儘管市場疲軟

儘管最近24小時下降了2.15％，但噸幣（噸）的價格顯示了恢復的跡象，這暗示了潛在的集會。

Toncoin (TON) price hints at a potential recovery rally after marking a 2.15% loss over the last 24 hours of trade. The token trades at $4.84, amassing a total market valuation of $12 billion. While the asset’s price action suggests a possible bullish breakout, a surge in exchange supply might challenge its upward momentum.

Toncoin（TON）的價格暗示了在過去24小時的交易中損失2.15％後的潛在恢復集會。令牌交易價格為4.84美元，積累了120億美元的總市場估值。儘管資產的價格行動表明可能是看漲的突破，但交換供應的激增可能會挑戰其向上的勢頭。

Toncoin’s Bullish Reversal Signals Strength Amid Market Weakness

在市場弱點的情況下，噸幣的看漲逆轉信號

A glance at Toncoin’s daily chart reveals multiple bullish reversal patterns, hinting at a potential breakout. The token has formed a falling wedge pattern, a historically bullish structure, as price action converges toward a narrowing range. Currently, TON tests critical support at $4.67–$4.77, an area that has held firm over the past few months.

一瞥噸幣的每日圖表揭示了多種看漲的逆轉模式，暗示了潛在的突破。隨著價格動作趨向於狹窄範圍，代幣形成了一種掉落的楔形圖案，這是歷史上看漲的結構。目前，TON測試的關鍵支持為4.67-4.77美元，該地區在過去幾個月中一直保持公司。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 37.64, indicating oversold conditions. A slight bullish divergence suggests that downward momentum is losing steam, increasing the possibility of a reversal. The price has also respected the Fib retracement zone, with the 0% Fib level at $4.43 acting as the ultimate support, while the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $6.78 remains a key upside target.

相對強度指數（RSI）位於37.64，表明條件過多。略微看漲的分歧表明下降動力正在失去蒸汽，增加了逆轉的可能性。價格還尊重FIB回撤區，0％FIB水平為4.43美元，是最終支持，而0.618 FibonAcci水平為6.78美元仍然是一個關鍵的上升目標。

A breakout from the falling wedge would require a move above the descending trendline near $5.00. This level coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, making it a critical threshold. If TON clears this resistance, bulls could push toward $5.72 and further extend gains to $6.78–$6.81, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.

從下降的楔形物中進行的突破將需要在$ 5.00的下降趨勢線上移動。該水平與23.6％的斐波那契反回試，使其成為關鍵的閾值。如果噸清除這種抵抗力，公牛可以向5.72美元傾斜，並將收益進一步提高到6.78-6.81美元，與1.618 fibonacci擴展一致。

Failure to hold the $4.67 support could invalidate the bullish thesis, potentially exposing Toncoin to a retest of the psychological $4.43 zone. However, as long as buyers defend the wedge’s lower boundary, the probability of an upside breakout remains intact.

如果不持有4.67美元的支持可能會使看漲論文無效，從而將toncoin暴露於心理$ 4.43區域的重新測試。但是，只要買家捍衛楔形的下邊界，上行突破的可能性仍然完好無損。

Exchange Inflows Raise Concerns

交換流入引起關注

Despite bullish technical signals, on-chain data suggests rising selling pressure. Independent analyst Ali Martinez highlighted an influx of 240,000 TON tokens into exchanges over the past week, based on data from Santiment. Such inflows often indicate potential profit-taking, which could limit upward momentum.

儘管看漲了技術信號，但鏈上的數據表明銷售壓力增加。獨立的分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）根據Santiment的數據，在過去一周中強調了240,000噸代幣進入交流。這樣的流入通常表明潛在的利潤，這可能會限制向上的動力。

A breach of the $4.77 support level could accelerate losses, pushing TON toward $4.60 or even the $4.00 psychological mark. This scenario would invalidate the bullish outlook, exposing the token to further downside risks.

違反$ 4.77的支持水平可能會加速損失，將噸推向4.60美元甚至4.00美元的心理標記。這種情況將使看漲的前景無效，使令牌面臨進一步的下行風險。

Can Toncoin Sustain Its Bullish Trend?

托幣可以維持其看漲趨勢嗎？

Toncoin faces a critical test as supply pressure increases while technical indicators favor a rally. The in-and-out-of-the-money-around-price (IOMAP) metric from IntoTheBlock highlights resistance between $4.87 and $5.02, where 665.47 million TON tokens are concentrated.

隨著供應壓力的增加，Toncoin面臨著重要的測試，而技術指標有利於集會。來自Intotheblock的貨幣貨幣價格價格（IOMAP）指標突出顯示了4.87至5.02美元之間的抵抗力，其中6.6547億噸代幣集中在這裡。

However, the support zone between $4.72 and $4.87 holds nearly 17 million TON tokens, providing a safety net for buyers. If demand outweighs supply, TON could continue its ascent toward the projected targets.

但是，支撐區在4.72美元至4.87美元之間的持有近1700萬噸令牌，為買家提供了安全網。如果需求大於供應，那麼TON可能會繼續朝預計的目標上升。