匿名分析师 Capo 警告比特币 (BTC) 可能已接近局部顶部

化名分析师卡波认为，某些指标表明比特币可能在不久的将来面临回调。

A well-known crypto analyst who accurately predicted the market collapse of 2022 is now cautioning that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) may be nearing a local top.

一位准确预测 2022 年市场崩溃的知名加密货币分析师现在警告称，比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）可能已接近局部顶部。

What Happened: Pseudonymous analyst Capo believes that certain indicators suggest that Bitcoin could face a pullback in the near future. The analyst, recognized for their precise market calls, has shared their concerns about Bitcoin's current trajectory.

发生了什么：化名分析师卡波认为，某些指标表明比特币可能在不久的将来面临回调。这位因准确的市场预测而闻名的分析师分享了他们对比特币当前轨迹的担忧。

In a recent post on Telegram, the crypto expert pointed to factors like overextended bullish sentiment and waning momentum as signs that a correction might be imminent.

在最近 Telegram 上的一篇文章中，这位加密货币专家指出，过度看涨情绪和势头减弱等因素表明，调整可能即将到来。

Bitcoin has recently experienced a significant recovery, climbing past $37,000 after a prolonged bear market. However, the analyst warns that the asset's strong rally could be losing steam, making it vulnerable to short-term declines. Capo argues that traders should exercise caution and prepare for potential volatility.

比特币最近经历了显着复苏，在经历了长期熊市之后攀升至 37,000 美元以上。然而，分析师警告称，该资产的强劲反弹可能正在失去动力，使其容易遭受短期下跌。卡波认为，交易者应谨慎行事，并为潜在的波动做好准备。

"I'm still out of the market for a few weeks now. At this point, it doesn't matter if Bitcoin reaches $98,000, $99,000, or if it goes above $100,000. The local top could occur at any moment, and this movement could be fully retraced," Capo said in the post.

“我现在还没有进入市场几周。此时，比特币是否达到 98,000 美元、99,000 美元，或者是否超过 100,000 美元并不重要。局部顶部可能随时出现，而且这一走势可以完全追溯，”卡波在帖子中说。

Capo outlines several reasons for his belief that a market correction is likely, including the fact that pro-crypto U.S. President-elect Donald Trump won't assume office until January 20th.

Capo 概述了他认为市场可能会出现调整的几个原因，其中包括支持加密货币的美国当选总统唐纳德·特朗普要到 1 月 20 日才会就职。

Capo shared some of the reasons why he is being cautious about the Bitcoin move.

Capo 分享了他对比特币走势持谨慎态度的一些原因。

"Sentiment is extremely bullish here. Retail is piling in massively, aping into memecoins. The memecoin rally feels overextended, and that's unhealthy. A strong correction is overdue, and it will likely affect the entire market. Trump is still not in power. The Democrats are still governing the country, and despite saying the transfer of power would be ‘smooth and in a peaceful way,' they are already trying to provoke a big war. In my view, this is a desperate attempt to apply the martial law or/and leave Trump in a complicated position,” Capo said in the post.

“这里的情绪非常乐观。零售业正在大量涌入，模仿 memecoin。memecoin 的反弹感觉过度，这是不健康的。强烈的调整迟来了，它可能会影响整个市场。特朗普仍然没有掌权。民主党仍在统治这个国家，尽管他们声称权力转移将是“平稳且和平的”，但他们已经在试图挑起一场大战，在我看来，这是一场绝望的战争。试图实施戒严令或/并让特朗普陷入复杂的境地，”卡波在帖子中说。

Capo added, “Also, the US government holds 208,109 BTC (currently $20.15 billion). They recently got approval to sell the Silk Road Bitcoin, likely through auctions or gradual sales. Honestly, it wouldn't be surprising if they timed it to tank BTC prices and make the next administration look bad – or just to make sure they don't leave those BTC behind for them to use.”

Capo 补充道：“此外，美国政府持有 208,109 BTC（目前价值 201.5 亿美元）。他们最近获得了出售丝绸之路比特币的批准，可能是通过拍卖或逐步销售的方式。老实说，如果他们选择时机来压低比特币价格并让下一届政府看起来很糟糕，或者只是为了确保他们不会留下这些比特币供他们使用，那就不足为奇了。”

“Many altcoins are showing weakness and testing major levels as resistance. It's mostly a BTC and memecoins run, which is never a good sign. Not ruling out a few final altcoins pumps, but if my thesis is right, they could dump 60-80% over the next few weeks," the analyst concluded.

“许多山寨币都表现疲软，并测试主要阻力位。这主要是比特币和模因币的运行，这从来都不是一个好兆头。不排除最终出现一些山寨币上涨的情况，但如果我的论点是正确的，他们可能会在接下来的几周内抛售 60-80%，”分析师总结道。

Why It Matters: Despite the cautionary outlook, Bitcoin remains a dominant force in the cryptocurrency market, with proponents pointing to its long-term potential as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. Institutional adoption and favorable regulatory developments continue to support the broader bullish case.

为什么重要：尽管前景谨慎，但比特币仍然是加密货币市场的主导力量，支持者指出其作为对冲通胀和经济不确定性的长期潜力。机构采用和有利的监管发展继续支持更广泛的看涨情况。

For investors, this latest warning serves as a reminder of the inherent volatility in the crypto market. While Bitcoin has defied expectations before, understanding market dynamics and being prepared for fluctuations is essential for navigating the space.

对于投资者来说，这一最新警告提醒人们加密市场固有的波动性。尽管比特币之前的表现超出了人们的预期，但了解市场动态并为波动做好准备对于驾驭这一领域至关重要。

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This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

该内容部分是在人工智能工具的帮助下制作的，并由 Benzinga 编辑审核和发布。