信任比特幣（BTC）價格的5個理由將在本周繼續上漲

全球舞台正在為美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）在4月2日稱為“解放日”。

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Bitcoin traders are preparing for a jam-packed and potentially turbulent week. From looming tariffs to whale-sized BTC bid activity, here are five major factors that market participants need to keep on their radar.

比特幣交易者正在為擠滿了擠滿的且可能動蕩的一周做準備。從迫在眉睫的關稅到鯨魚大小的BTC競標活動，這是市場參與者保持雷達需要的五個主要因素。

#1 US Tariffs Poised To Escalate On April 2

＃1美國關稅準備在4月2日昇級

The global stage is bracing for what US President Donald Trump has called “Liberation Day” on April 2. According to The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter), the administration’s plan for “reciprocal tariffs” promises to be a watershed moment in ongoing international trade disputes.

全球舞台正在為美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）在4月2日所說的“解放日”（Kobeissi Letter）（@kobeissiletter）表示，這是政府對持續國際貿易糾紛的分水嶺的計劃。

“President Trump has been discussing this Wednesday, April 2nd, for weeks. This is a day that he has named ‘Liberation Day’ where widespread new tariffs are coming. We believe April 2nd will be the biggest escalation of the trade war to date,” The Kobeissi Letter writes via X.

“特朗普總統在4月2日（星期三）討論了數週。這是他任命“解放日”的日子，新的新關稅即將到來。我們相信4月2日將是迄今為止貿易戰的最大升級，” Kobeissi Letter通過X寫道。

These tariffs will layer on top of a slew of existing US duties that span steel, aluminum, Canadian goods, Mexican goods, and many Chinese imports. The Kobeissi Letter points out that 25% levies on auto imports and on countries purchasing Venezuelan oil will also take place this week. With retaliatory measures from Canada, China, the EU, and Mexico in the pipeline, they warn of a “massive trade war,” intensifying uncertainty for global markets.

這些關稅將在跨越鋼鐵，鋁製，加拿大商品，墨西哥商品和許多中國進口的一系列現有美國職責之上。 Kobeissi信指出，本週還將在本週進行委內瑞拉石油的汽車進口和購買委內瑞拉石油的國家 /地區徵收25％的徵稅。通過加拿大，中國，歐盟和墨西哥的報復措施，他們警告說，“大規模貿易戰”加劇了全球市場的不確定性。

Beyond trade specifics, the coming days could see inflation pressure increase due to higher consumer costs on imported goods. Citing an uptick in the Economy Policy Uncertainty Index, The Kobeissi Letter highlights: “Policy uncertainty is currently above just about any crisis in modern US history. We are seeing ~80% HIGHER uncertainty levels than 2008. As a result, market swings are widening, and we expect an extremely volatile week.”

除了貿易細節之外，由於進口商品的消費者成本較高，未來幾天可能會增加通貨膨脹壓力。 Kobeissi信件引用了經濟政策不確定性指數的提升，他的信件強調：“政策的不確定性目前高於現代歷史上的任何危機。我們看到的不確定性水平比2008年高出80％。結果，市場波動正在擴大，我們預計一周非常波動。”

Add in President Trump’s latest threats regarding Iran—where “secondary tariffs” and potential levies on Russian oil are on the table—and there are multiple international flashpoints that may fuel market volatility.

加上特朗普總統對伊朗的最新威脅，其中“次要關稅”和對俄羅斯石油的潛在徵收的稅率也在桌上 - 並且有多種國際閃點可能會促進市場波動。

#2 Bitcoin Whale Activity

＃2比特幣鯨活動

In the Bitcoin arena, large-scale liquidity maneuvers remain a focal point. Keith Alan (@KAProductions), co-founder of Material Indicators, drew attention to a potential whale strategy in action—attributed by a figure he calls “Spoofy the Whale.”

