查爾斯·霍斯金森（Charles Hoskinson）建議，比特幣（BTC）今年可能達到25萬美元的價格

在最近接受CNBC的播客採訪中，以太坊和Cardano的聯合創始人查爾斯·霍斯金森（Charles Hoskinson）建議比特幣（Crypto：BTC）今年可能達到25萬美元的價格。

In a recent podcast interview with CNBC, Charles Hoskinson, the co-founder of both Ethereum and Cardano, suggested that Bitcoin(CRYPTO: BTC) could hit a price of $250,000 this year. That's an astounding 194% increase from its current price of $85,000.

在最近接受CNBC的播客採訪中，以太坊和Cardano的聯合創始人查爾斯·霍斯金森（Charles Hoskinson）建議比特幣（Crypto：BTC）今年可能達到25萬美元的價格。這比目前的85,000美元的價格驚人的194％增長了194％。

So what makes Hoskinson so confident that Bitcoin is poised for a major rally in the second half of 2025?

那麼，是什麼讓霍斯金森如此自信比特幣在2025年下半年有資格進行重大集會呢？

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Bitcoin adoption

比特幣採用

The primary reason for optimism, says Hoskinson, is the growing rate of Bitcoin adoption. As he points out, there are now 659 million crypto users worldwide. That's up 13% on a year-over-year basis. Crypto is a truly global phenomenon, so even if Bitcoin adoption in the United States stalls out due to the slowing of economic growth, there is still demand for it worldwide.

霍斯金森說，樂觀的主要原因是比特幣採用的速度不斷增長。正如他指出的那樣，全球有6.59億加密使用者。同比增長13％。加密是一種真正的全球現象，因此，即使由於經濟增長的放緩而在美國的比特幣採用了，但在全球範圍內仍然有需求。

Individual investors are embracing Bitcoin, and so are corporations. Strategy(NASDAQ: MSTR), the company formerly known as MicroStrategy, is leading the way. As of March 31, it held 528,185 Bitcoins worth nearly $45 billion at today's prices, making it the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin in the world. A growing number of companies are starting to follow in its footsteps, with the goal of boosting their stock market valuations by adding Bitcoin to the balance sheet.

個人投資者正在擁抱比特幣，公司也是如此。該公司（以前稱為MicroStrategy）的戰略（NASDAQ：MSTR）正在領導。截至3月31日，它以今天的價格持有528,185個比特幣，價值近450億美元，使其成為世界上比特幣的最大公司持有人。越來越多的公司開始遵循其腳步，目的是通過在資產負債表中增加比特幣來提高其股市估值。

Image source: Getty Images.

圖像來源：蓋蒂圖像。

And not to be outdone, sovereign governments are also getting into the mix. President Donald Trump, who made Bitcoin part of his platform during the 2024 election, has been looking for new ways that the federal government can integrate crypto into the financial system. The highest-profile move, of course, was the establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in March.

而且，主權政府也不要勝任。唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）總統在2024年大選期間將比特幣成為其平台的一部分，他一直在尋找聯邦政府可以將加密貨幣整合到金融體系中的新方法。當然，最引人注目的舉動是在3月建立了戰略性的比特幣儲備。

New crypto legislation

新的加密立法

Another key catalyst, says Hoskinson, is new crypto legislation in 2025 that will finally lay out the rules of the road for the crypto industry. The first major piece of legislation will be one related to stablecoins, which have grown into a $200 billion industry. The second major piece of legislation is the Digital Asset Market Structure and Investor Protection Act.

霍斯金森說，另一個關鍵的催化劑是2025年的新加密立法，最終將製定加密貨幣行業的道路規則。第一項主要立法將是與Stablecoins有關的立法，該立法已發展為2000億美元的行業。第二個主要立法是《數字資產市場結構和投資者保護法》。

These two new pieces of legislation are important because the U.S. currently does not have any comprehensive framework for crypto, and has been forced to rely on a policy of "regulation by enforcement" by the Securities and Exchange Commission. That's in sharp contrast to the rest of the world. The European Union, for example, recently put into place a comprehensive crypto framework called MiCA at the end of 2024.

