信任比特币（BTC）价格的5个理由将在本周继续上涨

全球舞台正在为美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）在4月2日称为“解放日”。

How Our News is Made

我们的新闻是如何制作的

Standard Disclaimer

标准免责声明

Maecenas pretium quam et risus fermentum, vitae aliquet ante sollicitudin. Aenean tincidun lorem at nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

Maecenas价格比微笑，Life Bananas以前。茉莉花tincidun lorem在尼斯（Nisl）柔软。每个arcu lorem，超级儿童或ullamcorper的足球仇恨。

Bitcoin traders are preparing for a jam-packed and potentially turbulent week. From looming tariffs to whale-sized BTC bid activity, here are five major factors that market participants need to keep on their radar.

比特币交易者正在为挤满了挤满的且可能动荡的一周做准备。从迫在眉睫的关税到鲸鱼大小的BTC竞标活动，这是市场参与者保持雷达需要的五个主要因素。

#1 US Tariffs Poised To Escalate On April 2

＃1美国关税准备在4月2日升级

The global stage is bracing for what US President Donald Trump has called “Liberation Day” on April 2. According to The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter), the administration’s plan for “reciprocal tariffs” promises to be a watershed moment in ongoing international trade disputes.

全球舞台正在为美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）在4月2日所说的“解放日”（Kobeissi Letter）（@kobeissiletter）表示，这是政府对持续国际贸易纠纷的分水岭的计划。

“President Trump has been discussing this Wednesday, April 2nd, for weeks. This is a day that he has named ‘Liberation Day’ where widespread new tariffs are coming. We believe April 2nd will be the biggest escalation of the trade war to date,” The Kobeissi Letter writes via X.

“特朗普总统在4月2日（星期三）讨论了数周。这是他任命“解放日”的日子，新的新关税即将到来。我们相信4月2日将是迄今为止贸易战的最大升级，” Kobeissi Letter通过X写道。

These tariffs will layer on top of a slew of existing US duties that span steel, aluminum, Canadian goods, Mexican goods, and many Chinese imports. The Kobeissi Letter points out that 25% levies on auto imports and on countries purchasing Venezuelan oil will also take place this week. With retaliatory measures from Canada, China, the EU, and Mexico in the pipeline, they warn of a “massive trade war,” intensifying uncertainty for global markets.

这些关税将在跨越钢铁，铝制，加拿大商品，墨西哥商品和许多中国进口的一系列现有美国职责之上。 Kobeissi信指出，本周还将在本周进行委内瑞拉石油的汽车进口和购买委内瑞拉石油的国家 /地区征收25％的征税。通过加拿大，中国，欧盟和墨西哥的报复措施，他们警告说，“大规模贸易战”加剧了全球市场的不确定性。

Beyond trade specifics, the coming days could see inflation pressure increase due to higher consumer costs on imported goods. Citing an uptick in the Economy Policy Uncertainty Index, The Kobeissi Letter highlights: “Policy uncertainty is currently above just about any crisis in modern US history. We are seeing ~80% HIGHER uncertainty levels than 2008. As a result, market swings are widening, and we expect an extremely volatile week.”

除了贸易细节之外，由于进口商品的消费者成本较高，未来几天可能会增加通货膨胀压力。 Kobeissi信件引用了经济政策不确定性指数的提升，他的信件强调：“政策的不确定性目前高于现代历史上的任何危机。我们看到的不确定性水平比2008年高出80％。结果，市场波动正在扩大，我们预计一周非常波动。”

Add in President Trump’s latest threats regarding Iran—where “secondary tariffs” and potential levies on Russian oil are on the table—and there are multiple international flashpoints that may fuel market volatility.

加上特朗普总统对伊朗的最新威胁，其中“次要关税”和对俄罗斯石油的潜在征收的税率也在桌上 - 并且有多种国际闪点可能会促进市场波动。

#2 Bitcoin Whale Activity

＃2比特币鲸活动

In the Bitcoin arena, large-scale liquidity maneuvers remain a focal point. Keith Alan (@KAProductions), co-founder of Material Indicators, drew attention to a potential whale strategy in action—attributed by a figure he calls “Spoofy the Whale.”

