Siiba INU（Shib）Machin Dog會$ 1嗎？

Shiba Inu（Shib）已成為最容易說話的模因硬幣之一，引發了投資者和愛好者之間的辯論。

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has become a subject of heated debate among investors and crypto enthusiasts alike. The meme coin, launched in 2020 as a playful tribute to the popular Japanese dog breed, has quickly risen from nearly zero to become a community-driven digital asset, now held by millions.

Shiba Inu（Shib）已成為投資者和加密愛好者之間激烈辯論的主題。這款模因硬幣於2020年發行，是對流行的日本狗品種的嬉戲致敬，已從幾乎零迅速上升，成為一個社區驅動的數字資產，現在由數百萬持有。

With its playful origins and a robust online following, Shiba Inu has built an expanding ecosystem, including decentralized exchange ShibaSwap and upcoming Layer-2 solutions like Shibarium. However, despite its growing popularity, reaching $1 per coin presents a significant challenge.

Shiba Inu憑藉其嬉戲的起源和強大的在線追隨者，建立了一個不斷擴展的生態系統，包括分散的Exchange ShibasWap和即將推出的Shibarium等第2層解決方案。然而，儘管它越來越受歡迎，但每枚硬幣1美元還是一個巨大的挑戰。

The Unlikely Scenario of Shiba Inu Reaching $1

不太可能的什巴inu場景達到$ 1

The meme coin's astronomical circulating supply is a primary obstacle to reaching a $1 price. Currently, there are hundreds of trillions of SHIB tokens in circulation. For the coin to reach $1, its market capitalization would need to balloon to around $589 trillion.

模因硬幣的天文循環供應是達到1美元價格的主要障礙。目前，循環中有數百萬億個濕巾令牌。為了使硬幣達到1美元，其市值需要將其膨脹至589萬億美元。

This economic magnitude is nearly impossible to fathom, as it dwarfs the value of global economies and even the entire crypto market today. Even with regular token burns, which are meant to decrease the supply and increase the price, experts like Ben ark_, a well-known crypto analyst, argue that unless nearly all tokens are removed from circulation, reaching such a high unit price is economically unrealistic.

這種經濟幅度幾乎是不可能的，因為它使全球經濟的價值甚至當今的整個加密貨幣市場相形見ad。即使有常規的令牌燃燒（旨在降低供應並提高價格），諸如著名的加密分析師Ben Ark_之類的專家也認為，除非將幾乎所有的令牌從流通中刪除，否則達到如此高的單位價格在經濟上是不現實的。

As the saying goes, everything is possible in the crypto market. However, considering the current trajectory and economic fundamentals, a better question might be: what would need to change drastically for Shiba Inu to reach $1?

俗話說，加密貨幣市場上的一切皆有可能。但是，考慮到當前的軌跡和經濟基本面，一個更好的問題可能是：要使Shiba Inu達到1美元，需要巨大的改變？

The Importance of Market Capitalization

市值的重要性

Market capitalization, which is calculated as the price per token multiplied by the circulating supply, plays a crucial role in determining potential price levels. For instance, if SHIB manages to reach $1 with its current total supply, the crypto market would need to be around 500 times larger than it is today.

市值計算為每代貨幣乘以循環供應的價格，在確定潛在價格水平方面起著至關重要的作用。例如，如果Shib設法達到1美元，目前的總供應總額，則加密貨幣市場將比今天大約500倍。

Moreover, for context, the market cap of Apple—the world’s largest company by market capitalization—is around $3.5 trillion. To put Shiba Inu's potential market cap in perspective, we'd need to multiply Apple's market cap by roughly 168.

此外，就背景而言，蘋果公司的市值是全球最大的公司，按市值計算，約為3.5萬億美元。為了將Shiba INU的潛在市值視為透視，我們需要將蘋果的市值乘以大約168。

Furthermore, to reach a $1 price, Shiba Inu's market cap would need to be greater than the combined wealth of many nations. This fundamental challenge is one reason why most analysts, like those at Digitalੇ ਵਿੱਚ, remain skeptical about a $1 target in the near to mid-term. Instead, they suggest that more realistic price predictions focus on incremental improvements—perhaps eliminating some of the trailing zeros—are more likely.

