鉴于普遍的不确定性，建议投资者进行审慎和谨慎。加密货币市场仍然高度波动和意外的事件