标题：如果比特币（BTC）在关键价格水平上失去支持，则可能下降44％：分析师

加密货币分析师兼交易员阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）警告说，如果比特币（BTC）在关键价格水平上失去支持，则可以下降两位数的百分点。

Cryptocurrency analyst and trader Ali Martinez is warning that Bitcoin (BTC) could go down by double-digit percentage points if it loses support at a key price level.

加密货币分析师兼交易员阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）警告说，如果比特币（BTC）在关键价格水平上失去支持，则可以下降两位数的百分点。

Martinez tells his 132,100 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin has come dangerously close to the support level provided by the 50-week moving average, a level that, when broken, has historically led to deep corrections.

马丁内斯（Martinez）在社交媒体平台上告诉他的132,100名追随者，比特币危险地接近50周移动平均水平提供的支持水平，这一水平在损坏的水平上一直导致深层校正。

According to Martinez, Bitcoin could drop by 44% from the current level if the price breaks below the 50-week moving average.

根据马丁内斯（Martinez）的说法，如果价格突破了50周的移动平均水平，比特币可能会从当前水平下降44％。

"Today the 50-week moving average sits at the $75,500. If this support level breaks, Bitcoin could drop to the 200-week moving average at $46,000."

“如今，50周的移动平均水平为75,500美元。如果此支持水平中断，比特币可能会降至200周的移动平均水平，为46,000美元。”

The crypto analyst and trader says that the 50-week moving average is the "ultimate Bitcoin bear signal," and BTC has recorded at least four instances where it tested the 50-week moving average and ended up incurring large losses.

这位加密分析师和交易员说，50周的移动平均线是“终极比特币熊信号”，而BTC至少记录了四个实例，其中测试了50周的移动平均线，最终导致了大损失。

"Historically, when Bitcoin drops below the 50-week moving average, it tends to test the 200-week moving average. For instance, in 2014, when Bitcoin dropped below the 50-week moving average, it went all the way down to test the 200-week moving average.

“从历史上看，当比特币降至50周的移动平均水平以下时，它往往会测试200周的移动平均线。例如，在2014年，当比特币降至50周的移动平均线以下时，它一直降低以测试200周的移动平均线。

In 2018, the same thing happened. After Bitcoin dropped below the 50-week moving average, it went and tested the 200-week moving average.

在2018年，同样的事情也发生了。在比特币降至50周的移动平均水平之后，它进行了测试并测试了200周的移动平均线。

Even in 2020, during the Covid crash, Bitcoin dropped below the 50-week moving average and tested the 200-week moving average.

即使在2020年，在Covid崩溃期间，比特币仍降至50周的移动平均线以下，并测试了200周的移动平均线。

And in 2022, the price correction was more significant. Bitcoin even went below the 200-week moving average."

在2022年，价格更正更为重要。比特币甚至低于200周的移动平均水平。”

Bitcoin is trading at $84,771 at time of writing.

撰写本文时，比特币的交易价格为84,771美元。

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