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加密貨幣新聞文章

Wyckoff模式點燃XRP Bull Case

2025/04/21 23:30

加密分析師圖表Guy(@ChartingGuy)於4月20日發佈到X,已將BitStamp上的每日XRP/美元圖表映射到教科書Wyckoff重新蓄積的示意圖上,並認為該模式現在已經足夠遠,以暗示該模式可以暗示夏季對夏季的標記,並可能超過3.70美元。

Crypto analyst Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy) has mapped the daily XRP/US Dollar chart on Bitstamp onto a textbook Wyckoff re-accumulation schematic.

加密分析師圖表Guy(@ChartingGuy)將BitStamp上的每日XRP/美元圖表映射到教科書Wyckoff重新蓄能原理圖上。

According to the analyst, the pattern is now far enough advanced to imply a summer markup toward— and potentially beyond— the $3.70 region.

根據分析師的說法,該模式現在已經足夠高,可以暗示夏季對$ 3.70的地區的夏季標記。

Charting Guy begins his analysis with the five-month base that began with preliminary supply (PSY) in late November. A vertical surge carried price into a $2.68 Buying Climax (BC) in early December, immediately followed by an Automatic Reaction (AR) that washed back to roughly $1.90, anchoring the lower boundary of what would become the Phase A trading range. A Secondary Test (ST) in mid-December revisited the $2.72 zone, completing Wyckoff’s initial “stop-action” sequence.

蓋伊(Charting Guy)開始了他的分析,從11月下旬的初步供應(PSY)開始的五個月基地開始了他的分析。 12月初,垂直激增的價格將其升至2.68美元的購買高潮(BC),隨後是自動反應(AR),將其衝回到大約1.90美元,錨定了將成為A階段A交易範圍的下邊界。 12月中旬的次要測試(ST)重新審視了$ 2.72的區域,完成了Wyckoff的初始“停止攻擊”序列。

Phase B unfolded through January: demand rebuilt, producing an Up-Thrust (UT) in Phase B that briefly pierced $3.40 in mid January before supply re-asserted itself. From that peak XRP traced a descending, low-angle channel—labelled the “Creek”—with progressively lower highs and lows into early April. Throughout this descent, the overlay shows the familiar saw-tooth of Wyckoff’s internal testing, suggesting weak-hand

B階段持續到1月:重建需求,在B期生產了一個高潮(UT),該階段在1月中旬短暫刺穿了3.40美元,然後再供應自身。 XRP從那個山峰中追踪了一個下降的低角度頻道(標籤為“小溪”),並逐漸降低高高和低點到4月初。在整個下降過程中,覆蓋層顯示了Wyckoff內部測試的熟悉鋸齒,表明手弱

On April 7 the market under-cut range support, knifing to about $1.61, and immediately snapped back: the classic Spring of Phase C. A shallow Test of the spring followed near $2.00, satisfying Wyckoff’s requirement for bullish confirmation. From that point the analyst’s projected path turns higher.

在4月7日,市場不足的範圍支持,算起約1.61美元,立即折回:C階段C的經典春季。春季的淺色測試接近2.00美元,滿足了Wyckoff對看漲確認的要求。從那時起,分析師的投影路徑變較高。

Phase D begins with what Wyckoff called Last Point of Support (LPS) between $2.35 and $2.55 in early May, followed by a steeper advance that drives through the February crest. This is followed by a Jump Across The Creek (JATC)—a decisive thrust through the descending channel top and horizontal resistance at roughly $2.70.

D階段從Wyckoff在5月初在2.35至2.55美元之間稱為2.35至2.55美元之間的最後一個支持點(LPS)開始,隨後越來越陡峭,驅動到2月的波峰。接下來是跨過小溪(JATC)的跳躍,這是通過下降通道頂部和水平阻力的決定性推力,大約為2.70美元。

The model then shows a price breakout above the mid-January high at $3.40 would constitute the Sign of Strength (SOS) around $3.40 in late May, completing the transition into Phase E. Afterwards, Charting Guy expects a second backing up into a first Last Point of Support (LPS) between $3.10 and $3.30 in mid-June, followed by an even steeper advance.

然後,該模型顯示,在1月中旬高於$ 3.40的價格突破將構成5月下旬約3.40美元左右的強度標誌(SOS),完成了向E期E的過渡,此後,Charting Guy預計將在Mid-Mid-June的第一個備份到3.10至3.30美元之間,將其備份到3.10至3.30美元之間。

In Phase E the schematic accelerates, taking XRP into the $3.70 area by early July—an objective that sits one tick above the $3.40 resistance band on the analyst’s price axis.

在E階段,示意圖加速,將XRP帶入7月初的3.70美元,這一目標位於分析師價格軸上的3.40美元阻力頻段以上。

With the spot rate at $2.12 at publication time, the roadmap implies a potential upside of close to 74% over the next two and a half months.

由於現貨利率在出版時間為2.12美元,路線圖意味著在接下來的兩個半月中,潛在的上升速度接近74%。

However, Charting Guy cautions that “this doesn’t mean up-only now—timing may be slightly off,” underscoring Wyckoff’s probabilistic nature.

但是,繪製蓋伊警告說:“這並不意味著現在就意味著 - 可能會有些關閉”,強調了Wyckoff的概率性質。

Nevertheless, the meticulous alignment of real-world price action with the classical re-accumulation phases—complete with labelled PSY, BC, AR, ST, UT, Spring, Test, LPS, JATC and SOS—adds weight to the bullish case. If the market respects those technical milestones, XRP could soon be working with prices not seen since the last cycle’s peaks.

然而,現實世界中的價格作用與經典的重新蓄能階段的細緻一致性與標記為PSY,BC,AR,ST,ST,UT,Spring,spring,test,LPS,LPS,JATC和SOS的結合在一起 - 使BLIGE降低了看漲案例。如果市場尊重這些技術里程碑,則XRP很快就會與自上一個週期高峰以來未見的價格合作。

At press time, XRP traded at $2.11.

發稿時,XRP的交易價格為2.11美元。

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