Presto Research 2025 年預測：比特幣 (BTC) 將突破 20 萬美元大關，而 Solana (SOL) 將成為 4 位數的代幣

演算法交易公司 Presto 的分析部門 Presto Research 剛剛發布了題為《從混亂到清晰》的首份年度報告，重點關注了 2024 年加密貨幣趨勢的瘋狂發展，並對 2025 年提出了一些大膽的預測。

2024 saw a wild ride in crypto trends, with meme coins surprisingly leading the market. Tokens like OM and PEPE soared, fueled by community support and a shift towards projects with real-world applications.

2024 年，加密貨幣趨勢出現了瘋狂的成長，迷因幣出乎意料地引領了市場。在社群支持和向實際應用專案的轉變的推動下，OM 和 PEPE 等代幣飆升。

Presto Research’s 2025 predictions include Bitcoin breaking the $200K barrier and Solana reaching 4 figures. Here's a closer look at their bold forecasts.

Presto Research 的 2025 年預測包括比特幣突破 20 萬美元大關，Solana 達到 4 位數。以下是他們大膽預測的詳細介紹。

Presto Research Drops 2025 Crypto Predictions: Bitcoin to Cross $200K, Solana Hits 4 Figures

Presto Research 放棄 2025 年加密貨幣預測：比特幣將突破 20 萬美元，Solana 觸及 4 位數

Presto Research, the analytical wing of algorithmic trading firm Presto, has unveiled its debut annual report. Titled “From Chaos to Clarity,” the report analyzes the key trends that shaped the crypto market in 2024 and makes bold predictions for 2025.

演算法交易公司 Presto 的分析部門 Presto Research 公佈了首份年度報告。該報告題為“從混亂到清晰”，分析了 2024 年加密貨幣市場的主要趨勢，並對 2025 年做出了大膽的預測。

The report highlights the surprising performance of meme coins, which outshone venture capital-backed coins. This phenomenon reflects a shift in investor sentiment, with a preference for transparent and sustainable projects over speculative ventures.

該報告強調了迷因幣令人驚訝的表現，其表現超過了創投支持的幣。這種現象反映了投資者情緒的轉變，與投機性企業相比，投資者更傾向於透明和可持續的項目。

Among the real-world asset (RWA) tokens, mantra (OM) stood out as a governance token for a blockchain that integrates regulation and tokenization of real-world assets. Its success showcases the community's preference for projects that resonate with practical applications.

在現實世界資產（RWA）代幣中，Mantra（OM）作為集現實世界資產監管和代幣化於一體的區塊鏈治理代幣脫穎而出。它的成功展示了社區對與實際應用產生共鳴的項目的偏好。

Presto Research also attributes the late-year market surge to macro events like the launch of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the U.S. presidential election. Presto's October analysis had anticipated this rally, citing liquidity, regulatory easing, and low investor expectations as key drivers.

Presto Research 也將年底市場飆升歸因於現貨比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的推出和美國總統大選等宏觀事件。 Presto 10 月的分析已經預料到了這次反彈，並指出流動性、監管寬鬆和投資者預期較低是主要驅動因素。

notably, the U.S. Senate saw the introduction of the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Bill. While not yet law, it sparks global discussions on countries stacking Bitcoin, with Donald Trump even endorsing the move.

值得注意的是，美國參議院提出了比特幣戰略儲備法案。雖然尚未成為法律，但它引發了關於各國堆積比特幣的全球討論，唐納德·川普甚至支持此舉。

Now, let's dive into Presto Research's 2025 crypto predictions. The report envisions a boom across various crypto sectors, with Bitcoin (BTC) potentially hitting $210,000 due to institutional participation and its growing role as a reserve asset. Ethereum's ETH/BTC ratio is expected to rebound to 0.05, as the network tackles user experience issues and solidifies its dominance in smart contracts.

現在，讓我們深入了解 Presto Research 的 2025 年加密貨幣預測。該報告預計各個加密貨幣領域將出現繁榮，由於機構參與及其作為儲備資產的作用日益增強，比特幣 (BTC) 可能會達到 21 萬美元。隨著網路解決使用者體驗問題並鞏固其在智慧合約中的主導地位，以太坊的 ETH/BTC 比率預計將反彈至 0.05。

“I take a more conservative approach by applying 3.5x multiple to the RV forecast of $1.2tn by 3Q25, assuming a +5.3% MoM growth from today’s RV of $722bn,” notes a Presto Research analyst in the study. “The 5.3% is the compound monthly growth rate of RV between Jan through Nov this year, which captures the impact of easier institutional access enabled by the spot ETFs (the spot ETFs acquiring more BTC will result in rising RV).”

Presto Research 分析師在研究中指出：“我採取更為保守的方法，對 2025 年第三季度 1.2 萬億美元的 RV 預測採用 3.5 倍，假設當前 RV 環比增長 5.3%，為 7,220 億美元。” 「5.3％是今年 1 月至 11 月期間 RV 的月複合增長率，它體現了現貨 ETF 帶來的更容易的機構准入的影響（現貨 ETF 購買更多的 BTC 將導致 RV 上升）。”

The report adds:

報告補充：

This results in my 2025 target value of the Bitcoin network at $4.2tn (vs. $1.9tn today) or $210,000 (=$4.2tn / 19,986,416 BTC) per BTC.

這導致我的 2025 年比特幣網路目標價值為每 BTC 4.2 兆美元（目前為 1.9 兆美元）或 21 萬美元（= 4.2 兆美元/19,986,416 BTC）。

In the realm of decentralized finance (defi), Presto also anticipates decentralized exchanges (dexes) gaining greater prominence, potentially capturing over 20% of centralized exchange (cex) volumes by 2025. Their user-friendly interfaces and open ecosystems are driving this shift.

在去中心化金融(defi) 領域，Presto 也預期去中心化交易所(dexes) 將獲得更大的關注，到2025 年可能會佔據中心化交易所(cex) 交易量的20% 以上。友善的介面和開放的生態系統正在推動這一轉變。

The report concludes by predicting a total crypto market capitalization of $7.5 trillion in 2025, fueled by stablecoins, smart contract platforms entering the mainstream, and increased participation from major institutions. Solana's price is expected to soar to $1,000 per token, riding on its ecosystem's innovations and performance enhancements.

該報告最後預測，在穩定幣、智慧合約平台進入主流以及主要機構參與度增加的推動下，2025 年加密貨幣總市值將達到 7.5 兆美元。由於其生態系統的創新和性能增強，Solana 的價格預計將飆升至每個代幣 1,000 美元。

Presto Research also discusses the institutionalization of crypto, with clear regulations paving the way for the U.S. to become a crypto hub. The concept of companies and nations accumulating Bitcoin is touted as the next frontier, ushering in a new chapter where crypto integrates into the global financial fabric.

Presto Research 也討論了加密貨幣的製度化，明確的法規為美國成為加密貨幣中心鋪平了道路。公司和國家累積比特幣的概念被吹捧為下一個前沿領域，開啟了加密貨幣融入全球金融結構的新篇章。