標題：如果比特幣（BTC）在關鍵價格水平上失去支持，則可能下降44％：分析師

加密貨幣分析師兼交易員阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）警告說，如果比特幣（BTC）在關鍵價格水平上失去支持，則可以下降兩位數的百分點。

Cryptocurrency analyst and trader Ali Martinez is warning that Bitcoin (BTC) could go down by double-digit percentage points if it loses support at a key price level.

加密貨幣分析師兼交易員阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）警告說，如果比特幣（BTC）在關鍵價格水平上失去支持，則可以下降兩位數的百分點。

Martinez tells his 132,100 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin has come dangerously close to the support level provided by the 50-week moving average, a level that, when broken, has historically led to deep corrections.

馬丁內斯（Martinez）在社交媒體平台上告訴他的132,100名追隨者，比特幣危險地接近50週移動平均水平提供的支持水平，這一水平在損壞的水平上一直導致深層校正。

According to Martinez, Bitcoin could drop by 44% from the current level if the price breaks below the 50-week moving average.

根據馬丁內斯（Martinez）的說法，如果價格突破了50週的移動平均水平，比特幣可能會從當前水平下降44％。

"Today the 50-week moving average sits at the $75,500. If this support level breaks, Bitcoin could drop to the 200-week moving average at $46,000."

“如今，50週的移動平均水平為75,500美元。如果此支持水平中斷，比特幣可能會降至200週的移動平均水平，為46,000美元。”

The crypto analyst and trader says that the 50-week moving average is the "ultimate Bitcoin bear signal," and BTC has recorded at least four instances where it tested the 50-week moving average and ended up incurring large losses.

這位加密分析師和交易員說，50週的移動平均線是“終極比特幣熊信號”，而BTC至少記錄了四個實例，其中測試了50週的移動平均線，最終導致了大損失。

"Historically, when Bitcoin drops below the 50-week moving average, it tends to test the 200-week moving average. For instance, in 2014, when Bitcoin dropped below the 50-week moving average, it went all the way down to test the 200-week moving average.

“從歷史上看，當比特幣降至50週的移動平均水平以下時，它往往會測試200週的移動平均線。例如，在2014年，當比特幣降至50週的移動平均線以下時，它一直降低以測試200週的移動平均線。

In 2018, the same thing happened. After Bitcoin dropped below the 50-week moving average, it went and tested the 200-week moving average.

在2018年，同樣的事情也發生了。在比特幣降至50週的移動平均水平之後，它進行了測試並測試了200週的移動平均線。

Even in 2020, during the Covid crash, Bitcoin dropped below the 50-week moving average and tested the 200-week moving average.

即使在2020年，在Covid崩潰期間，比特幣仍降至50週的移動平均線以下，並測試了200週的移動平均線。

And in 2022, the price correction was more significant. Bitcoin even went below the 200-week moving average."

在2022年，價格更正更為重要。比特幣甚至低於200週的移動平均水平。”

Bitcoin is trading at $84,771 at time of writing.

撰寫本文時，比特幣的交易價格為84,771美元。

.

。