匿名分析師 Capo 警告比特幣 (BTC) 可能已接近局部頂部

化名分析師卡波認為，某些指標顯示比特幣可能在不久的將來面臨回檔。

A well-known crypto analyst who accurately predicted the market collapse of 2022 is now cautioning that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) may be nearing a local top.

一位準確預測 2022 年市場崩盤的知名加密貨幣分析師現在警告稱，比特幣（CRYPTO：BTC）可能已接近局部頂部。

What Happened: Pseudonymous analyst Capo believes that certain indicators suggest that Bitcoin could face a pullback in the near future. The analyst, recognized for their precise market calls, has shared their concerns about Bitcoin's current trajectory.

發生了什麼事：化名分析師卡波認為，某些指標表明比特幣可能在不久的將來面臨回調。這位因準確的市場預測而聞名的分析師分享了他們對比特幣當前軌蹟的擔憂。

In a recent post on Telegram, the crypto expert pointed to factors like overextended bullish sentiment and waning momentum as signs that a correction might be imminent.

在最近 Telegram 上的一篇文章中，這位加密貨幣專家指出，過度看漲情緒和勢頭減弱等因素表明，調整可能即將到來。

Bitcoin has recently experienced a significant recovery, climbing past $37,000 after a prolonged bear market. However, the analyst warns that the asset's strong rally could be losing steam, making it vulnerable to short-term declines. Capo argues that traders should exercise caution and prepare for potential volatility.

比特幣最近經歷了顯著復甦，在經歷了長期熊市之後攀升至 37,000 美元以上。然而，分析師警告稱，該資產的強勁反彈可能正在失去動力，使其容易遭受短期下跌。卡波認為，交易者應謹慎行事，並為潛在的波動做好準備。

"I'm still out of the market for a few weeks now. At this point, it doesn't matter if Bitcoin reaches $98,000, $99,000, or if it goes above $100,000. The local top could occur at any moment, and this movement could be fully retraced," Capo said in the post.

「我現在還沒有進入市場幾週。此時，比特幣是否達到 98,000 美元、99,000 美元，或者是否超過 100,000 美元並不重要。局部頂部可能隨時出現，而且這一走勢可以完全回溯，」卡波在帖子中說。

Capo outlines several reasons for his belief that a market correction is likely, including the fact that pro-crypto U.S. President-elect Donald Trump won't assume office until January 20th.

Capo 概述了他認為市場可能會出現調整的幾個原因，其中包括支持加密貨幣的美國當選總統唐納德·川普要到 1 月 20 日才會就職。

Capo shared some of the reasons why he is being cautious about the Bitcoin move.

Capo 分享了他對比特幣走勢持謹慎態度的一些原因。

"Sentiment is extremely bullish here. Retail is piling in massively, aping into memecoins. The memecoin rally feels overextended, and that's unhealthy. A strong correction is overdue, and it will likely affect the entire market. Trump is still not in power. The Democrats are still governing the country, and despite saying the transfer of power would be ‘smooth and in a peaceful way,' they are already trying to provoke a big war. In my view, this is a desperate attempt to apply the martial law or/and leave Trump in a complicated position,” Capo said in the post.

「這裡的情緒非常樂觀。零售業正在大量湧入，模仿 memecoin。memecoin 的反彈感覺過度，這是不健康的。強烈的調整遲來了，它可能會影響整個市場。川普仍然沒有掌權。民主黨仍在統治這個國家，儘管他們聲稱權力轉移將是“平穩且和平的”，但他們已經在試圖挑起一場大戰，在我看來，這是一次絕望的實施戒嚴令的嘗試。朗普處於一個複雜的境地，」卡波在帖子中說道。

Capo added, “Also, the US government holds 208,109 BTC (currently $20.15 billion). They recently got approval to sell the Silk Road Bitcoin, likely through auctions or gradual sales. Honestly, it wouldn't be surprising if they timed it to tank BTC prices and make the next administration look bad – or just to make sure they don't leave those BTC behind for them to use.”

Capo 補充說：「此外，美國政府持有 208,109 BTC（目前價值 201.5 億美元）。他們最近獲得了出售絲綢之路比特幣的批准，可能是透過拍賣或逐步銷售的方式。老實說，如果他們選擇時機來壓低比特幣價格並讓下一屆政府看起來很糟糕，或者只是為了確保他們不會留下這些比特幣供他們使用，那就不足為奇了。

“Many altcoins are showing weakness and testing major levels as resistance. It's mostly a BTC and memecoins run, which is never a good sign. Not ruling out a few final altcoins pumps, but if my thesis is right, they could dump 60-80% over the next few weeks," the analyst concluded.

「許多山寨幣都表現疲軟，並測試主要阻力位。這主要是比特幣和迷因幣的運行，這從來都不是一個好兆頭。不排除最終出現一些山寨幣上漲的情況，但如果我的論點是正確的，他們可能會在接下來的幾週內拋售 60-80%，」分析師總結道。

Why It Matters: Despite the cautionary outlook, Bitcoin remains a dominant force in the cryptocurrency market, with proponents pointing to its long-term potential as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. Institutional adoption and favorable regulatory developments continue to support the broader bullish case.

為什麼重要：儘管前景謹慎，比特幣仍然是加密貨幣市場的主導力量，支持者指出其作為對沖通膨和經濟不確定性的長期潛力。機構採用和有利的監管發展繼續支持更廣泛的看漲情況。

For investors, this latest warning serves as a reminder of the inherent volatility in the crypto market. While Bitcoin has defied expectations before, understanding market dynamics and being prepared for fluctuations is essential for navigating the space.

對投資人來說，這項最新警告提醒人們加密市場固有的波動性。儘管比特幣之前的表現超出了人們的預期，但了解市場動態並為波動做好準備對於駕馭這一領域至關重要。

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This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

該內容部分是在人工智慧工具的幫助下製作的，並由 Benzinga 編輯審核和發布。