週末結束後，比特幣（BTC）在急劇上升後到達技術十字路口

在周末結束時急劇上升後，比特幣現在處於技術十字路口。儘管動力引發了人們對趨勢逆轉的希望，但基礎結構講述了一個更加謹慎的故事 - 交易者不應該忽略一個故事。

After a sharp rise near the end of the weekend, Bitcoin is now at a technical crossroads. While momentum sparked hopes of a trend reversal, the underlying structure tells a more cautious story — one that traders shouldn't ignore.

在周末結束時急劇上升後，比特幣現在處於技術十字路口。儘管動力引發了人們對趨勢逆轉的希望，但基礎結構講述了一個更加謹慎的故事 - 交易者不應該忽略一個故事。

Bitcoin (BTC) began the week with an impulsive move to the upside, breaking out of a short-term consolidation and sweeping liquidity above recent highs.

比特幣（BTC）開始了本週，衝動到上升空間，突破了短期合併和超過最近高點的流動性。

This breakout has generated attention, but in the broader context, Bitcoin has yet to shift the overall trend, which continues to reflect a bearish bias.

這種突破引起了人們的關注，但是在更廣泛的背景下，比特幣尚未改變整體趨勢，這繼續反映出看跌的偏見。

The recent swing high at $88,465 falls just short of breaking the previous high at $88,500 — a key level that defines the continuation of the downtrend.

最近的鞦韆高點為88,465美元，距離以前的高點為88,500美元，這是一個關鍵水平，定義了下降趨勢的延續。

Source: Ben Armstrong

資料來源：本·阿姆斯特朗（Ben Armstrong）

A legitimate break of trend would require Bitcoin to move above $88,500 with strength, ideally supported by a surge in volume and momentum. Without that, this recent move is better viewed as another lower high within the existing downtrend, rather than a signal of bullish continuation.

合法的趨勢中斷將需要比特幣以強度的強度移動到88,500美元以上，理想能力得到體積和動力的湧入。沒有這些，這一最近的舉動被更好地看作是在現有下降趨勢中的另一個較低的高位，而不是看漲的信號。

From a structural standpoint, this pattern of lower highs and lower lows has been consistent over recent weeks.

從結構的角度來看，這種較低高和較低低的模式在最近幾週內一直保持一致。

If the $88,465 level holds and price begins to roll over, it opens the door for a sweep of liquidity resting at $74,500 — a level that has historically attracted demand but could be vulnerable in this context.

如果$ 88,465的水平持有和價格開始推出，它將為佔地74,500美元的流動性打開，這一水平在歷史上吸引了需求，但在這種情況下可能很容易受到攻擊。

Below that, the next significant support comes in at $67,850, which would mark a fresh lower low and confirm the ongoing bearish cycle.

在此之下，下一個重大支持為67,850美元，這將標誌著新的低點並確認正在進行的看跌週期。

For traders, this setup calls for caution. While the upside move may appear strong on lower time frames, it lacks confirmation on higher time frame structures.

對於交易者而言，此設置需要謹慎。雖然上行移動在較低的時間範圍內可能看起來很強，但它缺乏在較高時間框架結構上的確認。

Unless Bitcoin can convincingly break and hold above $88,500, the safer bias remains bearish. Longs from current levels are riskier plays unless they’re tightly managed or supported by strong confirmation.

除非比特幣令人信服地打破並持有88,500美元以上，否則更安全的偏見仍然是看跌。當前水平的渴望是風險更高的戲劇，除非它們受到強有力確認的嚴格管理或支持。