Solana (SOL) 及時出現了第二次看漲突破交易機會

SOL 價格本週飆升超過 7% 至 193 美元，從連接高點的趨勢線確定的前阻力位轉為支撐位反彈

Solana's (CRYPTO: SOL) SOL is flashing a timely second chance for those looking to trade bullish breakouts.

Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) SOL 為那些希望進行看漲突破交易的人提供了及時的第二次機會。

The SOL price has surged over 7% this week to $193, rebounding off a former resistance-turned-support identified by the trendline connecting highs from March and July. This line, and the one joining April and August lows, define a large descending channel comprising prolonged range play from March to October.

SOL 價格本週飆升超過 7% 至 193 美元，從連接 3 月和 7 月高點的趨勢線確定的前阻力位轉為支撐位反彈。這條線，以及連接 4 月和 8 月低點的線，定義了一個大的下降通道，包括從 3 月到 10 月的長期區間波動。

The prices broke out of the channel in early November, confirming a bullish bias. SOL quickly climbed to over $260 before retracing to the breakout point last week.

價格在 11 月初突破該通道，證實了看漲傾向。 SOL 迅速攀升至 260 美元以上，然後在上週回落至突破點。

The roundtrip is called a bullish "throwback pattern" by technical analysts.

技術分析師將這一往返稱為看漲的「回歸模式」。

"Throwbacks occur when prices break out upward and then 'throw back' to their break out level. The retracement is an excellent level at which to participate in the upward trend," Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist said in the third edition of "Technical Analysis: The Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians."

Charles D. Kirkpatrick II 和 Julie R. Dahlquist 在第三篇文章中表示：“當價格向上突破，然後‘回落’至突破水平時，就會出現回調。回撤是參與上漲趨勢的絕佳水平。” 「技術分析：金融市場技術人員的完整資源」版。

"They tend to be very short in time and distance but often provide a second, lesser-risk opportunity for a breakout trader to enter a position," the authors write.

作者寫道：“它們的時間和距離往往都很短，但通常為突破交易者提供第二個風險較小的建倉機會。”

Breakout traders seek securities that have struggled to surpass a specific level. When the price finally breaks through, these traders enter the market, anticipating substantial movement in the direction of the breakout.

突破交易者尋找那些難以超越特定水準的證券。當價格最終突破時，這些交易者進入市場，預計突破方向將大幅波動。

Trading breakouts demands constant monitoring of the markets and careful assessment of price and volume trends. Traders who miss the initial breakout often look to enter on a successful throwback, like SOL's. These entries are generally perceived as low risk since the potential exit point or stop loss can be placed just below the breakout point.

交易突破需要不斷監控市場並仔細評估價格和成交量趨勢。錯過最初突破的交易者通常希望在成功回調時入場，就像 SOL 一樣。這些入場點通常被認為風險較低，因為潛在的退出點或停損可以設置在突破點的正下方。

The throwback seen above can be explained by behavioral aspects of trading, particularly prospect theory, which says that people are generally risk-averse when it comes to securing gains. In other words, when presented with potential profits, traders often book those gains rather than letting the winning trade run.

上面看到的倒退可以用交易的行為方面來解釋，特別是前景理論，該理論認為，在獲得收益時，人們通常會規避風險。換句話說，當出現潛在利潤時，交易者通常會記入這些收益，而不是讓獲勝的交易繼續下去。

This tendency explains why the first post-breakout rally does not persist for long and prices usually fall back to the breakout point. It's because traders who jumped in with the breakout are quick to take profit on a subsequent move higher.

這種趨勢解釋了為什麼突破後的第一次反彈不會持續很長時間，而且價格通常會回落至突破點。這是因為隨著突破而入場的交易者很快就會在隨後的上漲中獲利了結。

That's when it gets interesting. The traders who missed the first breakout may see the throwback as a second opportunity to get in. They go long at the breakout point, ensuring the support stays intact. This explains SOL's bounce from the key level.

這時候事情就變得有趣了。錯過第一次突破的交易者可能會將回調視為第二次入場機會。這解釋了SOL從關鍵水平的反彈。

If SOL continues to rise, those who took profits soon after the initial breakout might regret doing so and take fresh longs, further adding to the bullish momentum. That's how trends develop.

如果 SOL 繼續上漲，那些在最初突破後不久就獲利了結的人可能會後悔這樣做，並買入新的多頭，進一步增強看漲勢頭。趨勢就是這樣發展的。

A similar throwback pattern played out perfectly in bitcoin (BTC) in the second half of 2023, setting the stage for a massive bull run.

2023 年下半年，類似的回歸模式在比特幣 (BTC) 中完美上演，為大規模多頭市場奠定了基礎。

Solana Price Action: SOL is trading lower on the day, down about 1.5%. It hit a low of $190.15 and a high of $196.55 over the past 24 hours.

Solana 價格走勢：SOL 當日交易走低，下跌約 1.5%。過去 24 小時內最低價為 190.15 美元，最高價為 196.55 美元。

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