Toncoin (TON) 進入吸籌階段，預示著目標價為 8 美元或更高的潛在反彈

Toncoin（TON）近期表現出明顯的上漲趨勢，過去24小時上漲1.83%，過去一週上漲5.78%。然而，交易量下降 7.29% 至 1.855 億美元引起了一些擔憂。通常情況下，價格和成交量之間的這種背離先於潛在的下跌，但這也可能引發備受期待的反彈的開始。

Cryptocurrency Toncoin (TON) has shown a promising upward trend recently, rising 1.83% in the last 24 hours and 5.78% over the past week. However, a 7.29% decrease in trading volume, down to $185.5 million, has raised some concerns.

加密貨幣Toncoin（TON）近期呈現可喜的上漲趨勢，過去24小時上漲1.83%，過去一週上漲5.78%。然而，交易量下降 7.29%，降至 1.855 億美元，引發了一些擔憂。

Usually, such a divergence between price and volume precedes a potential drop, but it could also trigger the start of a much-anticipated rally.

通常，價格和成交量之間的這種背離先於潛在的下跌，但它也可能引發備受期待的反彈的開始。

TON seems to be entering the accumulation phase, setting the stage for potential price movements, with analysts forecasting a target of $8 or higher.

TON 似乎正在進入吸籌階段，為潛在的價格走勢奠定基礎，分析師預測目標為 8 美元或更高。

Normalized Risk Metric Signals a Favorable Market Position

標準化風險指標預示著有利的市場地位

According to market sentiment analysis by Joaowedson, TON is approaching a favorable buying phase. The Normalized Risk Metric (NRM) for both medium-term and long-term trends is showing promising signs, indicating that the cryptocurrency may soon experience a surge. The NRM compares the current price of TON to its Simple Moving Averages (SMA), both for the long-term (374-day SMA) and the medium-term (50-day SMA).

根據 Joaowedson 的市場情緒分析，TON 正在接近有利的購買階段。中期和長期趨勢的標準化風險指標（NRM）都顯示出有希望的跡象，表明加密貨幣可能很快就會出現飆升。 NRM 將 TON 的當前價格與其簡單移動平均線 (SMA) 進行比較，包括長期（374 天 SMA）和中期（50 天 SMA）。

The NRM is color-coded to represent various market phases. When the NRM turns green, it indicates the potential for an upcoming rally, while a blue NRM signifies a significant accumulation phase. Currently, the long-term NRM is at the green line, and if it shifts to blue, TON could be in line for a major rally, with price targets reaching $8 or higher.

NRM 採用顏色編碼來代表不同的市場階段。當NRM 變成綠色時，表示即將到來的反彈潛力，而藍色NRM 則表示重要的吸籌階段。目前，長期 NRM 位於綠線，如果轉向藍線，TON 可能會大幅上漲，目標價達到 8 美元或更高。

Volume and Price Divergence: A Catalyst for Price Movement

量價背離：價格變動的催化劑

As mentioned, the divergence between TON’s price and trading volume often precedes price adjustments. However, if this price-volume discrepancy continues, it could serve as the catalyst needed to push the NRM into the blue zone. This shift in NRM would likely create significant upward pressure, pushing TON towards its target price of $8. The alignment of both the medium-term and long-term NRM signals that a major price movement could be on the horizon, especially if both indicators shift to blue simultaneously.

如前所述，TON 的價格和交易量之間的差異通常先於價格調整。然而，如果這種價量差異持續下去，它可能會成為推動 NRM 進入藍色區域所需的催化劑。 NRM 的這一轉變可能會產生巨大的上漲壓力，推動 TON 向 8 美元的目標價邁進。中期和長期 NRM 的一致性表明，重大價格走勢可能即將出現，特別是如果兩個指標同時變為藍色。

Growing Network Adoption and Increased Market Participation

網路採用率不斷提高，市場參與度不斷提高

Another key factor supporting TON’s potential for growth is the significant increase in the number of active addresses. As of last week, Toncoin hit a new milestone, with 108.81 million addresses recorded, reflecting an increase of 1.6 million addresses compared to December 2024. This surge in network activity indicates heightened market participation and suggests that more investors are starting to accumulate TON. As more users engage with the network, the pressure to buy and hold Toncoin could further propel its price toward higher levels.

支持 TON 成長潛力的另一個關鍵因素是活躍地址數量的顯著增加。截至上週，Toncoin 創下了新的里程碑，記錄了1.0881 億個地址，與2024 年12 月相比增加了160 萬個地址。 TON。隨著越來越多的用戶參與網絡，購買和持有 Toncoin 的壓力可能會進一步推動其價格上漲。

Accumulation Phase and Future Price Prospects

累積階段和未來價格前景

As TON enters what seems to be a low-risk accumulation phase, its market dynamics are becoming increasingly favorable for long-term investors. The growing number of addresses indicates that the token is gaining traction among investors who are positioning themselves for a potential rally. With both the NRM indicators and increased adoption aligning in favor of upward movement, Toncoin’s price may soon breach the $8 mark and continue its climb.

隨著 TON 進入看似低風險的累積階段，其市場動態對長期投資者越來越有利。地址數量的不斷增加表明，該代幣正在吸引那些準備迎接潛在反彈的投資者。隨著 NRM 指標和採用率的提高，Toncoin 的價格可能很快就會突破 8 美元大關並繼續攀升。

Conclusion: A Strong Rally Ahead?

結論：強勁反彈即將來臨？

Toncoin’s current market position, characterized by favorable risk metrics, growing network adoption, and a promising accumulation phase, suggests that a significant rally is on the horizon. With both long-term and medium-term NRMs pointing to a potential surge, TON could target a price of $8 or higher in the near future. The increasing number of active addresses further highlights the growing interest in the token, which could fuel additional upward momentum.

Toncoin 目前的市場地位以有利的風險指標、不斷增長的網路採用率以及有希望的積累階段為特徵，表明大幅反彈即將到來。由於長期和中期 NRM 都表明潛在的飆升，TON 可能在不久的將來將目標價定為 8 美元或更高。活躍地址數量的增加進一步凸顯了人們對該代幣日益增長的興趣，這可能會推動額外的上漲動力。

In the coming weeks, investors should watch for the shift of the NRM into the blue zone, as this could be the trigger for Toncoin’s next major rally. If current trends continue, TON’s price trajectory looks set for substantial growth, making it one of the cryptocurrencies to watch in the coming months.

未來幾週，投資者應關注 NRM 向藍色區域的轉變，因為這可能會觸發 Toncoin 下一次大幅上漲。如果當前趨勢持續下去，TON 的價格軌跡看起來將大幅成長，使其成為未來幾個月值得關注的加密貨幣之一。