標題：比特幣（BTC）即將形成“死亡十字”

著名的加密貨幣交易員托尼·“公牛”暗示，比特幣正處於形成“死亡十字架”的邊緣，這是一個經常擔心交易者的信號。

Prominent crypto trader, known on X as Tony "The Bull," hinted at the possibility of Bitcoin forming a Death Cross. This technical pattern occurs when the 50-day moving average drops below the 200-day moving average, often viewed as a bearish signal. However, throughout history, not every instance of a Death Cross has necessarily led to a major price drop.

著名的加密交易員，在X上被稱為托尼·“公牛”，暗示比特幣形成死亡十字架的可能性。當50天移動平均線下降到200天移動平均線以下時，這種技術模式通常被視為看跌信號。但是，在整個歷史上，並非每一個死亡十字架的情況都一定會導致大幅下降。

Chart: TradingView

圖表：TradingView

"Since the 2022 bear market bottom, we've seen 3 Golden Crosses and 2 Death Crosses. The first Golden Cross after the FTX appeared at around $21K, leading to a strong uptrend. We stayed in a bull market until the Death Cross in September 2023 at $25K, which was a false signal. Shortly after, Bitcoin formed another Golden Cross at $35K, triggering a new rally. By August 2024, we saw another Death Cross appear at $61K, which also failed to indicate a major downtrend. Instead, Bitcoin continued to rise," Tony explained.

“自2022年熊市的最低點以來，我們已經看到了3個黃金十字和2個死亡十字架。第一個FTX之後的第一個金十字架出現在21k左右，導致了巨大的上升趨勢。直到2023年9月的死亡十字架以25k的價格死亡，這是一個虛假的信號，這是一個虛假的信號。不久之後，Bite Cross又出現了35k，我們又出現了一個新的雜物，又是一個新的雜物，又是一個新的，我們又散發出了一個新的，這是一個新的，又是一個新的，這是一個新的，這是一個新的，這是一個新的，這是一個新的，這是一個新的，這是一個新的，這是一個新的，這是一個新的雜物。 $ 61k也未能表明比特幣的重大趨勢。

A Golden Cross usually signals the beginning of an uptrend, while a Death Cross often coincides with a downtrend. However, the trader noted that Death Crosses tend to be less reliable than Golden Crosses.

金十字架通常標誌著上升趨勢的開始，而死亡十字架通常與下降趨勢相吻合。但是，交易員指出，死亡十字架的可靠性往往不如黃金十字架。

In 2022, a Death Cross spanned an entire year and was followed by a 60% price drop during the bear market. On the other hand, some Death Crosses have resulted in only short-term corrections before Bitcoin resumed its upward journey.

2022年，死亡十字架跨越了整整一年，隨後在熊市中降低了60％的價格。另一方面，一些死亡十字架僅在比特幣恢復向上的旅程之前就進行了短期糾正。

Now, the question is whether this upcoming Death Cross will confirm a lasting downtrend or be another false signal. With two false Death Crosses appearing recently, traders are divided on what this technical pattern could mean for Bitcoin's price.

現在，問題是這個即將到來的死亡十字架是否會證實持久的下降趨勢或另一個錯誤的信號。由於最近出現了兩個虛假的死亡十字架，交易者就這種技術模式對比特幣的價格意味著什麼。

As of press time, Bitcoin is changing hands at around $81,897, showing a 6% decrease in the last 24 hours, with a market cap of $1.7 trillion.

截至發稿時，比特幣的換手約為81,897美元，在過去24小時內下降了6％，市值為1.7萬億美元。