XLM 价格预测：为什么 Stellar (XLM) 准备上涨

After a period of strong cryptocurrency bull runs, trading since December 18 highlighted the persistent volatility in even the strongest bull runs.

经过一段强劲的加密货币牛市之后，12 月 18 日以来的交易凸显了即使是最强劲的牛市也存在持续波动。

Despite the significant downturn that is, by press time on December 23, proving difficult to shake off, few investors and analysts believe that digital assets have topped this cycle and, indeed, most now look to the coming weeks and months for a renewed rally.

尽管截至 12 月 23 日发稿时，经济严重下滑，难以摆脱，但很少有投资者和分析师相信数字资产已经突破了这一周期，事实上，大多数人现在都在期待未来几周和几个月的新一轮反弹。

Technical analysis (TA), as applied to Stellar (XLM) by the popular on-chain expert Ali Martinez, appears to back the mid and long-term optimism, and the token might, in fact, be poised for an imminent upswing.

受欢迎的链上专家 Ali Martinez 对 Stellar (XLM) 的技术分析 (TA) 似乎支持中长期乐观情绪，事实上，该代币可能即将上涨。

Why XLM is poised for a rally

为什么 XLM 准备好反弹

Specifically, in a December 22 X post, Martinez explained that a technical analysis tool called TD Sequential is sending a buy signal for XLM, offering a chance for a rebound toward – and possibly beyond – the recent highs near $0.55.

具体来说，马丁内斯在 12 月 22 日的帖子中解释说，一种名为 TD Sequential 的技术分析工具正在向 XLM 发出买入信号，为反弹至（甚至可能超越）接近 0.55 美元的近期高点提供了机会。

TD Sequential is used to gauge whether the current trend will persist or experience a reversal based on the historical performance of the asset.

TD Sequential 用于根据资产的历史表现来衡量当前趋势是否会持续或出现逆转。

Martinez, however, added that there is a prerequisite for such a rally – a sustained holding above the critical support zone at $0.33. Fortunately for Stellar bulls, the token is trading somewhat comfortably above the level with XLM price today of $0.35977.

不过，马丁内斯补充说，这种反弹有一个先决条件——持续保持在 0.33 美元的关键支撑区域之上。对于 Stellar 多头来说幸运的是，该代币的交易价格略高于今天的 XLM 价格 0.35977 美元。

Why an imminent XLM rally is not guaranteed

为什么不能保证即将到来的 XLM 反弹

Still, it is worth pointing out that the sum of the many technical analysis tools and indicators is not yet decisively bullish on Stellar. For example, the relative strength index (RSI), despite being on the optimistic side, remains relatively neutral at 43.78.

不过，值得指出的是，众多技术分析工具和指标的总和尚未完全看好Stellar。例如，相对强弱指数（RSI）尽管乐观，但仍相对中性，为 43.78。

Some tools – such as the volume-weighted moving average (VWMA) and the Hull moving average – remain fixed on the ‘sell’ side.

一些工具——例如成交量加权移动平均线（VWMA）和赫尔移动平均线——仍然固定在“卖方”方面。

Ultimately, despite TD Sequential’s ‘buy’ flash, XLM's true test is yet to come as the token approaches its nearest resistance level near $0.38 – an uncertain prospect at press time as the last 24 hours of trading led to a 2.07% price decline.

最终，尽管 TD Sequential 给出了“买入”信号，但 XLM 的真正考验尚未到来，因为该代币接近 0.38 美元附近的最近阻力位——截至发稿时，前景不确定，因为过去 24 小时的交易导致价格下跌 2.07%。