标题：比特币（BTC）即将形成“死亡十字”

著名的加密货币交易员托尼·“公牛”暗示，比特币正处于形成“死亡十字架”的边缘，这是一个经常担心交易者的信号。

Prominent crypto trader, known on X as Tony "The Bull," hinted at the possibility of Bitcoin forming a Death Cross. This technical pattern occurs when the 50-day moving average drops below the 200-day moving average, often viewed as a bearish signal. However, throughout history, not every instance of a Death Cross has necessarily led to a major price drop.

著名的加密交易员，在X上被称为托尼·“公牛”，暗示比特币形成死亡十字架的可能性。当50天移动平均线下降到200天移动平均线以下时，这种技术模式通常被视为看跌信号。但是，在整个历史上，并非每一个死亡十字架的情况都一定会导致大幅下降。

Chart: TradingView

图表：TradingView

"Since the 2022 bear market bottom, we've seen 3 Golden Crosses and 2 Death Crosses. The first Golden Cross after the FTX appeared at around $21K, leading to a strong uptrend. We stayed in a bull market until the Death Cross in September 2023 at $25K, which was a false signal. Shortly after, Bitcoin formed another Golden Cross at $35K, triggering a new rally. By August 2024, we saw another Death Cross appear at $61K, which also failed to indicate a major downtrend. Instead, Bitcoin continued to rise," Tony explained.

“自2022年熊市的最低点以来，我们已经看到了3个黄金十字和2个死亡十字架。第一个FTX之后的第一个金十字架出现在21k左右，导致了巨大的上升趋势。直到2023年9月的死亡十字架以25k的价格死亡，这是一个虚假的信号，这是一个虚假的信号。不久之后，Bite Cross又出现了35k，我们又出现了一个新的杂物，又是一个新的杂物，又是一个新的，我们又散发出了一个新的，这是一个新的，又是一个新的，这是一个新的，这是一个新的，这是一个新的，这是一个新的，这是一个新的，这是一个新的，这是一个新的，这是一个新的杂物。 $ 61k也未能表明比特币的重大趋势。

A Golden Cross usually signals the beginning of an uptrend, while a Death Cross often coincides with a downtrend. However, the trader noted that Death Crosses tend to be less reliable than Golden Crosses.

金十字架通常标志着上升趋势的开始，而死亡十字架通常与下降趋势相吻合。但是，交易员指出，死亡十字架的可靠性往往不如黄金十字架。

In 2022, a Death Cross spanned an entire year and was followed by a 60% price drop during the bear market. On the other hand, some Death Crosses have resulted in only short-term corrections before Bitcoin resumed its upward journey.

2022年，死亡十字架跨越了整整一年，随后在熊市中降低了60％的价格。另一方面，一些死亡十字架仅在比特币恢复向上的旅程之前就进行了短期纠正。

Now, the question is whether this upcoming Death Cross will confirm a lasting downtrend or be another false signal. With two false Death Crosses appearing recently, traders are divided on what this technical pattern could mean for Bitcoin's price.

现在，问题是这个即将到来的死亡十字架是否会证实持久的下降趋势或另一个错误的信号。由于最近出现了两个虚假的死亡十字架，交易者就这种技术模式对比特币的价格意味着什么。

As of press time, Bitcoin is changing hands at around $81,897, showing a 6% decrease in the last 24 hours, with a market cap of $1.7 trillion.

截至发稿时，比特币的换手约为81,897美元，在过去24小时内下降了6％，市值为1.7万亿美元。