柴犬 (SHIB) 能在 2025 年达到 1 美元吗？答案可能会让你大吃一惊

Shiba Inu（加密货币：SHIB）加密货币在 2021 年开盘价为每个代币 0.00000000008 美元，随后飙升 107,499,900%，并于当年 10 月达到 0.000086 美元的峰值。

The price of a Shiba Inu (CRYPTO: SHIB) token opened at $0.00000000008 in 2021 before embarking on a stunning ascent, ultimately reaching a peak of $0.000086 in October of that year, marking a gain of over 107,499,900%. If you had managed to time your investment perfectly, that gain could have turned just $1 into more than $1 million.

Shiba Inu（加密货币：SHIB）代币的价格在 2021 年开盘价为 0.00000000008 美元，然后开始惊人的上涨，最终于当年 10 月达到 0.000086 美元的峰值，涨幅超过 107,499,900%。如果您能够完美把握投资时机，那么收益可能会从 1 美元变成超过 100 万美元。

However, unlike some cryptocurrencies that have a genuine use case, such as Bitcoin, which many investors use as a store of value, Shiba Inu has no real utility. It's essentially a meme token that tends to swing up and down based on the whims of speculators.

然而，与一些具有真正用途的加密货币（例如许多投资者用作价值储存手段的比特币）不同，柴犬没有真正的效用。它本质上是一种模因代币，往往会根据投机者的一时兴起而上下波动。

As a result, it fell more than 90% from its peak by mid-2022. Even after a positive year in 2024, Shiba Inu's current price of $0.000023 is still more than 70% lower than its all-time high.

结果，到 2022 年中期，该数字较峰值下降了 90% 以上。即使经历了 2024 年的积极一年，柴犬目前的价格为 0.000023 美元，仍比历史高点低 70% 以上。

But cryptocurrencies are riding a series of tailwinds that could help them create a significant amount of value during 2025. So could Shiba Inu stage another historic run and hit $1 per token this time around? The answer might blow your mind.

但加密货币正乘着一系列顺风车，这可能会帮助它们在 2025 年创造大量价值。那么 Shiba Inu 能否上演另一场历史性的上涨，这一次每个代币达到 1 美元呢？答案可能会让你大吃一惊。

Risk-on sentiment, falling interest rates, and a pro-crypto U.S. government

风险偏好、利率下降和支持加密货币的美国政府

Investors were extremely bullish in 2024. The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all hit record highs throughout the year. Plus, the total value of all circulating cryptocurrencies reached an all-time high of $3.9 trillion.

投资者对 2024 年极为看好。标普 500 指数、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数全年均创下历史新高。此外，所有流通加密货币的总价值达到 3.9 万亿美元的历史新高。

Favorable macroeconomic conditions were a big help. The U.S. economy remained strong, while at the same time the Federal Reserve declared victory over the inflation surge from a couple of years ago, and started cutting interest rates in September. Lower rates reduce the yield on risk-free assets like cash, which makes growth assets like stocks -- and even cryptocurrencies -- more enticing to investors.

有利的宏观经济条件起到了很大的帮助。美国经济保持强劲，同时美联储宣布战胜几年前的通胀飙升，并于9月开始降息。较低的利率会降低现金​​等无风险资产的收益率，这使得股票等成长型资产甚至加密货币对投资者更具吸引力。

Sentiment grew even more positive after former President Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election in November, because he campaigned on pro-business policies like deregulation and lower corporate taxes. Plus, he has promised to lead the most pro-crypto administration in American history -- he already nominated crypto advocate Paul Atkins to run the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), pending Senate approval.

前总统唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 在 11 月赢得美国总统大选后，情绪变得更加积极，因为他在竞选时推行了放松管制和降低企业税等亲商政策。此外，他还承诺领导美国历史上最支持加密货币的政府——他已经提名加密货币倡导者保罗·阿特金斯(Paul Atkins)来管理证券交易委员会(SEC)，等待参议院批准。

Those factors have created a risk-on environment that's been a boon for speculative assets like Shiba Inu. Therefore, even though the meme token has no real use case, it still more than doubled last year as investors swooped in hoping to catch another historic rally.

