柴犬 (SHIB) 能在 2025 年達到 1 美元嗎？答案可能會讓你大吃一驚

Shiba Inu（加密貨幣：SHIB）加密貨幣在 2021 年開盤價為每個代幣 0.00000000008 美元，隨後飆升 107,499,900%，並於當年 10 月達到 0.000086 美元的峰值。

The price of a Shiba Inu (CRYPTO: SHIB) token opened at $0.00000000008 in 2021 before embarking on a stunning ascent, ultimately reaching a peak of $0.000086 in October of that year, marking a gain of over 107,499,900%. If you had managed to time your investment perfectly, that gain could have turned just $1 into more than $1 million.

Shiba Inu（加密貨幣：SHIB）代幣的價格在 2021 年開盤價為 0.00000000008 美元，然後開始驚人的上漲，最終於當年 10 月達到 0.000086 美元的峰值，漲幅超過 107,499,900%。如果您能夠完美掌握投資時機，那麼收益可能會從 1 美元變成超過 100 萬美元。

However, unlike some cryptocurrencies that have a genuine use case, such as Bitcoin, which many investors use as a store of value, Shiba Inu has no real utility. It's essentially a meme token that tends to swing up and down based on the whims of speculators.

然而，與一些具有真正用途的加密貨幣（例如許多投資者用作價值儲存手段的比特幣）不同，柴犬沒有真正的效用。它本質上是一種迷因代幣，往往會根據投機者的一時興起而上下波動。

As a result, it fell more than 90% from its peak by mid-2022. Even after a positive year in 2024, Shiba Inu's current price of $0.000023 is still more than 70% lower than its all-time high.

結果，到 2022 年中期，該數字較高峰下降了 90% 以上。即使經歷了 2024 年的積極一年，柴犬目前的價格為 0.000023 美元，仍比歷史高點低 70% 以上。

But cryptocurrencies are riding a series of tailwinds that could help them create a significant amount of value during 2025. So could Shiba Inu stage another historic run and hit $1 per token this time around? The answer might blow your mind.

但加密貨幣正乘著一系列順風車，這可能會幫助它們在 2025 年創造大量價值。答案可能會讓你大吃一驚。

Risk-on sentiment, falling interest rates, and a pro-crypto U.S. government

風險偏好、利率下降和支持加密貨幣的美國政府

Investors were extremely bullish in 2024. The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all hit record highs throughout the year. Plus, the total value of all circulating cryptocurrencies reached an all-time high of $3.9 trillion.

投資者對 2024 年極為看好。此外，所有流通加密貨幣的總價值達到 3.9 兆美元的歷史新高。

Favorable macroeconomic conditions were a big help. The U.S. economy remained strong, while at the same time the Federal Reserve declared victory over the inflation surge from a couple of years ago, and started cutting interest rates in September. Lower rates reduce the yield on risk-free assets like cash, which makes growth assets like stocks -- and even cryptocurrencies -- more enticing to investors.

有利的宏觀經濟條件起到了很大的幫助。美國經濟保持強勁，同時聯準會宣布戰勝幾年前的通膨飆升，9月開始降息。較低的利率會降低現金等無風險資產的收益率，這使得股票等成長型資產甚至加密貨幣對投資者更具吸引力。

Sentiment grew even more positive after former President Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election in November, because he campaigned on pro-business policies like deregulation and lower corporate taxes. Plus, he has promised to lead the most pro-crypto administration in American history -- he already nominated crypto advocate Paul Atkins to run the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), pending Senate approval.

前總統唐納德·川普 (Donald Trump) 在 11 月贏得美國總統大選後，情緒變得更加積極，因為他在競選時推行了放鬆管制和降低企業稅等親商政策。此外，他還承諾領導美國歷史上最支持加密貨幣的政府——他已經提名加密貨幣倡導者保羅·阿特金斯(Paul Atkins)來管理證券交易委員會(SEC)，等待參議院批准。

Those factors have created a risk-on environment that's been a boon for speculative assets like Shiba Inu. Therefore, even though the meme token has no real use case, it still more than doubled last year as investors swooped in hoping to catch another historic rally.

