中本聰是誰？ HBO 紀錄片重新引發對比特幣匿名創造者的猜測

十多年來，比特幣的匿名創造者中本聰的身份引發了謠言和猜測。

The identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the enigmatic creator of Bitcoin, has sparked relentless curiosity and speculation within the cryptocurrency realm. Despite numerous attempts to unravel this mystery, each effort seems to drape a new veil over the matter.

比特幣的神秘創造者中本聰的身份在加密貨幣領域引發了無盡的好奇和猜測。儘管人們多次嘗試解開這個謎團，但每一次努力似乎都為這個問題蒙上了一層新的面紗。

However, with the impending release of an HBO documentary on the subject, a fresh wave of speculation has hit the scene. This time, Polymarket, a decentralized betting platform, is allowing its users to wager on the true identity of Bitcoin's mythical creator.

然而，隨著 HBO 一部有關該主題的紀錄片即將上映，新一波的猜測又出現了。這次，去中心化投注平台 Polymarket 允許其用戶對比特幣神話創造者的真實身份進行投注。

In this captivating narrative, we delve into the names that have emerged as potential candidates for the role of Satoshi Nakamoto, exploring the evidence and considering the odds.

在這個引人入勝的敘述中，我們深入研究了中本聰這一角色的潛在候選人的名字，探索證據並考慮可能性。

The name that is making waves

引起轟動的名字

Among the candidates, one name that stands out is Len Sassaman. According to Polymarket bettors, Sassaman has the highest chance of being identified as the real Satoshi Nakamoto, with a probability of 45%.

在候選人中，Len Sassaman 是最引人注目的名字。根據 Polymarket 投注者的說法，Sassaman 被識別為真正的中本聰的機會最高，機率為 45%。

A renowned cryptographer, Sassaman was a staunch advocate for privacy. He spent much of his life exploring the fields of cryptography and anonymous systems, earning him high respect within cypherpunk circles.

薩薩曼是一位著名的密碼學家，也是隱私的堅定倡導者。他一生大部分時間都在探索密碼學和匿名系統領域，這為他贏得了密碼龐克圈的高度尊重。

Some consider him an ideal candidate due to his work within the communities that shaped the early days of Bitcoin, as well as his technical expertise.

有些人認為他是理想的候選人，因為他在塑造比特幣早期的社群中的工作以及他的技術專長。

Although Sassaman passed away in 2011, which may initially rule out his direct involvement in the later development of Bitcoin, his deep knowledge and commitment to privacy continue to fuel this theory.

儘管薩薩曼於 2011 年去世，這可能最初排除了他直接參與比特幣後來開發的可能性，但他深厚的知識和對隱私的承諾繼續推動了這一理論。

After all, who better than an expert in cryptography and anonymity to have conceived such a revolutionary technology?

畢竟，還有誰比密碼學和匿名領域的專家更能構思出如此革命性的技術呢？

But the story of Sassaman doesn't stop there. Some even speculate that his tragic disappearance might have been orchestrated to maintain the mystery surrounding Satoshi.

但薩薩曼的故事不止於此。有些人甚至猜測，他的悲慘失蹤可能是為了維持中本聰的神秘面紗而精心策劃的。

A bold hypothesis, but one that adds a new dimension to this already complex puzzle. With such a profile, it's no surprise that Polymarket sees in him a potential Satoshi Nakamoto.

這是一個大膽的假設，但卻為這個已經很複雜的謎題增添了新的維度。憑藉這樣的形象，Polymarket 將他視為潛在的中本聰也就不足為奇了。

Other contenders, but with reduced odds

其他競爭者，但賠率較低

While Sassaman is at the top of the betting pool, he is certainly not the only candidate in the running. Coming in second with 15% odds is Hal Finney, a pioneer in cryptography.

雖然薩薩曼在賭注中名列前茅，但他肯定不是唯一的候選人。密碼學先驅哈爾芬尼 (Hal Finney) 以 15% 的勝算位居第二。

Finney's name is often mentioned in the context of Bitcoin, and for good reason: he was one of the first to adopt the cryptocurrency and even received the very first Bitcoin transaction from Satoshi himself.

芬尼的名字經常在比特幣背景下被提及，這是有充分理由的：他是最早採用加密貨幣的人之一，甚至從中本聰本人那裡收到了第一筆比特幣交易。

This proximity to Nakamoto, combined with his major contributions in the field of cryptography, makes Finney a strong candidate, even if the community remains divided as to his exact role.

與中本聰的接近，再加上他在密碼學領域的重大貢獻，使芬尼成為強有力的候選人，儘管社區對於他的確切角色仍然存在分歧。

It is also interesting to note that some believe Finney might have been in close collaboration with Nakamoto, or even operated under that pseudonym. But despite these theories, his odds, according to Polymarket, remain lower than those of Sassaman.

有趣的是，有些人認為芬尼可能與中本聰密切合作，甚至以中本聰的筆名運作。但儘管有這些理論，據 Polymarket 稱，他的勝算仍然低於薩薩曼。

Among other contenders are Nick Szabo, often credited for his work on smart contracts, and Adam Back, creator of Hashcash, a technology that largely influenced the development of Bitcoin.

其他競爭者包括尼克·薩博（Nick Szabo）和亞當·貝克（Adam Back），尼克·薩博（Nick Szabo）經常因其在智能合約方面的工作而受到讚譽，而亞當·貝克（Adam Back）則是Hashcash 的創造者，該技術在很大程度上影響了比特幣的發展。

However, their odds are far from high: 2% for Szabo and 7% for Back. Szabo, notably, despite being theorized as one of the main brains behind Bitcoin, seems to have lost ground in this speculative race.

然而，他們的勝算並不高：薩博為 2%，巴克為 7%。值得注意的是，薩博儘管被認為是比特幣背後的主要大腦之一，但他似乎在這場投機競賽中節節敗退。

The great unknown: what if it was more than one person?

巨大的未知數：如果不只一個人怎麼辦？

Finally, a more intriguing hypothesis continues to circulate: what if Satoshi Nakamoto was not a single person, but a group of anonymous collaborators? According to the bettors, 38% believe the HBO documentary might reveal that Satoshi Nakamoto is not an isolated individual, but the result of a collective effort.

最後，一個更有趣的假設繼續流傳：如果中本聰不是一個人，而是一群匿名合作者呢？據投注者稱，38% 的人認為 HBO 紀錄片可能會揭示中本聰不是一個孤立的個體，而是集體努力的結果。

This theory, though enticing, raises new questions. Is it possible that several cryptography experts worked together to create Bitcoin and then decided to step back under a common pseudonym?

這個理論雖然很誘人，但也提出了新的問題。有沒有可能是幾位密碼學專家共同創造了比特幣，然後決定以共同的筆名退出？

This option, although it seems distant from the classic narrative of a solitary genius, would correspond to the collaborative spirit of the cypherpunk communities that shaped the technologies of privacy protection and decentralization. Such a revelation would upend our perception of Bitcoin’s history.

這種選擇雖然看起來與孤獨天才的經典敘事相去甚遠，但它符合密碼龐克社群的協作精神，這種精神塑造了隱私保護和去中心化技術。這樣的揭露將顛覆我們對比特幣歷史的看法。