SkyBridge Capital创始人预测比特币减半后将飙升至20万美元

尽管最近出现波动，但 SkyBridge Capital 的 Anthony Scaramucci 认为比特币仍处于采用的早期阶段。他将其与早期的互联网进行了比较，并预测了长期的显着增长。 Scaramucci 预计比特币的价值在即将到来的减半后将飙升，估计潜在价格范围为 170,000 美元至 200,000 美元。他强调了比特币在地缘政治紧张局势中所表现出的韧性，并将机构的参与视为一个积极因素。

SkyBridge Capital Founder Predicts Bitcoin's Long-Term Ascent to $200,000 Post Halving

SkyBridge Capital创始人预测减半后比特币长期将上涨至20万美元

Anthony Scaramucci, the visionary founder of SkyBridge Capital, has proclaimed Bitcoin's youthful exuberance and predicted a remarkable long-term trajectory for the digital asset, particularly following the impending halving event.

天桥资本 (SkyBridge Capital) 富有远见的创始人安东尼·斯卡拉穆奇 (Anthony Scaramucci) 宣称比特币年轻时的繁荣，并预测了数字资产的非凡长期轨迹，特别是在即将到来的减半事件之后。

A Technological Adolescence

科技青春期

Scaramucci likens Bitcoin's current adoption phase to the nascent internet in 1999, emphasizing its relative infancy in the grand scheme of technological evolution. This comparison underscores the immense potential for growth and mainstream acceptance that lies ahead for Bitcoin.

斯卡拉穆奇将比特币目前的采用阶段比作 1999 年新生的互联网，强调其在技术进化的宏伟计划中相对处于起步阶段。这一比较强调了比特币未来的巨大增长潜力和主流接受度。

Surpassing Gold's Market Dominance

超越黄金的市场主导地位

As Bitcoin matures as an asset class and regulatory attitudes shift towards greater acceptance, Scaramucci anticipates it will eclipse the market capitalization of gold in the years to come. This transformative shift will solidify Bitcoin's status as a formidable force in the global financial landscape.

随着比特币作为一种资产类别的成熟，以及监管态度转向更广泛的接受度，斯卡拉穆奇预计，未来几年比特币的市值将超过黄金。这一变革性转变将巩固比特币作为全球金融格局中一股强大力量的地位。

Adoption Curve and Price Volatility

采用曲线和价格波动

Scaramucci acknowledges that Bitcoin's path to price stabilization as a reliable inflation hedge or store of value may require surpassing a billion users, implying ongoing volatility in the near term. However, he remains unfazed by short-term fluctuations, citing Bitcoin's historical resilience and the significant institutional interest it has attracted.

斯卡拉穆奇承认，比特币作为一种可靠的通胀对冲或价值储存手段，要想实现价格稳定，可能需要超过 10 亿用户，这意味着比特币近期将持续波动。然而，他仍然不为短期波动所困扰，理由是比特币的历史弹性及其吸引的重大机构兴趣。

Geopolitical Resilience

地缘政治韧性

Despite the recent geopolitical tensions and market uncertainties, Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable resilience, weathering events such as the conflict between Iran and Israel. Scaramucci suggests that while these events may temporarily impact Bitcoin's value, they ultimately underscore its underlying strength and growing acceptance.

尽管最近地缘政治紧张局势和市场不确定性，比特币还是表现出了非凡的韧性，经受住了伊朗和以色列之间冲突等事件的考验。斯卡拉穆奇表示，虽然这些事件可能会暂时影响比特币的价值，但它们最终会凸显其潜在实力和日益增长的接受度。

Post-Halving Surge

减半后的激增

Scaramucci predicts a significant surge in Bitcoin's value in the months following the halving event, based on its historical performance over the past 15 years. He projects a threefold to fourfold increase, potentially reaching $170,000 or even $200,000.

根据过去 15 年的历史表现，斯卡拉穆奇预测比特币的价值将在减半事件后的几个月内大幅上涨。他预计将增加三到四倍，可能达到 17 万美元甚至 20 万美元。

Drawing Parallels with Amazon's Early Brilliance

与亚马逊早期的辉煌相提并论

Scaramucci draws parallels between Bitcoin's investment profile and that of early-stage Amazon, emphasizing the potential for substantial gains over the long term. He believes that Bitcoin can similarly reward investors who endure short-term price fluctuations, pointing to its historical track record of positive returns over rolling four-year periods.

斯卡拉穆奇将比特币的投资状况与早期亚马逊的投资状况进行了比较，强调了长期来看可观收益的潜力。他认为，比特币同样可以奖励那些承受短期价格波动的投资者，并指出其在四年滚动期间的正回报历史记录。

The Role of ETFs in Bitcoin's Evolution

ETF 在比特币演变中的作用

Scaramucci recognizes the growing influence of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in Bitcoin ownership and price discovery. He dismisses concerns about ETF-driven centralization, arguing that the market remains largely decentralized and that ETFs provide a critical bridge for traditional investors to access Bitcoin.

斯卡拉穆奇认识到交易所交易基金（ETF）在比特币所有权和价格发现方面的影响力越来越大。他驳斥了人们对 ETF 驱动的中心化的担忧，认为市场在很大程度上仍然是去中心化的，而 ETF 为传统投资者获取比特币提供了重要的桥梁。

Conclusion

结论

Through his insightful analysis and unwavering optimism, Scaramucci paints a vivid picture of Bitcoin's transformative potential. While acknowledging the challenges and volatility that may lie ahead, he remains confident in its long-term trajectory and its ability to reshape the global financial landscape. Bitcoin's journey towards widespread adoption and mainstream acceptance is still in its early stages, but Scaramucci's predictions offer a glimpse into its promising future.

通过富有洞察力的分析和坚定不移的乐观态度，斯卡拉穆奇生动地描绘了比特币的变革潜力。在承认未来可能面临的挑战和波动的同时，他仍然对其长期发展轨迹及其重塑全球金融格局的能力充满信心。比特币的广泛采用和主流接受的旅程仍处于早期阶段，但斯卡拉穆奇的预测让人们看到了其充满希望的未来。