在比特币领域，大规模的流动性操纵仍然是焦点。物质指标的联合创始人Keith Alan（@Kaproductions）提请注意一种潜在的鲸鱼策略，这是他称为“欺骗鲸鱼的数字”。

“My first clue that something was up came with a sequence of micro movements that seemed to be a little different than his typical price adjustment of his massive blocks of ask liquidity. At a closer look I noticed a ladder of BTC bid liquidity perfectly aligned and moving with the ask liquidity. While I have no real way of confirming that it is the same entity using ask liquidity to herd price into their own bids, it appears that Spoofy has been buying this dip and has bids laddered down to $78k,” Alan wrote on Sunday.

“我的第一个线索是，一系列微观运动似乎与他对他巨大的询问的典型价格调整有所不同。在近距离看来，我注意到BTC BID的流动性完美地保持了流动性，并且与询问的流动性相同。尽管我没有真正的选择。这次下跌，并将出价降低到78,000美元，”艾伦（Alan）周日写道。

He also noted the convergence of several news events—Sunday’s weekly close, Monday’s monthly close, and the expected tariff implementation midweek—that may spur further price swings. While acknowledging BTC could still decline, Alan highlighted the whale’s apparent commitment to accumulating at current levels: “In the grand scheme of things, none of this means BTC price can’t go lower, but it does mean that the whale that has been suppressing BTC price for the last 3 weeks is using a DCA strategy to buy this dip…and so am I.”

他还指出，几项新闻事件的融合 - 周六的每周关闭，周一的每月关闭以及预期的周三关税实施 - 可能会刺激进一步的价格波动。尽管承认BTC仍然会下降，但艾伦强调了鲸鱼在当前水平上积累的明显承诺：“在宏伟的方案中，这都不意味着BTC的价格不能降低，但这确实意味着抑制了过去3周的BTC价格的鲸鱼使用DCA策略来购买此DCA策略，以购买此DIP……等等。”

#3 Bitcoin Bearish Flag Breakdown

＃3比特币看跌旗故障

Technical analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) is warning traders to keep a close eye on pivotal support levels following a bearish flag breakdown: “We were tracking this bearish flag pattern all last week and as we can see we had a breakdown of that weakness. If BTC does lose the golden pocket here at $81K and follows through with that measured move target, then the $70K-$73K range … would be the ‘Measured Move’ target.”

技术分析师Kevin（@kev_capital_ta）警告交易者密切注意关键支持水平，在看跌旗帜崩溃之后，在上周整个上周，我们一直在跟踪这种看跌旗的模式，正如我们可以看到，我们看到了这种弱点的崩溃。移动“目标”。

Still, Kevin posits that, given widespread negative sentiment around April 2 (“Armageddon Day” in some corners of the media), there is a possibility of a contrarian twist: “Will the Tariff implementation on April 2nd be a rare ‘sell the rumor buy the news event’? … Everyone thinks the world is suddenly going to end.”

尽管如此，凯文认为，鉴于4月2日左右的普遍负面情绪（在媒体的某些角落的“大决战日”）中，有可能发生逆势的转折：“ 4月2日的关税实施会是罕见的谣言，卖出谣言卖出新闻事件吗？

He also added: “A little bit of long liquidity at the $78K-$80K level but a lot of juice in the $87K-$89K (Dark Yellow) range for market makers to transact in right before the CNBC proclaimed “Armageddon Day” on April 2nd. Makes me wonder.”

他还补充说：“一点点长途流动性，价格为78,000美元至8万美元，但在$ 87K- $ 89K（深黄色）的价格上有很多果汁（深黄色）范围，以使市政公司在CNBC宣布为“ AntageDon Day”之前就可以进行交易，4月2日，我感到奇怪。”

#4 Seasoned Players Accumulate

＃4经验丰富的球员积累

From an on-chain perspective, Axel Adler Jr, an analyst at CryptoQuant, observes that experienced market participants are moving

从链的角度来看，CryptoQuant的分析师Axel Adler Jr观察到经验丰富的市场参与者正在移动