这些因素创造了一个风险环境，这对柴犬等投机资产来说是一个福音。因此，尽管 meme 代币没有真正的用例，但随着投资者纷纷涌入，希望抓住另一次历史性反弹，它的价格在去年仍然增长了一倍多。

Shiba Inu faces fundamental challenges, including a supply problem

柴犬面临根本性挑战，包括供应问题

According to Cryptwerk, just 998 businesses around the world are willing to accept Shiba Inu as payment for goods and services, and many of them are obscure providers of internet and crypto services, and even online gambling houses. Shiba Inu simply doesn't function well as a currency; aside from its extreme volatility, the legacy Ethereum network upon which it is built is clunky and expensive to use.

据 Cryptwerk 称，全球只有 998 家企业愿意接受柴犬作为商品和服务的支付方式，其中许多是默默无闻的互联网和加密服务提供商，甚至是在线赌场。柴犬根本不能很好地发挥货币作用。除了其极端的波动性之外，其所基于的传统以太坊网络笨重且使用成本昂贵。

Shiba Inu developers created a Layer-2 blockchain solution called Shibarium to solve some of those issues, but it doesn't appear to have increased consumer adoption. Simply put, another speculative frenzy might be the only way Shiba Inu can stage meaningful upside from here.

Shiba Inu 开发人员创建了一个名为 Shibarium 的第 2 层区块链解决方案来解决其中一些问题，但它似乎并没有提高消费者的采用率。简而言之，另一场投机狂潮可能是柴犬从现在开始实现有意义的上涨的唯一途径。

But reaching $1 will be almost impossible in Shiba Inu's current state because it has a supply problem. There are 589.5 trillion tokens in circulation, so based on the current price-per-token of $0.000023, Shiba Inu has a market capitalization of about $13 billion.

但在柴犬目前的状态下，达到 1 美元几乎是不可能的，因为它存在供应问题。流通中的代币数量为 589.5 万亿个，因此根据当前每个代币价格 0.000023 美元计算，柴犬的市值约为 130 亿美元。

Simple math dictates that a price per token of $1 would result in a market cap of $589.5 trillion. That would make Shiba Inu 159 times more valuable than Apple, which is the world's largest company (valued at $3.7 trillion). It would also be more valuable than the total wealth of every person on Earth, which was $454 trillion at the end of 2022, according to UBS.

简单的数学计算表明，每个代币的价格为 1 美元，其市值将达到 589.5 万亿美元。这将使柴犬的价值比全球最大公司苹果公司（估值 3.7 万亿美元）高出 159 倍。据瑞银称，它也将比地球上每个人的总财富更有价值，截至 2022 年底，地球上每个人的财富为 454 万亿美元。

The Shiba Inu community is trying to solve the supply problem by burning tokens, which removes them from circulation forever. The simplest way to do that is by sending tokens to a dead wallet where they can never be retrieved. Theoretically, the price per Shiba Inu token should rise organically in proportion to the number of tokens burned.

柴犬社区正试图通过销毁代币来解决供应问题，这将使其永远退出流通。最简单的方法是将代币发送到一个永远无法找回的死钱包。从理论上讲，每个柴犬代币的价格应该与销毁的代币数量成比例地有机上涨。

Shiba Inu could technically reach $1

柴犬技术上可以达到 1 美元

Investors would have to burn 99.99998% of the current supply in order to send Shiba Inu to $1, based on its current market cap. Therefore, nearly all of the 589.5 trillion tokens in circulation need to be eliminated, leaving just 13 billion

根据当前市值，投资者必须销毁当前供应量的 99.99998% 才能将柴犬价格推至 1 美元。因此，流通中的 589.5 万亿枚代币几乎全部被淘汰，只剩下 130 亿枚