華爾街的經濟衰退警報器正在吹噓 - 比特幣的BTC/USD Defiant Rally有投資者問：這是數字黃金2.0嗎？

這可能是數字黃金2.0，也可能是愚人的黃金，並具有更好的營銷。大銀行變成看跌，快速。衰退概率預測不僅僅是爬行 - 它們正在衝刺。

Wall Street's recession sirens are blaring — and as traditional markets brace for impact, Bitcoin's BTC/USD defiant rally has investors asking: is this digital gold 2.0 or just fool's gold with better marketing?

華爾街的經濟衰退警報器正在吹噓 - 隨著傳統市場的影響力，比特幣的BTC/USD Defiant Rally有投資者問：這是數字黃金2.0還是只是愚人的黃金，而有更好的營銷？

Recession probability forecasts aren't just creeping up — they're sprinting. In the span of days, JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM) has hiked its odds of a U.S. recession from 40% to 60%, S&P Global adjusted its forecast from 25% to 35%, Goldman Sachs raised its prediction from 20% to 35%, and HSBC Holdings plc (LON:HSBČ) adjusted its forecast from 25% to 40%.

衰退概率預測不僅僅是爬行 - 它們正在衝刺。在幾天的時間裡，摩根大通（JPMorgan Chase＆Co）（NYSE：JPM）將美國衰退的機率從40％提高到60％，標準普爾全球將其預測從25％調整到35％，高盛將其預測提高到20％，並從20％到35％，以及HSBC Holdings Plc（lon：lon：HSBCH）的預測25％。

"There can be no doubt that fears of a U.S. recession are intensifying," cautions James Toledano, COO of Unity Wallet. "Economic growth is forecast to stall at anywhere between 0.1% and 1%, and many believe that these risks are already priced into equities, but I am not so sure that we have seen the bottom yet."

“毫無疑問，對美國衰退的恐懼正在加劇，”團結錢包的首席運營官詹姆斯·托萊達諾（James Toledano）警告說。 “預計經濟增長會停滯在0.1％到1％之間，許多人認為這些風險已經定價為股票，但我不確定我們已經看到了底層。”

For investors looking to position themselves tactically around a recession scenario, the Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS) or the Direxion Daily Total Bond Market Bear 1X Shares (SAGG) could offer hedges if equities and bonds take a downturn. On the flip side, safe-haven sectors such as utilities and staples, accessible via the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) or the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP), may see relative outperformance.

對於希望在經濟衰退方案中戰術定位自己的投資者，Direxion Daily S＆P 500熊3X股（SPX）或Direxion Daily Daily Daily Bond Market Market Bear 1X股票（SAGG）如果股票和債券倒閉，則可以提供樹籬。另一方面，可以通過公用事業Select Sector SPDR Fund（XLU）或消費者主食選擇部門SPDR基金（XLP）訪問的安全部門，例如實用程序和主食，可能會看到相對超越的表現。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin has been displaying some serious swagger, rising by over 25% in the past six months and trading above the $86,000 mark. However, it has yet to break through that level.

同時，比特幣一直表現出嚴重的招搖，在過去六個月中增長了25％，交易高於86,000美元。但是，它尚未突破這個水平。

"Bitcoin's appeal as a decentralized asset is increasing, especially as traditional markets contend with volatility," notes Toledano. "While Trump's policies have introduced considerable macroeconomic uncertainty, they may paradoxically be fueling Bitcoin's recent ascent, although the risks remain elevated for all markets, including crypto."

托萊達諾指出：“比特幣作為分散資產的吸引力正在增加，尤其是在傳統市場爭奪波動率時。” “儘管特朗普的政策引入了相當大的宏觀經濟不確定性，但它們可能矛盾地助長了比特幣最近的上升，儘管包括加密貨幣在內的所有市場的風險仍然有所提高。”

Chart created using Benzinga Pro

使用Benzinga Pro創建的圖表

Still, if a deep recession hits, will retail investors continue to HODL, or will the thrill give way to fear?

儘管如此，如果陷入深刻的衰退，散戶投資者會繼續霍德（Hodl），還是刺激會讓您感到恐懼？

For those betting on crypto's momentum to continue, the CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI) or the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) offer entry points to ride the wave without having to hold digital wallets.

對於那些押注加密貨幣勢頭的人，Coinshares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF（WGMI）或Proshares比特幣策略ETF（BITO）提供了進入浪潮而無需持有數字錢包的入口點。

As recession odds escalate and markets flounder, Bitcoin stands out as a bold investment opportunity—but don't forget that volatility can cut both ways.

隨著經濟衰退的賠率升級，市場群眾比特幣脫穎而出，這是一個大膽的投資機會，但不要忘記，波動性可以削減兩種方式。

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