Tron 在市場調整和經濟不確定性中撤退

在最近的市場調整中，Tron (TRX) 代幣經歷了橫盤整理，從 3 月高點 0.14470 美元回落至週一的 0.12 美元。這種下跌反映了其他主要加密貨幣的趨勢，並與美國股市更廣泛的市場低迷一致。拋售的關鍵催化劑是由於強勁的經濟數據和持續的通膨，聯準會近期降息的預期逐漸減弱。

Tron's Retreat Amidst Market Correction and Economic Uncertainties

Tron在市場調整和經濟不確定性中撤退

Tron's cryptocurrency, represented by the TRX token, has experienced a sideways movement in recent weeks following a gradual decline since March. As of Monday morning, TRX traded at $0.12, a slight recovery from its monthly low of $0.1102. However, it remains over 16% below its highest point this year.

以 TRX 代幣為代表的 Tron 加密貨幣自 3 月以來逐漸下跌，最近幾週經歷了橫盤走勢。截至週一上午，TRX 交易價格為 0.12 美元，較月低點 0.1102 美元略有回升。然而，仍比今年最高點低 16% 以上。

Factors Contributing to TRX's Retreat

導致TRX撤退的因素

Tron's price decline mirrors the broader cryptocurrency market, which has witnessed a pullback from its earlier surge. Other popular digital currencies such as Solana, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Avalanche have also experienced setbacks.

Tron 的價格下跌反映了更廣泛的加密貨幣市場，該市場已從先前的飆升中回落。其他流行的數位貨幣如 Solana、比特幣、以太坊和 Avalanche 也經歷了挫折。

Coinciding with the crypto market's downturn, American equities have also undergone a sharp reversal. Indices such as the Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500 have retreated in recent weeks.

與加密市場低迷同時發生的是，美國股市也出現了大幅逆轉。最近幾週，道瓊斯指數、納斯達克 100 指數和標準普爾 500 指數等指數都出現回落。

Economic Factors and Interest Rate Expectations

經濟因素和利率預期

A key factor driving the sell-off in both the crypto and equity markets is the increasing likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may not implement interest rate cuts as widely anticipated. Earlier predictions had estimated three to four rate cuts this year, commencing in March.

推動加密貨幣和股票市場拋售的一個關鍵因素是，Fed（Fed）可能不會像普遍預期的那樣實施降息的可能性越來越大。早些時候的預測預計今年將有三到四次降息，從三月開始。

Recent data, however, suggests a shift in the Fed's stance. A report released on Friday indicated that the economy added over 300,000 jobs, while the unemployment rate declined to 3.8%.

然而，最近的數據表明聯準會的立場發生了轉變。週五發布的一份報告顯示，經濟增加了超過30萬個就業崗位，而失業率則下降至3.8%。

Additionally, U.S. inflation has remained persistently elevated. Data expected to be published on Wednesday projects the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to have risen to 3.4% in March due to sustained increases in energy and services costs.

此外，美國通膨持續走高。預計週三公佈的數據預計，由於能源和服務成本持續上漲，3 月消費者物價指數 (CPI) 將升至 3.4%。

Analysts now believe the first rate cut will occur in July at the earliest, with some economists speculating that the Fed may not implement any cuts this year.

分析師目前認為首次降息最早將在7月發生，一些經濟學家猜測聯準會今年可能不會實施任何降息。

Tron's Network Performance

Tron 的網路效能

Despite the price decline, Tron's network has exhibited positive developments. Data indicates a total value locked (TVL) of over $9.2 billion, supported by protocols such as JustLend, JustStables, and stUSDT.

儘管價格下跌，波場網路仍呈現積極的發展。數據顯示，在 JustLend、JustStables 和 stUSDT 等協議的支持下，總鎖定價值 (TVL) 超過 92 億美元。

Network fees on the Tron blockchain have surpassed $0.14 million in the past 24 hours, accompanied by a surge in volume to $12.3 million. TokenTerminal data reveals that Tron's fees this year exceed $406 million, placing it second behind Ethereum in terms of network revenue.

在過去 24 小時內，Tron 區塊鏈上的網路費用已超過 14 萬美元，交易量激增至 1,230 萬美元。 TokenTerminal 數據顯示，Tron 今年的費用超過 4.06 億美元，在網路收入方面僅次於以太坊。

Ecosystem Growth Challenges

生態系統成長挑戰

A significant challenge for Tron is its relatively slow ecosystem growth. While the network has attracted developers, it has been outpaced by other blockchains such as Solana, which has emerged as a major player in areas like decentralized exchanges (DEXs) and meme coins.

Tron 面臨的一個重大挑戰是其生態系統成長相對緩慢。儘管該網路吸引了開發人員，但它的發展速度已被 Solana 等其他區塊鏈超越，Solana 已成為去中心化交易所 (DEX) 和 Meme 幣等領域的主要參與者。

Tron Price Forecast

波場價格預測

The TRX token price peaked at $0.14470 in March and has since retreated to $0.12. The decline of over 18% places it within a correction zone. Technical indicators, such as the 100-day and 50-day Weighted Moving Averages (WMAs), present a bearish crossover pattern.

TRX 代幣價格在 3 月達到高峰 0.14470 美元，此後回落至 0.12 美元。超過 18% 的跌幅使其處於修正區域。 100 天和 50 天加權移動平均線 (WMA) 等技術指標呈現看跌交叉模式。

Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen from an oversold level of 18 to 47 but has formed a bearish pennant pattern. These indicators suggest a bearish outlook for Tron's price, with the immediate target being its March low of $0.1100.

此外，相對強弱指數（RSI）已從超賣水準18升至47，但已形成看跌三角旗模式。這些指標顯示波場價格前景看跌，近期目標是 3 月低點 0.1100 美元。