此外，要達到1美元的價格，Shiba Inu的市值將需要大於許多國家的綜合財富。這一基本挑戰是大多數分析師（如Digitalੇੇ中）對近期中$ 1的目標持懷疑態度的原因之一。相反，他們建議更現實的價格預測集中於增量改進（也許消除了一些尾隨的零）。

Token Burns and Ecosystem Progress

令牌燒傷和生態系統的進度

Another factor to consider is the role of token burns. One of the strategies proposed by the community to overcome the supply issue is an aggressive token burn program. By permanently removing tokens from circulation, the scarcity of SHIB could increase, theoretically boosting its price.

要考慮的另一個因素是令牌燒傷的作用。社區提出的克服供應問題的策略之一是一項激進的令牌燃燒計劃。通過永久從流通中取出代幣，濕骨的稀缺性可能會增加，從理論上提高了價格。

However, current burn rates are quite modest compared to the vast total supply. For instance, a recent batch of SHIB tokens, worth roughly $820,000, were sent to a dead wallet by a cryptocurrency trader. While this contribution is certainly appreciated by the community, it highlights the enormity of the task at hand. Even if we see sustained burns at this rate, it would take an immense amount of time to reduce the supply sufficiently to support a $1 price without other transformative changes.

但是，與全部總供應相比，目前的燃燒率很小。例如，最近的一批價值約82萬美元的濕巾代幣被一個加密貨幣交易者寄給了死錢包。儘管社區肯定會讚賞這一貢獻，但它突出了手頭任務的巨大性。即使我們看到以這種速度持續的燃燒，也需要大量時間來減少供應，以支撐1美元的價格，而沒有其他變革性的變化。

In addition to token burns, the development of Shiba Inu's ecosystem could also play a role in driving demand. For example, the launch of Shibarium, a Layer-2 scaling solution, is expected to generate interest in the meme coin.

除了代幣燒傷外，Shiba Inu生態系統的發展也可能在驅動需求中發揮作用。例如，預計Shibarium的推出（一種層級縮放解決方案）有望引起對模因硬幣的興趣。

Moreover, if Shiba Inu gains more utility through decentralized applications and integrations with real-world payment systems—two areas that are currently limited—we might see institutional interest and, consequently, more demand for the meme coin, potentially stabilizing long-term growth.

此外，如果Shiba INU通過分散的應用程序和與現實的支付系統的集成（當前有限的兩個領域）獲得更多的實用性，我們可能會看到機構的興趣，因此，對模因硬幣的需求更多，可能會穩定長期增長。

Still, unless these developments lead to a dramatic surge in demand, it seems likely that the price trajectory will remain within fractions of a cent, even with the possibility of reaching a few cents in a very bullish scenario.

儘管如此，除非這些事態發展導致需求急劇激增，否則價格軌跡似乎仍將留在百分之一範圍內，即使在非常看漲的情況下有可能達到幾美分。

Many crypto experts and market analysts agree that while Shiba Inu has potential, its current economic fundamentals make a $1 price target nearly impossible in the near to mid-term. For instance, Ben ark_, a well-known crypto analyst, predicts that even in an ultra-bullish scenario, we might see a price of 10 cents or, optimistically, 50 cents by 2025.

許多加密專家和市場分析師都同意，雖然Shiba INU具有潛力，但其當前的經濟基本面使1美元的價格目標幾乎在近中期不可能。例如，著名的加密分析師本·阿卡（Ben Ark_）預測，即使在超級態度的情況下，我們也可能會看到10美分的價格，或者在2025年持樂觀態度上的價格為50美分。

This would still require an astronomical increase in price and market capitalization, considering that Shiba Inu's price is currently around $0.00001. For context, if we take the lower price target of 10 cents and multiply it by the circulating supply, we arrive at a market cap of $5.89 x 1999.

考慮到Shiba Inu的價格目前為0.00001美元，價格和市值仍然需要天文數字上漲。在上下文中，如果我們以較低的目標目標為10美分，並將其乘以循環供應，那麼我們的市值為$ 5.89 x 1999。

For comparison, the entire cryptocurrency market has a market cap of around $2 trillion. In essence, for Shiba Inu to reach

為了進行比較，整個加密貨幣市場的市值約為2萬億美元。本質上，志願INU到達