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加密货币新闻

Wyckoff模式点燃XRP Bull Case

2025/04/21 23:30

加密分析师图表Guy(@ChartingGuy)于4月20日发布到X,已将BitStamp上的每日XRP/美元图表映射到教科书Wyckoff重新蓄积的示意图上,并认为该模式现在已经足够远,以暗示该模式可以暗示夏季对夏季的标记,并可能超过3.70美元。

Crypto analyst Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy) has mapped the daily XRP/US Dollar chart on Bitstamp onto a textbook Wyckoff re-accumulation schematic.

加密分析师图表Guy(@ChartingGuy)将BitStamp上的每日XRP/美元图表映射到教科书Wyckoff重新蓄能原理图上。

According to the analyst, the pattern is now far enough advanced to imply a summer markup toward— and potentially beyond— the $3.70 region.

根据分析师的说法,该模式现在已经足够高,可以暗示夏季对$ 3.70的地区的夏季标记。

Charting Guy begins his analysis with the five-month base that began with preliminary supply (PSY) in late November. A vertical surge carried price into a $2.68 Buying Climax (BC) in early December, immediately followed by an Automatic Reaction (AR) that washed back to roughly $1.90, anchoring the lower boundary of what would become the Phase A trading range. A Secondary Test (ST) in mid-December revisited the $2.72 zone, completing Wyckoff’s initial “stop-action” sequence.

盖伊(Charting Guy)开始了他的分析,从11月下旬的初步供应(PSY)开始的五个月基地开始了他的分析。 12月初,垂直激增的价格将其升至2.68美元的购买高潮(BC),随后是自动反应(AR),将其冲回到大约1.90美元,锚定了将成为A阶段A交易范围的下边界。 12月中旬的次要测试(ST)重新审视了$ 2.72的区域,完成了Wyckoff的初始“停止攻击”序列。

Phase B unfolded through January: demand rebuilt, producing an Up-Thrust (UT) in Phase B that briefly pierced $3.40 in mid January before supply re-asserted itself. From that peak XRP traced a descending, low-angle channel—labelled the “Creek”—with progressively lower highs and lows into early April. Throughout this descent, the overlay shows the familiar saw-tooth of Wyckoff’s internal testing, suggesting weak-hand

B阶段持续到1月:重建需求,在B期生产了一个高潮(UT),该阶段在1月中旬短暂刺穿了3.40美元,然后再供应自身。 XRP从那个山峰中追踪了一个下降的低角度频道(标签为“小溪”),并逐渐降低高高和低点到4月初。在整个下降过程中,覆盖层显示了Wyckoff内部测试的熟悉锯齿,表明手弱

On April 7 the market under-cut range support, knifing to about $1.61, and immediately snapped back: the classic Spring of Phase C. A shallow Test of the spring followed near $2.00, satisfying Wyckoff’s requirement for bullish confirmation. From that point the analyst’s projected path turns higher.

在4月7日,市场不足的范围支持,算起约1.61美元,立即折回:C阶段C的经典春季。春季的浅色测试接近2.00美元,满足了Wyckoff对看涨确认的要求。从那时起,分析师的投影路径变较高。

Phase D begins with what Wyckoff called Last Point of Support (LPS) between $2.35 and $2.55 in early May, followed by a steeper advance that drives through the February crest. This is followed by a Jump Across The Creek (JATC)—a decisive thrust through the descending channel top and horizontal resistance at roughly $2.70.

D阶段从Wyckoff在5月初在2.35至2.55美元之间称为2.35至2.55美元之间的最后一个支持点(LPS)开始,随后越来越陡峭,驱动到2月的波峰。接下来是跨过小溪(JATC)的跳跃,这是通过下降通道顶部和水平阻力的决定性推力,大约为2.70美元。

The model then shows a price breakout above the mid-January high at $3.40 would constitute the Sign of Strength (SOS) around $3.40 in late May, completing the transition into Phase E. Afterwards, Charting Guy expects a second backing up into a first Last Point of Support (LPS) between $3.10 and $3.30 in mid-June, followed by an even steeper advance.

然后,该模型显示,在1月中旬高于$ 3.40的价格突破将构成5月下旬约3.40美元左右的强度标志(SOS),完成了向E期E的过渡,此后,Charting Guy预计将在Mid-Mid-June的第一个备份到3.10至3.30美元之间,将其备份到3.10至3.30美元之间。

In Phase E the schematic accelerates, taking XRP into the $3.70 area by early July—an objective that sits one tick above the $3.40 resistance band on the analyst’s price axis.

在E阶段,示意图加速,将XRP带入7月初的3.70美元,这一目标位于分析师价格轴上的3.40美元阻力频段以上。

With the spot rate at $2.12 at publication time, the roadmap implies a potential upside of close to 74% over the next two and a half months.

由于现货利率在出版时间为2.12美元,路线图意味着在接下来的两个半月中,潜在的上升速度接近74%。

However, Charting Guy cautions that “this doesn’t mean up-only now—timing may be slightly off,” underscoring Wyckoff’s probabilistic nature.

但是,绘制盖伊警告说:“这并不意味着现在就意味着 - 可能会有些关闭”,强调了Wyckoff的概率性质。

Nevertheless, the meticulous alignment of real-world price action with the classical re-accumulation phases—complete with labelled PSY, BC, AR, ST, UT, Spring, Test, LPS, JATC and SOS—adds weight to the bullish case. If the market respects those technical milestones, XRP could soon be working with prices not seen since the last cycle’s peaks.

然而,现实世界中的价格作用与经典的重新蓄能阶段的细致一致性与标记为PSY,BC,AR,ST,ST,UT,Spring,spring,test,LPS,LPS,JATC和SOS的结合在一起 - 使BLIGE降低了看涨案例。如果市场尊重这些技术里程碑,则XRP很快就会与自上一个周期高峰以来未见的价格合作。

At press time, XRP traded at $2.11.

发稿时,XRP的交易价格为2.11美元。

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