华尔街的经济衰退警报器正在吹嘘 - 比特币的BTC/USD Defiant Rally有投资者问：这是数字黄金2.0吗？

这可能是数字黄金2.0，也可能是愚人的黄金，并具有更好的营销。大银行变成看跌，快速。衰退概率预测不仅仅是爬行 - 它们正在冲刺。

Wall Street's recession sirens are blaring — and as traditional markets brace for impact, Bitcoin's BTC/USD defiant rally has investors asking: is this digital gold 2.0 or just fool's gold with better marketing?

华尔街的经济衰退警报器正在吹嘘 - 随着传统市场的影响力，比特币的BTC/USD Defiant Rally有投资者问：这是数字黄金2.0还是只是愚人的黄金，而有更好的营销？

Recession probability forecasts aren't just creeping up — they're sprinting. In the span of days, JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM) has hiked its odds of a U.S. recession from 40% to 60%, S&P Global adjusted its forecast from 25% to 35%, Goldman Sachs raised its prediction from 20% to 35%, and HSBC Holdings plc (LON:HSBČ) adjusted its forecast from 25% to 40%.

衰退概率预测不仅仅是爬行 - 它们正在冲刺。在几天的时间里，摩根大通（JPMorgan Chase＆Co）（NYSE：JPM）将美国衰退的几率从40％提高到60％，标准普尔全球将其预测从25％调整到35％，高盛将其预测提高到20％，并从20％到35％，以及HSBC Holdings Plc（lon：lon：HSBCH）的预测25％。

"There can be no doubt that fears of a U.S. recession are intensifying," cautions James Toledano, COO of Unity Wallet. "Economic growth is forecast to stall at anywhere between 0.1% and 1%, and many believe that these risks are already priced into equities, but I am not so sure that we have seen the bottom yet."

“毫无疑问，对美国衰退的恐惧正在加剧，”团结钱包的首席运营官詹姆斯·托莱达诺（James Toledano）警告说。 “预计经济增长会停滞在0.1％到1％之间，许多人认为这些风险已经定价为股票，但我不确定我们已经看到了底层。”

For investors looking to position themselves tactically around a recession scenario, the Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS) or the Direxion Daily Total Bond Market Bear 1X Shares (SAGG) could offer hedges if equities and bonds take a downturn. On the flip side, safe-haven sectors such as utilities and staples, accessible via the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) or the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP), may see relative outperformance.

对于希望在经济衰退方案中战术定位自己的投资者，Direxion Daily S＆P 500熊3X股（SPX）或Direxion Daily Daily Daily Bond Market Market Bear 1X股票（SAGG）如果股票和债券倒闭，则可以提供树篱。另一方面，可以通过公用事业Select Sector SPDR Fund（XLU）或消费者主食选择部门SPDR基金（XLP）访问的安全部门，例如实用程序和主食，可能会看到相对超越的表现。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin has been displaying some serious swagger, rising by over 25% in the past six months and trading above the $86,000 mark. However, it has yet to break through that level.

同时，比特币一直表现出严重的招摇，在过去六个月中增长了25％，交易高于86,000美元。但是，它尚未突破这个水平。

"Bitcoin's appeal as a decentralized asset is increasing, especially as traditional markets contend with volatility," notes Toledano. "While Trump's policies have introduced considerable macroeconomic uncertainty, they may paradoxically be fueling Bitcoin's recent ascent, although the risks remain elevated for all markets, including crypto."

托莱达诺指出：“比特币作为分散资产的吸引力正在增加，尤其是在传统市场争夺波动率时。” “尽管特朗普的政策引入了相当大的宏观经济不确定性，但它们可能矛盾地助长了比特币最近的上升，尽管包括加密货币在内的所有市场的风险仍然有所提高。”

Chart created using Benzinga Pro

使用Benzinga Pro创建的图表

Still, if a deep recession hits, will retail investors continue to HODL, or will the thrill give way to fear?

尽管如此，如果陷入深刻的衰退，散户投资者会继续霍德（Hodl），还是刺激会让您感到恐惧？

For those betting on crypto's momentum to continue, the CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI) or the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) offer entry points to ride the wave without having to hold digital wallets.

对于那些押注加密货币势头的人，Coinshares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF（WGMI）或Proshares比特币策略ETF（BITO）提供了进入浪潮而无需持有数字钱包的入口点。

As recession odds escalate and markets flounder, Bitcoin stands out as a bold investment opportunity—but don't forget that volatility can cut both ways.

随着经济衰退的赔率升级，市场群众比特币脱颖而出，这是一个大胆的投资机会，但不要忘记，波动性可以削减两种方式。

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