隨著第2層解決方案的增長有可能使其處理能力飽和，與以太坊可擴展性的時間競賽

自引入EIP-4844以來，以太坊將“斑點”用作低成本的存儲機制來支持基礎，仲裁和樂觀等L2網絡。

Ethereum could soon face a technical deadlock as the rapid expansion of layer 2 solutions threatens to overwhelm its processing capacity, despite planned improvements, a new report by crypto experts warns.

Crypto專家警告說，儘管計劃有所改善，但第2層解決方案的迅速擴展可能會淹沒其處理能力，以太坊可能會面臨技術僵局。

As reported by Cointribune, despite the planned EIP-4844 upgrade, which is set to increase the number of “blobs” in each block to six, demand from L2 networks like Base, Arbitrum, and Optimism could outpace supply.

正如Cointribune報導的那樣，儘管有計劃的EIP-4844升級，該升級旨在將每個塊中的“斑點”數量增加到六個，但L2網絡的需求（例如基本，仲裁和樂觀）可能會超過供應。

This would have the effect of raising transaction fees on L2s to levels that could stymie user adoption, even with the introduction of PeerDAS and Fusaka.

這將產生將L2S的交易費用提高到可能阻礙用戶採用的水平，即使引入Peerdas和Fusaka。

Indeed, experts believe that Ethereum would need to process at least 33 blobs per block to keep L2 transaction costs low, at around $0.02 per transaction.

確實，專家認為，以太坊需要每個塊至少處理33個斑點，以使L2交易成本較低，約為每筆交易的0.02美元。

However, even with the Pectra upgrade, scheduled for May 7, 2025, and the next few phases of the roadmap, this level of throughput seems unattainable in the short term.

但是，即使是計劃於2025年5月7日和路線圖的接下來的幾個階段進行的Pectra升級，這種吞吐量在短期內似乎無法實現。

At present, L2s are handling a combined transaction volume of about 3,000 transactions per second, which consumes three to four blobs per second.

目前，L2S處理的合併交易量約為每秒3,000件交易，每秒消耗三到四個斑點。

A tenfold increase in transaction volume on these networks would push fees to $0.64 per transaction, rendering L2s largely unusable.

這些網絡的交易量增加十倍，將費用提高到每筆交易的0.64美元，從而使L2S基本上無法使用。

To put this in perspective, L2s generated $3 billion in revenue for Ethereum in 2023, while miners collected $1 billion in block rewards.

從角度來看，L2S在2023年為以太坊產生了30億美元的收入，而礦工則收取了10億美元的收益。

Moreover, L2s contributed about $4.5 billion to the Ethereum treasury through blob fees.

此外，L2s通過Blob Fees為以太坊財政部貢獻了約45億美元。

Base is a perfect example of the L2 model's potential and challenges.

基礎是L2模型潛力和挑戰的完美例子。

Since its launch, Base has generated over $106 million in fees, onboarded more than 155 million addresses, and contributed $4.5 million in blob fees for Ethereum.

自推出以來，基地已經產生了超過1.06億美元的費用，登上了超過1.55億美元的地址，並為以太坊貢獻了450萬美元的斑點費用。

With an average of 93 transactions per second over the past six months, Base highlights both the benefits and difficulties of the current model.

在過去的六個月中，平均每秒93次交易，基礎強調了當前模型的好處和困難。

This blockchain already secures nearly $10 billion in total value, strengthening the Ethereum ecosystem.

該區塊鏈已經確保了近100億美元的總價值，從而增強了以太坊生態系統。

However, sustained growth at this rate would quickly exhaust the available capacity on Ethereum, shifting the balance in favor of a return to high transaction fees.

但是，以這種速度持續增長將迅速消耗以太坊的可用容量，轉移平衡，有利於返回高交易費用。

This would ultimately compromise L2's long-term strategy and squander the gains made in scaling the network.

這最終將損害L2的長期戰略，並浪費在擴展網絡時所取得的收益。

In a scenario where L2 transactions increase tenfold, Ethereum’s annualized revenue would reach about $1.4 billion, roughly equivalent to its current fee generation.

在L2交易增加十倍的情況下，以太坊的年度收入將達到約14億美元，大致相當於當前的收費。

Therefore, Ethereum’s future as the backbone of Decentralized Applications will depend on its ability to resolve these technical constraints before they become an insurmountable obstacle to its adoption.

因此，以太坊作為分散應用程序的骨幹的未來將取決於其在這些技術限製成為其採用障礙之前解決這些技術限制的能力。

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