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從這項堅決的決議到一場戲劇性的、非正統的總統競選,有很多收穫,但讓我們專注於比特幣
The US presidential election results are finally in, and they show that Donald Trump has won a resounding victory, sweeping both the electoral college and the popular vote. There are a huge number of takeaways from this emphatic resolution to a dramatic and unorthodox presidential race, but let’s focus on Bitcoin and blockchains and consider the implications for the crypto industry from this point on.
美國總統大選結果終於出爐,川普取得壓倒性勝利,橫掃選舉團和普選。從這項重大決議到一場戲劇性的、非正統的總統競選中,我們可以得到很多啟示,但讓我們專注於比特幣和區塊鏈,並考慮從現在開始對加密產業的影響。
A Crypto-Focused Campaign
以加密貨幣為中心的活動
From the top, it’s important to note that there has never previously been a presidential campaign that featured crypto as prominently as that just run by Donald Trump. His push for the presidency received advice and backing from David Bailey, the CEO of Bitcoin Magazine. The campaign accepted donations in crypto, and in July, Trump was the headline speaker at the Bitcoin 2024 Conference in Nashville.
從高層來看,值得注意的是,此前從未有過一場總統競選活動像唐納德·川普(Donald Trump)剛剛主持的競選活動一樣突出地強調了加密貨幣。他競選總統的努力得到了《比特幣雜誌》執行長大衛貝利 (David Bailey) 的建議和支持。該競選活動接受了加密貨幣捐款,7 月,川普成為納許維爾比特幣 2024 年會議的頭條新聞發言人。
At that event, Trump made a series of very clear, pro-bitcoin pledges, including intentions to stockpile BTC as a national strategic reserve asset and replace Gary Gensler, who is perceived as having overseen a crypto-hostile regulatory environment, as Chair at the SEC.
在那次活動中,川普做出了一系列非常明確的支持比特幣的承諾,包括打算將比特幣作為國家戰略儲備資產進行儲備,並取代加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler) 擔任委員會主席。
JUST IN: Crowd goes absolutely nuts after Donald Trump vows to fire SEC Chairman Gary Gensler during the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, Tennessee.
剛剛:唐納德·特朗普在田納西州納什維爾舉行的比特幣會議上發誓要解僱美國證券交易委員會主席加里·詹斯勒後,人群徹底瘋了。
Trump was clearly taken aback at the crowd's reaction when he made the announcement.
當川普宣布這一消息時,他顯然對人群的反應感到驚訝。
"On day one, I will fire Gary Gensler and… pic.twitter.com/0CyOMaY6FY
「第一天,我將解僱加里·詹斯勒… pic.twitter.com/0CyOMaY6FY
Trump also promised to protect and bolster the Bitcoin mining industry in the US and put an end to Operation Choke Point 2.0 (an alleged behind-the-scenes strategy by US officials to cut crypto off from banking services). He also pledged to commute the sentence of Ross Ulbricht, who is serving life in prison for making and running the online, BTC-accepting black market Silk Road.
川普還承諾保護和支持美國的比特幣挖礦業,並結束「窒息點行動 2.0」(據稱美國官員旨在切斷銀行服務中的加密貨幣的幕後策略)。他還承諾減刑羅斯·烏布利希 (Ross Ulbricht),後者因製作和運營接受 BTC 的在線黑市絲綢之路而正在終身監禁。
Besides that, Trump appears to be surrounded by a tech-centred, demonstrably crypto-friendly inner circle. This includes, most famously, Elon Musk, whose car company Tesla holds 9,720 BTC, and Vice President-Elect JD Vance, who reportedly personally holds a significant amount of BTC.
除此之外,川普周圍似乎有一個以技術為中心、明顯對加密貨幣友善的核心圈。其中最著名的是馬斯克(Elon Musk)和當選副總統 JD Vance,他的汽車公司特斯拉持有 9,720 比特幣,據報道,他個人持有大量比特幣。
Additionally, last week, news broke that Strive Asset Management–the firm founded by Trump surrogate Vivek Ramaswamy–has launched a wealth management business that integrates Bitcoin. Trump and his sons, Donald Jr., Eric, and Barron, are all closely involved in a DeFi project called World Liberty Financial.
此外,上周有消息稱,由川普代理人 Vivek Ramaswamy 創立的 Strive Asset Management 公司推出了一項整合比特幣的財富管理業務。川普和他的兒子小唐納德 (Donald Jr.)、艾瑞克 (Eric) 和巴倫 (Barron) 都密切參與了名為 World Liberty Financial 的 DeFi 計畫。
Pro-Crypto Politicians Enter the Stage
支持加密貨幣的政客登上舞台
Advocacy group Stand With Crypto, which aims to build political support for the crypto industry in the US, reports through its election tracking service that, currently, 247 candidates it categorizes as “pro-crypto” have been elected to the House of Representatives, compared to 113 it labels as “anti-crypto”, while in the Senate, the numbers are 15 pro-crypto compared to 10 anti-crypto.