這些因素創造了一個風險環境，這對柴犬等投機資產來說是一個福音。因此，儘管 meme 代幣沒有真正的用例，但隨著投資者紛紛湧入，希望抓住另一次歷史性反彈，它的價格在去年仍然增長了一倍多。

Shiba Inu faces fundamental challenges, including a supply problem

柴犬面臨根本挑戰，包括供應問題

According to Cryptwerk, just 998 businesses around the world are willing to accept Shiba Inu as payment for goods and services, and many of them are obscure providers of internet and crypto services, and even online gambling houses. Shiba Inu simply doesn't function well as a currency; aside from its extreme volatility, the legacy Ethereum network upon which it is built is clunky and expensive to use.

據 Cryptwerk 稱，全球只有 998 家企業願意接受柴犬作為商品和服務的支付方式，其中許多是默默無聞的互聯網和加密服務提供商，甚至是在線賭場。柴犬根本不能很好地發揮貨幣作用。除了其極端的波動性之外，其所基於的傳統以太坊網路笨重且使用成本昂貴。

Shiba Inu developers created a Layer-2 blockchain solution called Shibarium to solve some of those issues, but it doesn't appear to have increased consumer adoption. Simply put, another speculative frenzy might be the only way Shiba Inu can stage meaningful upside from here.

Shiba Inu 開發人員創建了一個名為 Shibarium 的第 2 層區塊鏈解決方案來解決其中一些問題，但它似乎並沒有提高消費者的採用率。簡而言之，另一場投機狂潮可能是柴犬從現在開始實現有意義的上漲的唯一途徑。

But reaching $1 will be almost impossible in Shiba Inu's current state because it has a supply problem. There are 589.5 trillion tokens in circulation, so based on the current price-per-token of $0.000023, Shiba Inu has a market capitalization of about $13 billion.

但在柴犬目前的狀態下，要達到 1 美元幾乎是不可能的，因為它有供應問題。流通中的代幣數量為 589.5 兆個，因此根據當前每個代幣價格 0.000023 美元計算，柴犬的市值約為 130 億美元。

Simple math dictates that a price per token of $1 would result in a market cap of $589.5 trillion. That would make Shiba Inu 159 times more valuable than Apple, which is the world's largest company (valued at $3.7 trillion). It would also be more valuable than the total wealth of every person on Earth, which was $454 trillion at the end of 2022, according to UBS.

簡單的數學計算表明，每個代幣的價格為 1 美元，其市值將達到 589.5 兆美元。這將使柴犬的價值比全球最大公司蘋果（估值 3.7 兆美元）高出 159 倍。據瑞銀稱，它也將比地球上每個人的總財富更有價值，截至 2022 年底，地球上每個人的財富為 454 兆美元。

The Shiba Inu community is trying to solve the supply problem by burning tokens, which removes them from circulation forever. The simplest way to do that is by sending tokens to a dead wallet where they can never be retrieved. Theoretically, the price per Shiba Inu token should rise organically in proportion to the number of tokens burned.

柴犬社區正試圖透過銷毀代幣來解決供應問題，這將使其永遠退出流通。最簡單的方法是將代幣送到一個永遠無法找回的死錢包。從理論上講，每個柴犬代幣的價格應該與銷毀的代幣數量成比例地有機上漲。

Shiba Inu could technically reach $1

柴犬技術上可達 1 美元

Investors would have to burn 99.99998% of the current supply in order to send Shiba Inu to $1, based on its current market cap. Therefore, nearly all of the 589.5 trillion tokens in circulation need to be eliminated, leaving just 13 billion

根據當前市值，投資者必須銷毀目前供應量的 99.99998% 才能將柴犬價格推至 1 美元。因此，流通中的 589.5 兆枚代幣幾乎全部被淘汰，只剩下 130 億枚