Polymarket，UMA和Eigenlayer聯手研究和開發下一代預測市場Oracle

該計劃旨在增強爭端解決機制，對參與者的激勵措施保持一致，並提高預測市場的可擴展性和安全性。

Prediction market protocols Polymarket, UMA, and EigenLayer are collaborating to develop the next-generation prediction market oracle, aiming to enhance dispute resolution, align incentives, and improve scalability.

預測市場協議POLMARKET，UMA和EIGENLAYER正在合作開發下一代預測市場Oracle，旨在增強爭議解決，對齊激勵措施並提高可擴展性。

This initiative comes as prediction markets have seen a surge in activity, with Polymarket boasting $6B in cumulative trading volume and having resolved 14,000+ markets since 2020. These markets provide decentralized, real-time forecasts, but existing oracle data infrastructure and Schelling Point-based resolution systems face challenges in scaling systems around natural language processing and subjective market outcomes.

這項舉措是由於預測市場的活動激增，而Polmoarket擁有$ 6B的累積交易量，自2020年以來已解決了14,000多個市場。這些市場提供了分散的實時預測，但現有的Oracle Data Infrarture和Schelling Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-structure and to基於自然語言處理和主觀市場成果的縮放系統中，基於分辨率系統面臨挑戰。

By combining Polymarket’s scale, EigenLayer’s intersubjective verification, and UMA’s Optimistic Oracle (OO) — which secures over $1B in value — the next-gen oracle will introduce flexible dispute resolution, greater community alignment, and enhanced intersubjective security. This evolution will scale oracle capacity, optimize dispute mechanisms, and improve resilience against manipulation.

通過結合Polmoarket的規模，Eigenlayer的主體間驗證，以及UMA的樂觀甲骨文（OO）（OO）（oo）可確保超過$ 1B的價值- 下一代甲骨文將引入靈活的爭議解決，更大的社區一致性，並增強了主體間的安全性。這種演變將擴展甲骨文的能力，優化爭議機制並提高對操縱的彈性。

"Prediction markets are only as good as their ability to resolve outcomes fairly and efficiently. By leveraging new security models and dynamic resolution mechanisms, we're setting the stage for a new era of scalable, community-driven oracles," says Shayne Coplan, Founder of Polymarket.

“預測市場僅與他們公平有效地解決結果的能力一樣好。通過利用新的安全模型和動態分辨率機制，我們為一個可擴展的，社區驅動的甲骨文的新時代奠定了基礎，” Shayne Coplan說。 PolMarket的創始人。

"EigenLayer is fundamentally about enabling new trust models in decentralized systems. Prediction markets are one of the most powerful tools for collective intelligence, but their security depends on oracles that can scale and adapt," says Sreeram Kannan, Founder of Eigen Labs, the creator of EigenLayer. "We're thrilled Uma and Polymarket will be utilizing the intersubjective security enabled by EigenLayer and the EIGEN token, and we are excited to contribute to the research to design this next-gen oracle, so it is more resilient, transparent, and aligned with their users."

“特徵者從根本上講是在分散系統中啟用新的信任模型。預測市場是集體智能的最有力的工具之一，但它們的安全取決於可以擴展和適應的甲板。” eigenlayer。 “我們很高興UMA和Polymarket將利用Eigenlayer和Eigen代幣啟用的主體間安全性，我們很高興為設計這一下一代甲骨文做出貢獻，因此它更具彈性，透明度並與之保持一致他們的用戶。”

The next-gen oracle will introduce several innovations designed to meet the evolving needs of prediction markets and address weaknesses in the Schelling Point systems:

下一代甲骨文將引入幾項旨在滿足預測市場不斷發展的需求並解決Schelling Point Systems中的弱點的創新：

The oracle will integrate multiple layers of subjectivity to create a more nuanced and accurate representation of the market's belief. This will involve combining EigenLayer's intersubjective verification with UMA's OO to create a hierarchical structure of subjective attestations.

Oracle將整合多個主觀性層，以創建對市場信念的更細微和準確的表示。這將涉及將Eigenlayer的主體間驗證與UMA的OO相結合，以創建主觀證明的層次結構。

The integration of EigenLayer will also enable the scaling of oracle capacity for natural language processing and subjective market outcomes. This will be achieved through EigenLayer's distributed network of verifiers, who will collectively attest to the market's belief, reducing the need for large-scale on-chain computations and gas costs.

本徵層的整合還將使甲骨文的自然語言處理能力和主觀市場成果的能力擴展。這將通過Eigenlayer的驗證者分佈式網絡來實現，後者將共同證明市場的信念，從而減少了對大規模的鏈計算和天然氣成本的需求。

To further optimize dispute mechanisms, the next-gen oracle will introduce a dynamic adjustment of participation costs based on the level of participation in the market. This will ensure that the costs of resolving disputes are aligned with the size and activity of the market, creating a more sustainable and efficient dispute resolution system.

為了進一步優化爭議機制，下一代甲骨文將根據市場參與水平對參與成本進行動態調整。這將確保解決爭端的成本與市場的規模和活動保持一致，從而創造出更加可持續和有效的爭議解決系統。

"Prediction markets thrive on trust, transparency, and security. By evolving our oracle infrastructure, we're ensuring these markets can scale effectively while maintaining the economic integrity of their resolutions," says UMA Co-Founder Hart Lambur.

UMA聯合創始人Hart Lambur說：“預測市場會在信任，透明度和安全性上蓬勃發展。通過發展我們的Oracle基礎設施，我們正在確保這些市場可以有效地擴展其決議的經濟完整性。”

Prediction markets have emerged as a powerful tool for collective intelligence, cutting through bias and misinformation to provide real-time, market-driven insights. However, their long-term success depends on the ability to securely resolve complex, subjective disputes at scale.

預測市場已成為集體智能，減少偏見和錯誤信息以提供實時，市場驅動的見解的強大工具。但是，他們的長期成功取決於能夠按大規模解決複雜，主觀爭議的能力。

This collaboration between Polymarket, UMA, and EigenLayer aims to tackle one of the toughest challenges in decentralized computing: verifying truth in a trustless world. Polymarket provides the leading prediction market infrastructure, UMA delivers an optimistic oracle for open-ended dispute resolution, and EigenLayer offers verifiable intersubjectivity, reinforcing security against manipulation.

Polmoarket，UMA和Eigenlayer之間的這種合作旨在應對分散計算中最艱鉅的挑戰之一：在無信任的世界中驗證真相。 Polymarket提供了主要的預測市場基礎架構，UMA為開放式爭議解決了樂觀的甲骨文，Eigenlayer提供了可驗證的主體間性，從而增強了安全性防止操作。

Together, these technologies will help define how decentralized truth is established, ensuring that prediction markets—and the broader ecosystem of intersubjective truth protocols—can evolve into a more scalable, resilient, and participatory future.

這些技術共同有助於定義如何建立分散的真理，從而確保預測市場（以及主體間真實協議的更廣泛的生態系統）可以發展為更可擴展，更具彈性和參與性的未來。

As we continue this research, we also invite market participants, community members, and researchers to help shape the next generation of the optimistic oracle.

隨著我們繼續這項研究，我們還邀請市場參與者，社區成員和研究人員幫助塑造下一代樂觀的甲骨文。