Toncoin (TON) 进入吸筹阶段，预示着价格目标为 8 美元或更高的潜在反弹

Toncoin（TON）近期表现出明显的上涨趋势，过去24小时上涨1.83%，过去一周上涨5.78%。然而，交易量下降 7.29% 至 1.855 亿美元引起了一些担忧。通常情况下，价格和成交量之间的这种背离先于潜在的下跌，但这也可能引发备受期待的反弹的开始。

Cryptocurrency Toncoin (TON) has shown a promising upward trend recently, rising 1.83% in the last 24 hours and 5.78% over the past week. However, a 7.29% decrease in trading volume, down to $185.5 million, has raised some concerns.

加密货币Toncoin（TON）近期呈现出可喜的上涨趋势，过去24小时内上涨1.83%，过去一周上涨5.78%。然而，交易量下降 7.29%，降至 1.855 亿美元，引发了一些担忧。

Usually, such a divergence between price and volume precedes a potential drop, but it could also trigger the start of a much-anticipated rally.

通常，价格和成交量之间的这种背离先于潜在的下跌，但它也可能引发备受期待的反弹的开始。

TON seems to be entering the accumulation phase, setting the stage for potential price movements, with analysts forecasting a target of $8 or higher.

TON 似乎正在进入吸筹阶段，为潜在的价格走势奠定基础，分析师预测目标为 8 美元或更高。

Normalized Risk Metric Signals a Favorable Market Position

标准化风险指标预示着有利的市场地位

According to market sentiment analysis by Joaowedson, TON is approaching a favorable buying phase. The Normalized Risk Metric (NRM) for both medium-term and long-term trends is showing promising signs, indicating that the cryptocurrency may soon experience a surge. The NRM compares the current price of TON to its Simple Moving Averages (SMA), both for the long-term (374-day SMA) and the medium-term (50-day SMA).

根据 Joaowedson 的市场情绪分析，TON 正在接近有利的购买阶段。中期和长期趋势的标准化风险指标（NRM）都显示出有希望的迹象，表明加密货币可能很快就会出现飙升。 NRM 将 TON 的当前价格与其简单移动平均线 (SMA) 进行比较，包括长期（374 天 SMA）和中期（50 天 SMA）。

The NRM is color-coded to represent various market phases. When the NRM turns green, it indicates the potential for an upcoming rally, while a blue NRM signifies a significant accumulation phase. Currently, the long-term NRM is at the green line, and if it shifts to blue, TON could be in line for a major rally, with price targets reaching $8 or higher.

NRM 采用颜色编码来代表不同的市场阶段。当NRM 变为绿色时，表明即将到来的反弹潜力，而蓝色NRM 则表示重要的吸筹阶段。目前，长期 NRM 位于绿线，如果转向蓝线，TON 可能会出现大幅上涨，目标价格达到 8 美元或更高。

Volume and Price Divergence: A Catalyst for Price Movement

量价背离：价格变动的催化剂

As mentioned, the divergence between TON’s price and trading volume often precedes price adjustments. However, if this price-volume discrepancy continues, it could serve as the catalyst needed to push the NRM into the blue zone. This shift in NRM would likely create significant upward pressure, pushing TON towards its target price of $8. The alignment of both the medium-term and long-term NRM signals that a major price movement could be on the horizon, especially if both indicators shift to blue simultaneously.

如前所述，TON 的价格和交易量之间的差异通常先于价格调整。然而，如果这种价量差异持续下去，它可能会成为推动 NRM 进入蓝色区域所需的催化剂。 NRM 的这一转变可能会产生巨大的上涨压力，推动 TON 向 8 美元的目标价格迈进。中期和长期 NRM 的一致表明，重大价格走势可能即将出现，特别是如果两个指标同时变为蓝色。

Growing Network Adoption and Increased Market Participation

网络采用率不断提高，市场参与度不断提高

Another key factor supporting TON’s potential for growth is the significant increase in the number of active addresses. As of last week, Toncoin hit a new milestone, with 108.81 million addresses recorded, reflecting an increase of 1.6 million addresses compared to December 2024. This surge in network activity indicates heightened market participation and suggests that more investors are starting to accumulate TON. As more users engage with the network, the pressure to buy and hold Toncoin could further propel its price toward higher levels.

支持 TON 增长潜力的另一个关键因素是活跃地址数量的显着增加。截至上周，Toncoin 创下了新的里程碑，记录了 1.0881 亿个地址，与 2024 年 12 月相比增加了 160 万个地址。网络活动的激增表明市场参与度提高，并表明更多投资者开始积累 TON。随着越来越多的用户参与网络，购买和持有 Toncoin 的压力可能会进一步推动其价格上涨。

Accumulation Phase and Future Price Prospects

积累阶段和未来价格前景

As TON enters what seems to be a low-risk accumulation phase, its market dynamics are becoming increasingly favorable for long-term investors. The growing number of addresses indicates that the token is gaining traction among investors who are positioning themselves for a potential rally. With both the NRM indicators and increased adoption aligning in favor of upward movement, Toncoin’s price may soon breach the $8 mark and continue its climb.

随着 TON 进入看似低风险的积累阶段，其市场动态对长期投资者越来越有利。地址数量的不断增加表明，该代币正在吸引那些准备迎接潜在反弹的投资者。随着 NRM 指标和采用率的提高，Toncoin 的价格可能很快就会突破 8 美元大关并继续攀升。

Conclusion: A Strong Rally Ahead?

结论：强劲反弹即将来临？

Toncoin’s current market position, characterized by favorable risk metrics, growing network adoption, and a promising accumulation phase, suggests that a significant rally is on the horizon. With both long-term and medium-term NRMs pointing to a potential surge, TON could target a price of $8 or higher in the near future. The increasing number of active addresses further highlights the growing interest in the token, which could fuel additional upward momentum.

Toncoin 当前的市场地位以有利的风险指标、不断增长的网络采用率以及有希望的积累阶段为特征，表明大幅反弹即将到来。由于长期和中期 NRM 都表明潜在的飙升，TON 可能在不久的将来将价格目标定为 8 美元或更高。活跃地址数量的增加进一步凸显了人们对该代币日益增长的兴趣，这可能会推动额外的上涨动力。

In the coming weeks, investors should watch for the shift of the NRM into the blue zone, as this could be the trigger for Toncoin’s next major rally. If current trends continue, TON’s price trajectory looks set for substantial growth, making it one of the cryptocurrencies to watch in the coming months.

未来几周，投资者应关注 NRM 向蓝色区域的转变，因为这可能会触发 Toncoin 下一次大幅上涨。如果当前趋势持续下去，TON 的价格轨迹看起来将大幅增长，使其成为未来几个月值得关注的加密货币之一。