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截至 2024 年 9 月,这种相互作用约为 50%,主要是由于主要国家实施的全球货币宽松举措
Coinbase's recent study has highlighted a remarkable development in the financial landscape: the close relationship between cryptocurrencies and stock markets. This interplay, which now stands at around 50%, has been largely influenced by the global monetary easing initiatives undertaken by major economies such as the United States and China. The study holds significant implications, particularly for investors navigating these intertwined markets.
Coinbase 最近的研究强调了金融领域的显着发展:加密货币与股票市场之间的密切关系。这种相互作用目前约为 50%,很大程度上受到美国和中国等主要经济体采取的全球货币宽松举措的影响。这项研究具有重大意义,特别是对于在这些相互交织的市场中航行的投资者而言。
The Impact Of Monetary Policy
货币政策的影响
The evolving connection between the two markets has been notably impacted by the Federal Reserve's aggressive stance on interest rate cuts. Following a recent 50-basis-point rate reduction, Bitcoin and cryptocurrency-related stocks experienced substantial gains.
两个市场之间不断发展的联系受到美联储激进降息立场的显着影响。在最近降息 50 个基点后,比特币和加密货币相关股票大幅上涨。
Bitcoin rallied past the $64,000 level, while stocks like Microstrategy and Coinbase also exhibited increasing momentum. This synchronization suggests that both asset classes are reacting positively as the Federal Reserve implements measures designed to stimulate economic growth.
比特币反弹至 64,000 美元以上,而 Microstrategy 和 Coinbase 等股票也表现出上涨势头。这种同步表明,随着美联储实施旨在刺激经济增长的措施,这两种资产类别都做出了积极反应。
In a parallel development, Bloomberg data reveals that the prices of US equity futures have been moving in tandem with those of cryptocurrency. For instance, as Bitcoin prices surged, several major US equities also reached new all-time highs.
与此同时,彭博社的数据显示,美国股票期货的价格一直与加密货币的价格同步变化。例如,随着比特币价格飙升,美国几大主要股票也创下历史新高。
This co-movement hints at a deeper correlation in the way investors are assessing risk within both markets. According to Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, macroeconomic factors are now largely dictating crypto prices, an effect that is likely to continue throughout the Fed's easing cycle.
这种联动暗示投资者评估两个市场风险的方式存在更深层次的相关性。 Orbit Markets 联合创始人 Caroline Mauron 表示,宏观经济因素现在在很大程度上决定了加密货币价格,这种影响可能会在整个美联储的宽松周期中持续下去。
Crypto: Changing Market Dynamics
加密货币:不断变化的市场动态
Historically, cryptocurrencies have operated independently of traditional financial markets. However, the increasing sensitivity of these digital assets to macroeconomic conditions is altering this dynamic as they mature.
从历史上看,加密货币一直独立于传统金融市场运作。然而,随着这些数字资产的成熟,这些数字资产对宏观经济条件日益敏感,正在改变这种动态。
This transition is reflected in Coinbase's findings, which indicate that Ethereum has outperformed Bitcoin during this period of heightened correlation. A close examination of the data reveals that Ethereum's 8% gain over Bitcoin in the week following the Federal Reserve's announcement suggests shifting investor interest in altcoins.
这种转变反映在 Coinbase 的调查结果中,该调查结果表明,在这段相关性增强的时期,以太坊的表现优于比特币。对数据的仔细研究表明,在美联储宣布这一消息后的一周内,以太坊相对于比特币上涨了 8%,这表明投资者对山寨币的兴趣发生了转变。
While Ethereum's performance has been encouraging, investors are keeping a close watch on the recent sell-offs by the Ethereum Foundation. The foundation sold 100 ETH recently, bringing the total ETH sold this year to over 3,500. Such actions have potential implications for market sentiment and the continuing growth of projects within the Ethereum ecosystem.
尽管以太坊的表现令人鼓舞,但投资者仍在密切关注以太坊基金会最近的抛售。该基金会最近出售了 100 个 ETH,使今年的 ETH 出售总量超过 3,500 个。此类行动对市场情绪和以太坊生态系统内项目的持续增长具有潜在影响。
Future Trends And Investor Sentiment
未来趋势和投资者情绪
As the link between the cryptocurrency market and the stock market continues to strengthen, investors are adjusting their strategies. Within the crypto space, there is a growing interest in exploring domains beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, including options trading.
随着加密货币市场与股票市场之间的联系不断加强,投资者正在调整策略。在加密货币领域,人们对探索比特币和以太坊以外的领域越来越感兴趣,包括期权交易。
Memecoins like Shiba Inu and PEPE have also been gaining traction among investors, while certain sectors — such as gaming and Layer 2 solutions — are reporting impressive gains of up to 17% in a single week.
Shiba Inu 和 PEPE 等 Memecoin 也受到了投资者的青睐,而某些行业(例如游戏和 Layer 2 解决方案)的单周涨幅高达 17%,令人印象深刻。
With October being a traditionally strong month for cryptocurrencies, there is speculation that favorable market conditions could fuel further price increases across both asset classes. The increasing participation of institutional investors in crypto markets is also influencing this trend, as their trading patterns tend to align with those of stocks.
由于十月是加密货币传统上强劲的月份,有人猜测有利的市场条件可能会推动这两种资产类别的价格进一步上涨。机构投资者越来越多地参与加密货币市场也影响了这一趋势,因为他们的交易模式往往与股票的交易模式保持一致。
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
精选图片来自 Pexels,图表来自 TradingView
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