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截至 2024 年 9 月,這種交互作用約為 50%,主要是由於主要國家實施的全球貨幣寬鬆舉措
Coinbase's recent study has highlighted a remarkable development in the financial landscape: the close relationship between cryptocurrencies and stock markets. This interplay, which now stands at around 50%, has been largely influenced by the global monetary easing initiatives undertaken by major economies such as the United States and China. The study holds significant implications, particularly for investors navigating these intertwined markets.
Coinbase 最近的研究強調了金融領域的顯著發展:加密貨幣與股票市場之間的密切關係。這種相互作用目前約為 50%,很大程度上受到美國和中國等主要經濟體採取的全球貨幣寬鬆措施的影響。這項研究具有重大意義,特別是對於在這些相互交織的市場中航行的投資者而言。
The Impact Of Monetary Policy
貨幣政策的影響
The evolving connection between the two markets has been notably impacted by the Federal Reserve's aggressive stance on interest rate cuts. Following a recent 50-basis-point rate reduction, Bitcoin and cryptocurrency-related stocks experienced substantial gains.
兩個市場之間不斷發展的聯繫受到聯準會激進降息立場的顯著影響。在最近降息 50 個基點後,比特幣和加密貨幣相關股票大幅上漲。
Bitcoin rallied past the $64,000 level, while stocks like Microstrategy and Coinbase also exhibited increasing momentum. This synchronization suggests that both asset classes are reacting positively as the Federal Reserve implements measures designed to stimulate economic growth.
比特幣反彈至 64,000 美元以上,而 Microstrategy 和 Coinbase 等股票也表現出上漲勢頭。這種同步表明,隨著聯準會實施旨在刺激經濟成長的措施,這兩種資產類別都做出了積極反應。
In a parallel development, Bloomberg data reveals that the prices of US equity futures have been moving in tandem with those of cryptocurrency. For instance, as Bitcoin prices surged, several major US equities also reached new all-time highs.
同時,彭博社的數據顯示,美國股票期貨的價格一直與加密貨幣的價格同步變動。例如,隨著比特幣價格飆升,美國幾大主要股票也創下歷史新高。
This co-movement hints at a deeper correlation in the way investors are assessing risk within both markets. According to Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, macroeconomic factors are now largely dictating crypto prices, an effect that is likely to continue throughout the Fed's easing cycle.
這種連動暗示投資者評估兩個市場風險的方式有更深層的相關性。 Orbit Markets 聯合創辦人 Caroline Mauron 表示,宏觀經濟因素現在在很大程度上決定了加密貨幣價格,這種影響可能會在整個聯準會的寬鬆週期中持續下去。
Crypto: Changing Market Dynamics
加密貨幣:不斷變化的市場動態
Historically, cryptocurrencies have operated independently of traditional financial markets. However, the increasing sensitivity of these digital assets to macroeconomic conditions is altering this dynamic as they mature.
從歷史上看,加密貨幣一直獨立於傳統金融市場運作。然而,隨著這些數位資產的成熟,這些數位資產對宏觀經濟條件日益敏感,正在改變這種動態。
This transition is reflected in Coinbase's findings, which indicate that Ethereum has outperformed Bitcoin during this period of heightened correlation. A close examination of the data reveals that Ethereum's 8% gain over Bitcoin in the week following the Federal Reserve's announcement suggests shifting investor interest in altcoins.
這種轉變反映在 Coinbase 的調查結果中,該調查結果表明,在這段相關性增強的時期,以太坊的表現優於比特幣。對數據的仔細研究表明,在聯準會宣布這一消息後的一周內,以太坊相對於比特幣上漲了 8%,這表明投資者對山寨幣的興趣發生了轉變。
While Ethereum's performance has been encouraging, investors are keeping a close watch on the recent sell-offs by the Ethereum Foundation. The foundation sold 100 ETH recently, bringing the total ETH sold this year to over 3,500. Such actions have potential implications for market sentiment and the continuing growth of projects within the Ethereum ecosystem.
儘管以太坊的表現令人鼓舞,但投資者仍密切關注以太坊基金會最近的拋售。該基金會最近出售了 100 個 ETH,使今年的 ETH 出售總量超過 3,500 個。此類行動對市場情緒和以太坊生態系統內專案的持續成長有潛在影響。
Future Trends And Investor Sentiment
未來趨勢和投資者情緒
As the link between the cryptocurrency market and the stock market continues to strengthen, investors are adjusting their strategies. Within the crypto space, there is a growing interest in exploring domains beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, including options trading.
隨著加密貨幣市場與股票市場之間的聯繫不斷加強,投資者正在調整策略。在加密貨幣領域,人們對探索比特幣和以太坊以外的領域越來越感興趣,包括選擇權交易。
Memecoins like Shiba Inu and PEPE have also been gaining traction among investors, while certain sectors — such as gaming and Layer 2 solutions — are reporting impressive gains of up to 17% in a single week.
Shiba Inu 和 PEPE 等 Memecoin 也受到了投資者的青睞,而某些行業(例如遊戲和 Layer 2 解決方案)的單週漲幅高達 17%,令人印象深刻。
With October being a traditionally strong month for cryptocurrencies, there is speculation that favorable market conditions could fuel further price increases across both asset classes. The increasing participation of institutional investors in crypto markets is also influencing this trend, as their trading patterns tend to align with those of stocks.
由於十月是加密貨幣傳統上強勁的月份,有人猜測有利的市場條件可能會推動這兩種資產類別的價格進一步上漲。機構投資者越來越多地參與加密貨幣市場也影響了這一趨勢,因為他們的交易模式往往與股票的交易模式保持一致。
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
精選圖片來自 Pexels,圖表來自 TradingView
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