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After a period of strong cryptocurrency bull runs, trading since December 18 highlighted the persistent volatility in even the strongest bull runs.
經過一段強勁的加密貨幣牛市之後,12 月 18 日以來的交易凸顯了即使是最強勁的牛市也存在持續波動。
Despite the significant downturn that is, by press time on December 23, proving difficult to shake off, few investors and analysts believe that digital assets have topped this cycle and, indeed, most now look to the coming weeks and months for a renewed rally.
儘管截至12 月23 日發稿時,經濟嚴重下滑,難以擺脫,但很少有投資者和分析師相信數位資產已經突破了這一周期,事實上,大多數人現在都在期待未來幾周和幾個月的新一輪反彈。
Technical analysis (TA), as applied to Stellar (XLM) by the popular on-chain expert Ali Martinez, appears to back the mid and long-term optimism, and the token might, in fact, be poised for an imminent upswing.
受歡迎的鏈上專家 Ali Martinez 對 Stellar (XLM) 的技術分析 (TA) 似乎支持中長期樂觀情緒,事實上,該代幣可能即將上漲。
Why XLM is poised for a rally
為什麼 XLM 準備好反彈
Specifically, in a December 22 X post, Martinez explained that a technical analysis tool called TD Sequential is sending a buy signal for XLM, offering a chance for a rebound toward – and possibly beyond – the recent highs near $0.55.
具體來說,馬丁內斯在12 月22 日的帖子中解釋說,一種名為TD Sequential 的技術分析工具正在向XLM 發出買入信號,為反彈至(甚至可能超越)接近0.55 美元的近期高點提供了機會。
TD Sequential is used to gauge whether the current trend will persist or experience a reversal based on the historical performance of the asset.
TD Sequential 用於根據資產的歷史表現來衡量當前趨勢是否會持續或出現逆轉。
Martinez, however, added that there is a prerequisite for such a rally – a sustained holding above the critical support zone at $0.33. Fortunately for Stellar bulls, the token is trading somewhat comfortably above the level with XLM price today of $0.35977.
不過,馬丁內斯補充說,這種反彈有一個先決條件——持續保持在 0.33 美元的關鍵支撐區域之上。對於 Stellar 多頭來說幸運的是,該代幣的交易價格略高於今天的 XLM 價格 0.35977 美元。
Why an imminent XLM rally is not guaranteed
為什麼不能保證即將到來的 XLM 反彈
Still, it is worth pointing out that the sum of the many technical analysis tools and indicators is not yet decisively bullish on Stellar. For example, the relative strength index (RSI), despite being on the optimistic side, remains relatively neutral at 43.78.
不過,值得指出的是,眾多技術分析工具和指標的總和尚未完全看好Stellar。例如,相對強弱指數(RSI)儘管樂觀,但仍相對中性,為 43.78。
Some tools – such as the volume-weighted moving average (VWMA) and the Hull moving average – remain fixed on the ‘sell’ side.
一些工具——例如成交量加權移動平均線(VWMA)和赫爾移動平均線——仍然固定在「賣方」方面。
Ultimately, despite TD Sequential’s ‘buy’ flash, XLM's true test is yet to come as the token approaches its nearest resistance level near $0.38 – an uncertain prospect at press time as the last 24 hours of trading led to a 2.07% price decline.
最終,儘管TD Sequential 給了「買入」訊號,但XLM 的真正考驗尚未到來,因為該代幣接近0.38 美元附近的最近阻力位——截至發稿時,前景不確定,因為過去24 小時的交易導致價格下跌2.07%。
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