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等待川普重返辦公室,加密貨幣產業對總統承諾提供明確的監管指導方針感到興奮
As the cryptocurrency industry anxiously awaits Donald Trump's return to office, they were heartened by the president's promises to provide clear-cut regulatory guidelines that would help the sector grow while easing the volatility it’s become notorious for. Industry-friendly bankers ready to catch the rush of capital coming in from offshore accounts are hopeful that Trump’s crypto framework will create “a more secure environment for consumers,” as one banker told Bloomberg this weekend.
當加密貨幣行業焦急地等待唐納德·川普重返辦公室時,他們對總統承諾提供明確的監管指導方針感到鼓舞,這些指導方針將有助於該行業的發展,同時緩解其臭名昭著的波動性。正如一位銀行家本週末告訴彭博社的那樣,對行業友好的銀行家準備好迎接來自離岸賬戶的資本湧入,他們希望特朗普的加密框架將為消費者創造“一個更安全的環境” 。
But Donald Trump also proved this weekend that cryptocurrency still offers a great opportunity to make a quick buck the old-fashioned way — by finding a greater fool who will overpay. On Friday night, he made a surprise announcement on Truth Social launching a meme coin called $TRUMP. “It’s time to celebrate everything we stand for: WINNING,” he wrote. Also, making money. The drop of the coin surprised even those locked-in attendees at the Crypto Ball, where high-profile crypto industry players scrambled to buy $TRUMP as it shot up in value. On Friday night, the coin had a market cap of roughly $1 billion. By Sunday morning, the coin’s fully diluted value — that is, including all the coins held by Trump and other insiders — was more than $72 billion.
但唐納德·川普本週末也證明,加密貨幣仍然提供了一個很好的機會,可以透過傳統的方式快速賺錢——找到一個願意多付錢的大傻瓜。週五晚上,他在 Truth Social 上意外宣布推出一款名為 $TRUMP 的迷因幣。 「是時候慶祝我們所代表的一切了:勝利,」他寫道。還有就是賺錢。硬幣的下跌甚至讓加密舞會上那些被鎖定的與會者感到驚訝,隨著 $TRUMP 的價值飆升,備受矚目的加密行業參與者爭先恐後地購買它。週五晚上,該代幣的市值約為 10 億美元。截至週日早上,該代幣的完全稀釋價值(即包括川普和其他內部人士持有的所有代幣)已超過 720 億美元。
It was suddenly among the 20 or 25 most valuable cryptocurrencies in the world, despite having no underlying business or use case aside from signaling support for Trump. According to the $TRUMP website, 80 percent of the meme coin is owned by a company called CIC Digital — an affiliate of the Trump Organization — and its subsidiary, Fight Fight Fight, LLC. If they were able to cash out on their shares, Trump’s percentage of the shares would have made him one of the richest men in the world. For all his real estate ventures and scammy failed businesses and meme stocks and social media ventures and unrelated previous crypto ventures, 89 percent of Trump's net worth this weekend was derived from a meme coin.
儘管除了表示支持川普之外沒有任何潛在業務或用例,但它突然躋身世界上 20 或 25 種最有價值的加密貨幣之列。根據 $TRUMP 網站,80% 的 meme 幣由一家名為 CIC Digital 的公司(川普集團的附屬公司)及其子公司 Fight Fight Fight, LLC 擁有。如果他們能夠兌現自己的股份,川普所持股份的比例將使他成為世界上最富有的人之一。對於他所有的房地產企業、詐騙失敗的企業、模因股票、社交媒體企業以及之前無關的加密企業,川普本週末 89% 的淨資產來自模因硬幣。
Many others got rich quick, including Barstool Sports founder Dave Portnoy, who boasted of making $1 million in a day. (He cashed it out and bet it on the Buffalo Bills.) Portnoy was not a true believer in any longer term thesis for the $TRUMP coin, saying that he only bought it out of FOMOOSC — “a fear of missing out on shit coins,” referring to slang for a cryptocurrency that might be headed to zero.
其他許多人也迅速致富,其中包括 Barstool Sports 創辦人 Dave Portnoy,他吹噓自己一天賺了 100 萬美元。 (他兌現並押注於布法羅比爾隊。)波特諾伊並不是特朗普幣任何長期論點的真正信徒,他說他只從 FOMOOSC 購買它——“擔心錯過垃圾幣” ,”指的是可能走向零的加密貨幣的俚語。
Soon, there was another way to cash in on crypto’s Trump mania. On Sunday afternoon, Melania Trump announced she was dropping her own coin, $MELANIA, with a market cap of more than $5 billion. (Melania’s team has reserved a more humble 35 percent of the total number of coins in circulation, which would still net her more than a billion dollars on paper.) Unfortunately for $TRUMP buyers, the $MELANIA announcement undercut momentum their buying momentum, causing Trump’s coin quickly to lose billions in value. Portnoy, for one, couldn’t flip this for a win. He bought $500,000 worth, but ended up with a $200,000 loss, according to his X account. “Can’t win em all,” he said. “Shooters shoot.”
很快,還有另一種方式可以利用川普對加密貨幣的狂熱來獲利。週日下午,梅蘭妮亞川普宣布她將放棄自己的代幣 $MELANIA,該代幣的市值超過 50 億美元。 (梅蘭妮亞的團隊保留了流通中硬幣總數的35%,這仍然可以為她淨賺超過10 億美元。)不幸的是,對於$TRUMP 買家來說,$MELANIA 的聲明削弱了他們的購買動力,導致川普的硬幣很快就損失了數十億美元的價值。波特諾伊就是其中之一,他無法扭轉這一局面以取得勝利。根據他的 X 帳戶,他買了價值 50 萬美元的股票,但最終損失了 20 萬美元。 “無法贏得所有人,”他說。 “射手開槍。”
So can Trump actually cash out on all this speculation, which critics have called an extremely obvious and brazen conflict of interest? Like with his prior entries in the strange new world of speculative finance, that depends on how his political career is going. Just as Truth Social stock has become a way for investors to bet on (or potentially buy) the president, $TRUMP looks like a new way to wager on the president’s performance. Beginning in April , Trump-controlled affiliates will be able to starting selling off their share of coins — 800 million coins compared to the 200 million currently in circulation —with continuing unlocks for the next three years. How much Trump and other insiders ultimately pocket will depend on what happens with the price of the coin going forward. But if the administration doesn’t live up to its crypto-booster promises or tariffs tank the economy, it could be worth the same as a lot of other meme coins that have come before it — the fun that investors had along the way. In other words, virtually nothing.
那麼,川普真的能從所有這些被批評者稱為極其明顯和明目張膽的利益衝突的猜測中套現嗎?就像他之前進入投機金融這個奇怪的新世界一樣,這取決於他的政治生涯進展如何。正如 Truth Social 股票已成為投資者押注(或可能購買)總統的一種方式一樣,$TRUMP 看起來也是一種押注總統表現的新方式。從 4 月開始,川普控制的附屬公司將能夠開始出售他們的代幣份額——8 億枚代幣,而目前流通的代幣為 2 億枚——並在未來三年內繼續解鎖。川普和其他內部人士最終能賺多少錢將取決於代幣價格的未來走勢。但如果政府沒有兌現其加密貨幣助推器的承諾,或者關稅拖累了經濟,那麼它的價值可能會與之前出現的許多其他模因幣一樣——這是投資者一路走來的樂趣。換句話說,幾乎什麼都沒有。
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