旨在為美國加密貨幣行業建立政治支持的倡導組織 Stand With Crypto 透過其選舉追蹤服務報告稱,目前有 247 名被其歸類為「支持加密貨幣」的候選人當選為眾議院議員。貨幣,而在參議院,支持加密貨幣的人數為15 名,反對加密貨幣的人數為10 名。
Welcome to the new members of America's most pro-crypto Congress ever...
歡迎來到美國有史以來最支持加密貨幣的國會的新成員...
219+ pro-crypto candidates and counting have now been elected to the House & Senate. Tonight the crypto voter has spoken decisively - across party lines and in key races across the country. Americans… pic.twitter.com/t91wC3Wtzr
超過 219 名支持加密貨幣的候選人現已當選眾議院和參議院議員。今晚,這位加密貨幣選民跨越黨派界限,在全國各地的關鍵競選中發表了果斷的言論。美國人… pic.twitter.com/t91wC3Wtzr
Additionally, a key individual battle has turned up a pro-crypto result in Ohio, where Sherrod Brown, Chair of the Senate Banking Committee and markedly antagonistic to the crypto industry, lost his seat after almost twenty years in the Senate, to Bernie Moreno, who is strongly supportive of crypto.
此外,一場關鍵的個人鬥爭在俄亥俄州出現了支持加密貨幣的結果,參議院銀行委員會主席、明顯反對加密貨幣行業的謝羅德·布朗(Sherrod Brown)在參議院任職近二十年後,將席位輸給了伯尼·莫雷諾(Bernie Moreno)。
This has resulted in plenty of speculation about what happens next for crypto under the new Trump administration. A plausible scenario is that the US shifts from a country with no regulatory clarity to becoming one of the world’s most crypto-friendly regions, integrating Bitcoin and further accelerating broader crypto adoption.
這導致人們對川普新政府領導下的加密貨幣下一步會發生什麼事產生了很多猜測。一種可能的情況是,美國從一個監管不明確的國家轉變為世界上對加密貨幣最友善的地區之一,整合比特幣並進一步加速更廣泛的加密貨幣採用。
Simultaneously, other related shifts occurred during the presidential race, including, notably, independent media and podcasts overtaking legacy media as a major source of influence, with new media perceived as enabling unfiltered discussion in front of large audiences.
同時,總統競選期間也發生了其他相關變化,其中值得注意的是,獨立媒體和播客取代傳統媒體成為影響力的主要來源,而新媒體被認為可以在大量觀眾面前進行未經過濾的討論。
The key example here is The Joe Rogan Experience, on which Donald Trump appeared and racked up tens of millions of views after also participating in several other long-form podcast discussions.
這裡的關鍵例子是《喬·羅根經歷》,唐納德·特朗普出現在該節目上,並在參加了其他幾個長篇播客討論後獲得了數千萬的觀看次數。
Additionally, prediction markets proved more accurate than traditional polls as a gauge of public opinion and a predictor of events. The breakout platform in this regard was Polymarket–which runs on crypto rails– while Kalshi also provided valuable indicators.
此外,事實證明,預測市場作為公眾輿論的衡量標準和事件的預測指標比傳統民意調查更準確。這方面的突破平台是 Polymarket——它在加密貨幣軌道上運行——而 Kalshi 也提供了有價值的指標。
It can be claimed that Polymarket demonstrates the advantages of decentralized mechanisms, and relatedly, we are witnessing the increased adoption of tokenized products within traditional finance.
可以說,Polymarket 展示了去中心化機制的優勢,與此相關的是,我們正在見證傳統金融領域越來越多地採用代幣化產品。
This can be seen in this year's launch of tokenized RWA fund BUIDL, from BlackRock, while Franklin Templeton manages a tokenized fund FOBXX, and there are similar developments at UBS, which last week announced plans for a tokenized investment fund project called the UBS USD Money Market Investment Fund Token (uMINT).
這可以從貝萊德今年推出的代幣化RWA 基金BUIDL 中看出,而富蘭克林鄧普頓管理著代幣化基金FOBXX,瑞銀集團也有類似的進展,上周宣布計劃推出名為UBS USD Money的代幣化投資基金專案市場投資基金代幣(uMINT)。
This crypto-
這個加密貨幣
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