尽管市场疲软

尽管最近24小时下降了2.15％，但吨币（吨）的价格显示了恢复的迹象，这暗示了潜在的集会。

Toncoin (TON) price hints at a potential recovery rally after marking a 2.15% loss over the last 24 hours of trade. The token trades at $4.84, amassing a total market valuation of $12 billion. While the asset’s price action suggests a possible bullish breakout, a surge in exchange supply might challenge its upward momentum.

Toncoin（TON）的价格暗示了在过去24小时的交易中损失2.15％后的潜在恢复集会。令牌交易价格为4.84美元，积累了120亿美元的总市场估值。尽管资产的价格行动表明可能是看涨的突破，但交换供应的激增可能会挑战其向上的势头。

Toncoin’s Bullish Reversal Signals Strength Amid Market Weakness

在市场弱点的情况下，吨币的看涨逆转信号

A glance at Toncoin’s daily chart reveals multiple bullish reversal patterns, hinting at a potential breakout. The token has formed a falling wedge pattern, a historically bullish structure, as price action converges toward a narrowing range. Currently, TON tests critical support at $4.67–$4.77, an area that has held firm over the past few months.

一瞥吨币的每日图表揭示了多种看涨的逆转模式，暗示了潜在的突破。随着价格动作趋向于狭窄范围，代币形成了一种掉落的楔形图案，这是历史上看涨的结构。目前，TON测试的关键支持为4.67-4.77美元，该地区在过去几个月中一直保持公司。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 37.64, indicating oversold conditions. A slight bullish divergence suggests that downward momentum is losing steam, increasing the possibility of a reversal. The price has also respected the Fib retracement zone, with the 0% Fib level at $4.43 acting as the ultimate support, while the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $6.78 remains a key upside target.

相对强度指数（RSI）位于37.64，表明条件过多。略微看涨的分歧表明下降动力正在失去蒸汽，增加了逆转的可能性。价格还尊重FIB回撤区，0％FIB水平为4.43美元，是最终支持，而0.618 FibonAcci水平为6.78美元仍然是一个关键的上升目标。

A breakout from the falling wedge would require a move above the descending trendline near $5.00. This level coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, making it a critical threshold. If TON clears this resistance, bulls could push toward $5.72 and further extend gains to $6.78–$6.81, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.

从下降的楔形物中进行的突破将需要在$ 5.00的下降趋势线上移动。该水平与23.6％的斐波那契反回试，使其成为关键的阈值。如果吨清除这种抵抗力，公牛可以向5.72美元倾斜，并将收益进一步提高到6.78-6.81美元，与1.618 fibonacci扩展一致。

Failure to hold the $4.67 support could invalidate the bullish thesis, potentially exposing Toncoin to a retest of the psychological $4.43 zone. However, as long as buyers defend the wedge’s lower boundary, the probability of an upside breakout remains intact.

如果不持有4.67美元的支持可能会使看涨论文无效，从而将toncoin暴露于心理$ 4.43区域的重新测试。但是，只要买家捍卫楔形的下边界，上行突破的可能性仍然完好无损。

Exchange Inflows Raise Concerns

交换流入引起关注

Despite bullish technical signals, on-chain data suggests rising selling pressure. Independent analyst Ali Martinez highlighted an influx of 240,000 TON tokens into exchanges over the past week, based on data from Santiment. Such inflows often indicate potential profit-taking, which could limit upward momentum.

尽管看涨了技术信号，但链上的数据表明销售压力增加。独立的分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）根据Santiment的数据，在过去一周中强调了240,000吨代币进入交流。这样的流入通常表明潜在的利润，这可能会限制向上的动力。

A breach of the $4.77 support level could accelerate losses, pushing TON toward $4.60 or even the $4.00 psychological mark. This scenario would invalidate the bullish outlook, exposing the token to further downside risks.

违反$ 4.77的支持水平可能会加速损失，将吨推向4.60美元甚至4.00美元的心理标记。这种情况将使看涨的前景无效，使令牌面临进一步的下行风险。

Can Toncoin Sustain Its Bullish Trend?

托币可以维持其看涨趋势吗？

Toncoin faces a critical test as supply pressure increases while technical indicators favor a rally. The in-and-out-of-the-money-around-price (IOMAP) metric from IntoTheBlock highlights resistance between $4.87 and $5.02, where 665.47 million TON tokens are concentrated.

随着供应压力的增加，Toncoin面临着重要的测试，而技术指标有利于集会。来自Intotheblock的货币货币价格价格（IOMAP）指标突出显示了4.87至5.02美元之间的抵抗力，其中6.6547亿吨代币集中在这里。

However, the support zone between $4.72 and $4.87 holds nearly 17 million TON tokens, providing a safety net for buyers. If demand outweighs supply, TON could continue its ascent toward the projected targets.

但是，支撑区在4.72美元至4.87美元之间的持有近1700万吨令牌，为买家提供了安全网。如果需求大于供应，那么TON可能会继续朝预计的目标上升。