SkyBridge Capital創辦人預測比特幣減半後將飆升至20萬美元

儘管最近出現波動，但 SkyBridge Capital 的 Anthony Scaramucci 認為比特幣仍處於採用的早期階段。他將其與早期的互聯網進行了比較，並預測了長期的顯著增長。 Scaramucci 預計比特幣的價值在即將到來的減半後將飆升，估計潛在價格範圍為 17 萬美元至 20 萬美元。他強調了比特幣在地緣政治緊張局勢中所表現出的韌性，並將機構的參與視為一個積極因素。

SkyBridge Capital Founder Predicts Bitcoin's Long-Term Ascent to $200,000 Post Halving

SkyBridge Capital創辦人預測減半後比特幣將長期上漲至20萬美元

Anthony Scaramucci, the visionary founder of SkyBridge Capital, has proclaimed Bitcoin's youthful exuberance and predicted a remarkable long-term trajectory for the digital asset, particularly following the impending halving event.

天橋資本 (SkyBridge Capital) 富有遠見的創始人安東尼·斯卡拉穆奇 (Anthony Scaramucci) 宣稱比特幣年輕時的繁榮，並預測了數位資產的非凡長期軌跡，特別是在即將到來的減半事件之後。

A Technological Adolescence

科技青春期

Scaramucci likens Bitcoin's current adoption phase to the nascent internet in 1999, emphasizing its relative infancy in the grand scheme of technological evolution. This comparison underscores the immense potential for growth and mainstream acceptance that lies ahead for Bitcoin.

斯卡拉穆奇將比特幣目前的採用階段比作 1999 年新生的互聯網，強調其在技術進化的宏偉計劃中相對處於起步階段。這一比較強調了比特幣未來的巨大成長潛力和主流接受度。

Surpassing Gold's Market Dominance

超越黃金的市場主導地位

As Bitcoin matures as an asset class and regulatory attitudes shift towards greater acceptance, Scaramucci anticipates it will eclipse the market capitalization of gold in the years to come. This transformative shift will solidify Bitcoin's status as a formidable force in the global financial landscape.

隨著比特幣作為資產類別的成熟，以及監管態度轉向更廣泛的接受度，斯卡拉穆奇預計，未來幾年比特幣的市值將超過黃金。這項變革性轉變將鞏固比特幣作為全球金融格局中一股強大力量的地位。

Adoption Curve and Price Volatility

採用曲線和價格波動

Scaramucci acknowledges that Bitcoin's path to price stabilization as a reliable inflation hedge or store of value may require surpassing a billion users, implying ongoing volatility in the near term. However, he remains unfazed by short-term fluctuations, citing Bitcoin's historical resilience and the significant institutional interest it has attracted.

斯卡拉穆奇承認，比特幣作為一種可靠的通膨對沖或價值儲存手段，要實現價格穩定，可能需要超過 10 億用戶，這意味著比特幣近期將持續波動。然而，他仍然不為短期波動所困擾，理由是比特幣的歷史彈性及其吸引的重大機構興趣。

Geopolitical Resilience

地緣政治韌性

Despite the recent geopolitical tensions and market uncertainties, Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable resilience, weathering events such as the conflict between Iran and Israel. Scaramucci suggests that while these events may temporarily impact Bitcoin's value, they ultimately underscore its underlying strength and growing acceptance.

儘管最近地緣政治緊張局勢和市場不確定性，比特幣還是表現出了非凡的韌性，經受住了伊朗和以色列之間衝突等事件的考驗。斯卡拉穆奇表示，雖然這些事件可能會暫時影響比特幣的價值，但它們最終會凸顯其潛在實力和日益增長的接受度。

Post-Halving Surge

減半後的激增

Scaramucci predicts a significant surge in Bitcoin's value in the months following the halving event, based on its historical performance over the past 15 years. He projects a threefold to fourfold increase, potentially reaching $170,000 or even $200,000.

根據過去 15 年的歷史表現，斯卡拉穆奇預測比特幣的價值將在減半事件後的幾個月內大幅上漲。他預計將增加三到四倍，可能達到 17 萬美元甚至 20 萬美元。

Drawing Parallels with Amazon's Early Brilliance

與亞馬遜早期的輝煌相提並論

Scaramucci draws parallels between Bitcoin's investment profile and that of early-stage Amazon, emphasizing the potential for substantial gains over the long term. He believes that Bitcoin can similarly reward investors who endure short-term price fluctuations, pointing to its historical track record of positive returns over rolling four-year periods.

斯卡拉穆奇將比特幣的投資狀況與早期亞馬遜的投資狀況進行了比較，強調了長期來看可觀收益的潛力。他認為，比特幣同樣可以獎勵那些承受短期價格波動的投資者，並指出其在四年滾動期間的正回報歷史記錄。

The Role of ETFs in Bitcoin's Evolution

ETF 在比特幣演變中的作用

Scaramucci recognizes the growing influence of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in Bitcoin ownership and price discovery. He dismisses concerns about ETF-driven centralization, arguing that the market remains largely decentralized and that ETFs provide a critical bridge for traditional investors to access Bitcoin.

斯卡拉穆奇意識到交易所交易基金（ETF）在比特幣所有權和價格發現方面的影響力越來越大。他駁斥了人們對 ETF 驅動的中心化的擔憂，認為市場在很大程度上仍然是去中心化的，而 ETF 為傳統投資者獲取比特幣提供了重要的橋樑。

Conclusion

結論

Through his insightful analysis and unwavering optimism, Scaramucci paints a vivid picture of Bitcoin's transformative potential. While acknowledging the challenges and volatility that may lie ahead, he remains confident in its long-term trajectory and its ability to reshape the global financial landscape. Bitcoin's journey towards widespread adoption and mainstream acceptance is still in its early stages, but Scaramucci's predictions offer a glimpse into its promising future.

透過富有洞察力的分析和堅定不移的樂觀態度，斯卡拉穆奇生動地描繪了比特幣的變革潛力。在承認未來可能面臨的挑戰和波動的同時，他仍然對其長期發展軌跡及其重塑全球金融格局的能力充滿信心。比特幣的廣泛採用和主流接受的旅程仍處於早期階段，但斯卡拉穆奇的預測讓人們看到了其充滿希望的未來。