在比特幣領域，大規模的流動性操縱仍然是焦點。物質指標的聯合創始人Keith Alan（@Kaproductions）提請注意一種潛在的鯨魚策略，這是他稱為“欺騙鯨魚的數字”。

“My first clue that something was up came with a sequence of micro movements that seemed to be a little different than his typical price adjustment of his massive blocks of ask liquidity. At a closer look I noticed a ladder of BTC bid liquidity perfectly aligned and moving with the ask liquidity. While I have no real way of confirming that it is the same entity using ask liquidity to herd price into their own bids, it appears that Spoofy has been buying this dip and has bids laddered down to $78k,” Alan wrote on Sunday.

“我的第一個線索是，一系列微觀運動似乎與他對他巨大的詢問的典型價格調整有所不同。在近距離看來，我注意到BTC BID的流動性完美地保持了流動性，並且與詢問的流動性相同。儘管我沒有真正的選擇。這次下跌，並將出價降低到78,000美元，”艾倫（Alan）週日寫道。

He also noted the convergence of several news events—Sunday’s weekly close, Monday’s monthly close, and the expected tariff implementation midweek—that may spur further price swings. While acknowledging BTC could still decline, Alan highlighted the whale’s apparent commitment to accumulating at current levels: “In the grand scheme of things, none of this means BTC price can’t go lower, but it does mean that the whale that has been suppressing BTC price for the last 3 weeks is using a DCA strategy to buy this dip…and so am I.”

他還指出，幾項新聞事件的融合 - 週六的每週關閉，週一的每月關閉以及預期的周三關稅實施 - 可能會刺激進一步的價格波動。儘管承認BTC仍然會下降，但艾倫強調了鯨魚在當前水平上積累的明顯承諾：“在宏偉的方案中，這都不意味著BTC的價格不能降低，但這確實意味著抑制了過去3週的BTC價格的鯨魚使用DCA策略來購買此DCA策略，以購買此DIP……等等。”

#3 Bitcoin Bearish Flag Breakdown

＃3比特幣看跌旗故障

Technical analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) is warning traders to keep a close eye on pivotal support levels following a bearish flag breakdown: “We were tracking this bearish flag pattern all last week and as we can see we had a breakdown of that weakness. If BTC does lose the golden pocket here at $81K and follows through with that measured move target, then the $70K-$73K range … would be the ‘Measured Move’ target.”

技術分析師Kevin（@kev_capital_ta）警告交易者密切注意關鍵支持水平，在看跌旗幟崩潰之後，在上週整個上週，我們一直在跟踪這種看跌旗的模式，正如我們可以看到，我們看到了這種弱點的崩潰。移動“目標”。

Still, Kevin posits that, given widespread negative sentiment around April 2 (“Armageddon Day” in some corners of the media), there is a possibility of a contrarian twist: “Will the Tariff implementation on April 2nd be a rare ‘sell the rumor buy the news event’? … Everyone thinks the world is suddenly going to end.”

儘管如此，凱文認為，鑑於4月2日左右的普遍負面情緒（在媒體的某些角落的“大決戰日”）中，有可能發生逆勢的轉折：“ 4月2日的關稅實施會是罕見的謠言，賣出謠言賣出新聞事件嗎？

He also added: “A little bit of long liquidity at the $78K-$80K level but a lot of juice in the $87K-$89K (Dark Yellow) range for market makers to transact in right before the CNBC proclaimed “Armageddon Day” on April 2nd. Makes me wonder.”

他還補充說：“一點點長途流動性，價格為78,000美元至8萬美元，但在$ 87K- $ 89K（深黃色）的價格上有很多果汁（深黃色）範圍，以使市政公司在CNBC宣佈為“ AntageDon Day”之前就可以進行交易，4月2日，我感到奇怪。”

#4 Seasoned Players Accumulate

＃4經驗豐富的球員積累

From an on-chain perspective, Axel Adler Jr, an analyst at CryptoQuant, observes that experienced market participants are moving

從鏈的角度來看，CryptoQuant的分析師Axel Adler Jr觀察到經驗豐富的市場參與者正在移動