交易員解釋山寨幣季節如何開始

據一位加密貨幣交易員稱，在蓬勃發展的山寨幣季節開始之前，山寨幣的總市值需要從目前的水平增加約 16%。

A crypto trader has pinpointed a key metric that needs to be breached for the altcoin season to start. According to the trader, the total market capitalization of altcoins should increase by around 16% from its current level. Otherwise, volatility will continue during this period.

一位加密貨幣交易員已經確定了山寨幣季節開始時需要突破的關鍵指標。據該交易員稱，山寨幣的總市值應比目前水準增加 16% 左右。否則，在此期間波動將持續。

The trader is specifically monitoring the TOTAL3 index of cryptocurrencies with total market capitalization. According to the trader, this index should be breaking the record high of $1.13 trillion. Then it should start price discovery.

交易者專門監控加密貨幣總市值的 TOTAL3 指數。據該交易員稱，該指數應會突破 1.13 兆美元的歷史新高。然後它應該開始價格發現。

Meanwhile, the analyst notes that investor interest is shifting towards cryptos like PENGU coin. Here are the details.

同時，分析師指出，投資者的興趣正在轉向企鵝幣等加密貨幣。以下是詳細資訊。

Trader says what it takes for altcoin euphoria

交易者講述山寨幣的欣快感需要什麼

According to the trader, the total market capitalization of altcoins needs to increase by around 16% from its current level before the exuberant altcoin season kicks off. Until then, volatility will continue.

據該交易員稱，在山寨幣旺季開始之前，山寨幣的總市值需要比目前水準增加 16% 左右。在那之前，波動將持續下去。

In an X post on December 28, anonymous crypto trader Daan Crypto Trades pointed out. He pointed to TOTAL3, the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies except Bitcoin and Ether. He stated that this metric should surpass the all-time high of $1.13 trillion in 2021. Then the “euphoria” or “mania” (euphoria) phase should begin as it enters price discovery, he said.

匿名加密貨幣交易員 Daan Crypto Trades 在 12 月 28 日的 X 貼文中指出。他指出 TOTAL3，即除比特幣和以太幣之外的所有加密貨幣的總市值。他表示，這項指標應該會在 2021 年超過 1.13 兆美元的歷史新高。

According to TradingView data, TOTAL3 is currently at $962.78 billion. That’s up about 91.45% since January 1. According to Daan, trading will be volatile as long as TOTAL3 is between $840 billion and $1.1 trillion. He said he would be “a bit more cautious” if TOTAL3 falls below $800 billion.

根據 TradingView 數據，TOTAL3 目前為 9,627.8 億美元。自 1 月 1 日以來，這一數字已上漲約 91.45%。他表示，如果 TOTAL3 跌破 8,000 億美元，他會「更加謹慎」。

Some analysts believe the overall crypto market has become more volatile as traders take a shorter-term view than in previous years. In an X post on December 28, Syncracy Capital co-founder Daniel Cheung said

一些分析師認為，由於交易者的目光比前幾年更短，整個加密貨幣市場變得更加波動。 Syncracy Capital 聯合創始人 Daniel Cheung 在 12 月 28 日的 X 貼文中表示

Everyone has suddenly decided this cycle that it’s George Soros and is constantly watching hourly charts to time entry/exit and play with leverage. That’s why cryptocurrencies haven’t seen breakouts as fast as previous cycles.

每個人都突然決定這個週期是喬治索羅斯，並且不斷地觀察每小時圖表來確定入場/出場時間並利用槓桿。這就是為什麼加密貨幣沒有像之前的周期那樣快速突破。

Investors are starting to return to altcoins like PENGU coin

投資者開始回歸 Pengu 幣等山寨幣

According to CoinMarketCap data, the top three gainers among the top 100 cryptocurrencies over the past seven days were Bitget Token (BGB), up 80.65%, Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL), up 42.30% and Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), up 31.63%.

根據CoinMarketCap數據，過去7天前100名加密貨幣中漲幅居前三位的是Bitget Token（BGB），上漲80.65％，Virtuals Protocol（VIRTUAL）上漲42.30％，Pudgy Penguins（PENGU）上漲31.63％。

Meanwhile, with Bitcoin’s dominance soaring to almost 60% amid a price pause in the last few days of 2024, investors’ growing belief is that it may be time to shift their accumulation strategies towards altcoins. Dyme, a pseudonymous crypto trader, wrote in an X post on December 27th

與此同時，隨著 2024 年最後幾天價格暫停，比特幣的主導地位飆升至近 60%，投資者越來越相信，現在可能是時候將其增持策略轉向山寨幣了。 Dyme，一位化名的加密貨幣交易員，在 12 月 27 日的 X 貼文中寫道

Altcoins, at this point, offer a much more optimal R/R [Risk/Reward] profile than Bitcoin. The time to DCA Bitcoin has been shelved for another 1.5+ years.

在這一點上，山寨幣提供了比比特幣更優化的 R/R [風險/回報] 特徵。 DCA 比特幣的時間又被擱置了 1.5 年以上。

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