交易员解释山寨币季节如何开始

据一位加密货币交易员称，在蓬勃发展的山寨币季节开始之前，山寨币的总市值需要从目前的水平增加约 16%。

A crypto trader has pinpointed a key metric that needs to be breached for the altcoin season to start. According to the trader, the total market capitalization of altcoins should increase by around 16% from its current level. Otherwise, volatility will continue during this period.

一位加密货币交易员已经确定了山寨币季节开始时需要突破的一个关键指标。据该交易员称，山寨币的总市值应比目前水平增加 16% 左右。否则，在此期间波动将持续。

The trader is specifically monitoring the TOTAL3 index of cryptocurrencies with total market capitalization. According to the trader, this index should be breaking the record high of $1.13 trillion. Then it should start price discovery.

交易者专门监控加密货币总市值的 TOTAL3 指数。据该交易员称，该指数应会突破 1.13 万亿美元的历史新高。然后它应该开始价格发现。

Meanwhile, the analyst notes that investor interest is shifting towards cryptos like PENGU coin. Here are the details.

与此同时，分析师指出，投资者的兴趣正在转向企鹅币等加密货币。以下是详细信息。

Trader says what it takes for altcoin euphoria

交易员讲述山寨币的欣快感需要什么

According to the trader, the total market capitalization of altcoins needs to increase by around 16% from its current level before the exuberant altcoin season kicks off. Until then, volatility will continue.

据该交易员称，在山寨币旺季开始之前，山寨币的总市值需要比当前水平增加 16% 左右。在那之前，波动将持续下去。

In an X post on December 28, anonymous crypto trader Daan Crypto Trades pointed out. He pointed to TOTAL3, the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies except Bitcoin and Ether. He stated that this metric should surpass the all-time high of $1.13 trillion in 2021. Then the “euphoria” or “mania” (euphoria) phase should begin as it enters price discovery, he said.

匿名加密货币交易员 Daan Crypto Trades 在 12 月 28 日的 X 帖子中指出。他指出 TOTAL3，即除比特币和以太币之外的所有加密货币的总市值。他表示，这一指标应该会在 2021 年超过 1.13 万亿美元的历史新高。他说，然后当进入价格发现时，“欣快”或“狂热”（欣快）阶段就会开始。

According to TradingView data, TOTAL3 is currently at $962.78 billion. That’s up about 91.45% since January 1. According to Daan, trading will be volatile as long as TOTAL3 is between $840 billion and $1.1 trillion. He said he would be “a bit more cautious” if TOTAL3 falls below $800 billion.

根据 TradingView 数据，TOTAL3 目前为 9627.8 亿美元。自 1 月 1 日以来，这一数字已上涨约 91.45%。 Daan 表示，只要 TOTAL3 在 8400 亿美元至 1.1 万亿美元之间，交易就会波动。他表示，如果 TOTAL3 跌破 8000 亿美元，他会“更加谨慎”。

Some analysts believe the overall crypto market has become more volatile as traders take a shorter-term view than in previous years. In an X post on December 28, Syncracy Capital co-founder Daniel Cheung said

一些分析师认为，由于交易者的目光比前几年更短，整个加密货币市场变得更加波动。 Syncracy Capital 联合创始人 Daniel Cheung 在 12 月 28 日的 X 帖子中表示

Everyone has suddenly decided this cycle that it’s George Soros and is constantly watching hourly charts to time entry/exit and play with leverage. That’s why cryptocurrencies haven’t seen breakouts as fast as previous cycles.

每个人都突然决定这个周期是乔治索罗斯，并且不断地观察每小时图表来确定入场/出场时间并利用杠杆。这就是为什么加密货币没有像之前的周期那样快速突破。

Investors are starting to return to altcoins like PENGU coin

投资者开始回归 Pengu 币等山寨币

According to CoinMarketCap data, the top three gainers among the top 100 cryptocurrencies over the past seven days were Bitget Token (BGB), up 80.65%, Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL), up 42.30% and Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), up 31.63%.

根据CoinMarketCap数据，过去7天前100名加密货币中涨幅居前三位的是Bitget Token（BGB），上涨80.65％，Virtuals Protocol（VIRTUAL）上涨42.30％，Pudgy Penguins（PENGU）上涨31.63％。

Meanwhile, with Bitcoin’s dominance soaring to almost 60% amid a price pause in the last few days of 2024, investors’ growing belief is that it may be time to shift their accumulation strategies towards altcoins. Dyme, a pseudonymous crypto trader, wrote in an X post on December 27th

与此同时，随着 2024 年最后几天价格暂停，比特币的主导地位飙升至近 60%，投资者越来越相信，现在可能是时候将其增持策略转向山寨币了。 Dyme，一位化名的加密货币交易员，在 12 月 27 日的 X 帖子中写道

Altcoins, at this point, offer a much more optimal R/R [Risk/Reward] profile than Bitcoin. The time to DCA Bitcoin has been shelved for another 1.5+ years.

在这一点上，山寨币提供了比比特币更优化的 R/R [风险/回报] 特征。 DCA 比特币的时间又被搁置了 1.5 年以上。

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