Solana (SOL) 及时出现了第二次看涨突破交易机会

SOL 价格本周飙升超过 7% 至 193 美元，从连接高点的趋势线确定的前阻力位转为支撑位反弹

Solana's (CRYPTO: SOL) SOL is flashing a timely second chance for those looking to trade bullish breakouts.

Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) SOL 为那些希望进行看涨突破交易的人提供了及时的第二次机会。

The SOL price has surged over 7% this week to $193, rebounding off a former resistance-turned-support identified by the trendline connecting highs from March and July. This line, and the one joining April and August lows, define a large descending channel comprising prolonged range play from March to October.

SOL 价格本周飙升超过 7% 至 193 美元，从连接 3 月和 7 月高点的趋势线确定的前阻力位转为支撑位反弹。这条线，以及连接 4 月和 8 月低点的线，定义了一个大的下降通道，包括从 3 月到 10 月的长期区间波动。

The prices broke out of the channel in early November, confirming a bullish bias. SOL quickly climbed to over $260 before retracing to the breakout point last week.

价格在 11 月初突破该通道，证实了看涨倾向。 SOL 迅速攀升至 260 美元以上，然后于上周回落至突破点。

The roundtrip is called a bullish "throwback pattern" by technical analysts.

技术分析师将这一往返称为看涨的“回归模式”。

"Throwbacks occur when prices break out upward and then 'throw back' to their break out level. The retracement is an excellent level at which to participate in the upward trend," Charles D. Kirkpatrick II and Julie R. Dahlquist said in the third edition of "Technical Analysis: The Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians."

Charles D. Kirkpatrick II 和 Julie R. Dahlquist 在第三篇文章中表示：“当价格向上突破，然后‘回落’至突破水平时，就会出现回调。回撤是参与上涨趋势的绝佳水平。” “技术分析：金融市场技术人员的完整资源”版。

"They tend to be very short in time and distance but often provide a second, lesser-risk opportunity for a breakout trader to enter a position," the authors write.

作者写道：“它们的时间和距离往往都很短，但通常为突破交易者提供第二个风险较小的建仓机会。”

Breakout traders seek securities that have struggled to surpass a specific level. When the price finally breaks through, these traders enter the market, anticipating substantial movement in the direction of the breakout.

突破交易者寻找那些难以超越特定水平的证券。当价格最终突破时，这些交易者进入市场，预计突破方向将出现大幅波动。

Trading breakouts demands constant monitoring of the markets and careful assessment of price and volume trends. Traders who miss the initial breakout often look to enter on a successful throwback, like SOL's. These entries are generally perceived as low risk since the potential exit point or stop loss can be placed just below the breakout point.

交易突破需要不断监控市场并仔细评估价格和成交量趋势。错过最初突破的交易者通常希望在成功回调时入场，就像 SOL 那样。这些入场点通常被认为风险较低，因为潜在的退出点或止损可以设置在突破点的正下方。

The throwback seen above can be explained by behavioral aspects of trading, particularly prospect theory, which says that people are generally risk-averse when it comes to securing gains. In other words, when presented with potential profits, traders often book those gains rather than letting the winning trade run.

上面看到的倒退可以用交易的行为方面来解释，特别是前景理论，该理论认为，在获得收益时，人们通常会规避风险。换句话说，当出现潜在利润时，交易者通常会记入这些收益，而不是让获胜的交易继续下去。

This tendency explains why the first post-breakout rally does not persist for long and prices usually fall back to the breakout point. It's because traders who jumped in with the breakout are quick to take profit on a subsequent move higher.

这种趋势解释了为什么突破后的第一次反弹不会持续很长时间，并且价格通常会回落至突破点。这是因为随着突破而入场的交易者很快就会在随后的上涨中获利了结。

That's when it gets interesting. The traders who missed the first breakout may see the throwback as a second opportunity to get in. They go long at the breakout point, ensuring the support stays intact. This explains SOL's bounce from the key level.

这时候事情就变得有趣了。错过第一次突破的交易者可能会将回调视为第二次入场机会。他们在突破点做多，确保支撑位保持不变。这解释了SOL从关键水平的反弹。

If SOL continues to rise, those who took profits soon after the initial breakout might regret doing so and take fresh longs, further adding to the bullish momentum. That's how trends develop.

如果 SOL 继续上涨，那些在最初突破后不久就获利了结的人可能会后悔这样做，并买入新的多头，进一步增强看涨势头。趋势就是这样发展的。

A similar throwback pattern played out perfectly in bitcoin (BTC) in the second half of 2023, setting the stage for a massive bull run.

2023 年下半年，类似的回归模式在比特币 (BTC) 中完美上演，为大规模牛市奠定了基础。

Solana Price Action: SOL is trading lower on the day, down about 1.5%. It hit a low of $190.15 and a high of $196.55 over the past 24 hours.

Solana 价格走势：SOL 当日交易走低，下跌约 1.5%。过去 24 小时内最低价为 190.15 美元，最高价为 196.55 美元。

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