這兩項新立法很重要，因為美國目前沒有任何全面的加密框架，並且被證券交易委員會被迫依靠“執法監管”的政策。這與世界其他地方形成鮮明對比。例如，歐盟最近在2024年底建立了一個名為MICA的全面加密框架。

Will the "Magnificent Seven" adopt Bitcoin?

“宏偉的七個”會採用比特幣嗎？

This new legislation is vital for another important reason: It will theoretically make crypto safe enough for America's biggest corporations. In fact, Hoskinson thinks several of the "Magnificent Seven" tech companies could start to get involved with crypto as soon as the new legislation goes into effect.

這項新立法至關重要，這是另一個重要原因：從理論上講，這將使加密貨幣對美國最大的公司足夠安全。實際上，霍斯金森（Hoskinson）認為，一旦新立法生效，“壯麗的七個”科技公司中的幾個可以開始參與加密貨幣。

As Hoskinson sees it, the biggest opportunities for the Magnificent Seven could be in stablecoins, which are pegged 1-to-1 to the U.S. dollar. These "digital dollars" could be the key to paying workers in different countries, while enabling faster and more efficient cross-border transactions.

正如霍斯金森（Hoskinson）所看到的那樣，壯麗的七人的最大機會可能是在stablecoins中，這與美元固定為1：1。這些“數字美元”可能是向不同國家 /地區支付工人的關鍵，同時實現更快，更有效的跨境交易。

That might sound far-fetched for anyone new to crypto. However, as long as the price of Bitcoin goes up, momentum will build for major tech companies to embrace crypto.

對於新手加密的人來說，這聽起來可能很牽強。但是，只要比特幣的價格上漲，大型科技公司就會建立勢頭。

For example, in December, Microsoft(NASDAQ: MSFT) shareholders voted on a shareholder proposal calling on the company to add Bitcoin to its balance sheet. While Microsoft ultimately voted "no" on the proposal, it now looks like similar shareholder proposals could be on the way for other tech companies.

例如，在12月，微軟（納斯達克股票代碼：MSFT）股東對股東提案進行了投票，呼籲公司將比特幣添加到其資產負債表中。儘管微軟最終對該提案投票了“否”，但現在看起來類似的股東提議可能正在為其他科技公司提供。

Impact of tariffs on Bitcoin

關稅對比特幣的影響

Hoskinson also has some interesting thoughts on the current tariff uncertainty, and the threat of a looming trade war. He's not nearly as bearish as many analysts are, even going so far as to say that "the tariff stuff will be a dud." As he sees it, many of the worst fears of a full-blown trade war are overdone.

霍斯金森還對當前關稅不確定性以及迫在眉睫的貿易戰的威脅有一些有趣的想法。他的看跌程度不如許多分析師，甚至說“關稅的東西將是愚蠢的”。正如他所看到的那樣，許多對成熟貿易戰的最恐懼是過分的。

Based on his view of the current economic situation, the crypto market will stall out over the next few months, as it awaits action from the Fed and more clarity around tariffs. As soon as the Fed lowers interest rates, it could lead to "cheap, fast money" pouring into crypto, thereby pushing up the price of Bitcoin. He's fully expecting a speculative crypto rally by September, which could lead to Bitcoin hitting that $250,000 price target by the end of 2025.

根據他對當前經濟狀況的看法，加密貨幣市場將在接下來的幾個月中停滯不前，因為它在等待美聯儲的行動以及對關稅的更加清晰度。美聯儲降低利率後，它可能會導致“廉價，快速的錢”湧入加密貨幣，從而提高比特幣的價格。他完全期望在9月份進行投機性加密集會，這可能會導致比特幣在2025年底之前達到25萬美元的價格目標。

Can Bitcoin really hit $250,000?

比特幣真的可以達到25萬美元嗎？

There's obviously a lot to unpack here. There is the storyline that was popular before

這裡顯然有很多東西要打開包裝。有故事情節以前很受歡迎