Polymarket，UMA和Eigenlayer联手研究和开发下一代预测市场Oracle

该计划旨在增强争端解决机制，对参与者的激励措施保持一致，并提高预测市场的可扩展性和安全性。

Prediction market protocols Polymarket, UMA, and EigenLayer are collaborating to develop the next-generation prediction market oracle, aiming to enhance dispute resolution, align incentives, and improve scalability.

预测市场协议POLMARKET，UMA和EIGENLAYER正在合作开发下一代预测市场Oracle，旨在增强争议解决，对齐激励措施并提高可扩展性。

This initiative comes as prediction markets have seen a surge in activity, with Polymarket boasting $6B in cumulative trading volume and having resolved 14,000+ markets since 2020. These markets provide decentralized, real-time forecasts, but existing oracle data infrastructure and Schelling Point-based resolution systems face challenges in scaling systems around natural language processing and subjective market outcomes.

这项举措是由于预测市场的活动激增，而Polmoarket拥有$ 6B的累积交易量，自2020年以来已解决了14,000多个市场。这些市场提供了分散的实时预测，但现有的Oracle Data Infrarture和Schelling Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-Point-structure and to基于自然语言处理和主观市场成果的缩放系统中，基于分辨率系统面临挑战。

By combining Polymarket’s scale, EigenLayer’s intersubjective verification, and UMA’s Optimistic Oracle (OO) — which secures over $1B in value — the next-gen oracle will introduce flexible dispute resolution, greater community alignment, and enhanced intersubjective security. This evolution will scale oracle capacity, optimize dispute mechanisms, and improve resilience against manipulation.

通过结合Polmoarket的规模，Eigenlayer的主体间验证，以及UMA的乐观甲骨文（OO）（OO）（oo）可确保超过$ 1B的价值 - 下一代甲骨文将引入灵活的争议解决，更大的社区一致性，并增强了主体间的安全性。这种演变将扩展甲骨文的能力，优化争议机制并提高对操纵的弹性。

"Prediction markets are only as good as their ability to resolve outcomes fairly and efficiently. By leveraging new security models and dynamic resolution mechanisms, we're setting the stage for a new era of scalable, community-driven oracles," says Shayne Coplan, Founder of Polymarket.

“预测市场仅与他们公平有效地解决结果的能力一样好。通过利用新的安全模型和动态分辨率机制，我们为一个可扩展的，社区驱动的甲骨文的新时代奠定了基础，” Shayne Coplan说。 PolMarket的创始人。

"EigenLayer is fundamentally about enabling new trust models in decentralized systems. Prediction markets are one of the most powerful tools for collective intelligence, but their security depends on oracles that can scale and adapt," says Sreeram Kannan, Founder of Eigen Labs, the creator of EigenLayer. "We're thrilled Uma and Polymarket will be utilizing the intersubjective security enabled by EigenLayer and the EIGEN token, and we are excited to contribute to the research to design this next-gen oracle, so it is more resilient, transparent, and aligned with their users."

“特征者从根本上讲是在分散系统中启用新的信任模型。预测市场是集体智能的最有力的工具之一，但它们的安全取决于可以扩展和适应的甲板。” eigenlayer。 “我们很高兴UMA和Polymarket将利用Eigenlayer和Eigen代币启用的主体间安全性，我们很高兴为设计这一下一代甲骨文做出贡献，因此它更具弹性，透明度并与之保持一致他们的用户。”

The next-gen oracle will introduce several innovations designed to meet the evolving needs of prediction markets and address weaknesses in the Schelling Point systems:

下一代甲骨文将引入几项旨在满足预测市场不断发展的需求并解决Schelling Point Systems中的弱点的创新：

The oracle will integrate multiple layers of subjectivity to create a more nuanced and accurate representation of the market's belief. This will involve combining EigenLayer's intersubjective verification with UMA's OO to create a hierarchical structure of subjective attestations.

Oracle将整合多个主观性层，以创建对市场信念的更细微和准确的表示。这将涉及将Eigenlayer的主体间验证与UMA的OO相结合，以创建主观证明的层次结构。

The integration of EigenLayer will also enable the scaling of oracle capacity for natural language processing and subjective market outcomes. This will be achieved through EigenLayer's distributed network of verifiers, who will collectively attest to the market's belief, reducing the need for large-scale on-chain computations and gas costs.

本征层的整合还将使甲骨文的自然语言处理能力和主观市场成果的能力扩展。这将通过Eigenlayer的验证者分布式网络来实现，后者将共同证明市场的信念，从而减少了对大规模的链计算和天然气成本的需求。

To further optimize dispute mechanisms, the next-gen oracle will introduce a dynamic adjustment of participation costs based on the level of participation in the market. This will ensure that the costs of resolving disputes are aligned with the size and activity of the market, creating a more sustainable and efficient dispute resolution system.

为了进一步优化争议机制，下一代甲骨文将根据市场参与水平对参与成本进行动态调整。这将确保解决争端的成本与市场的规模和活动保持一致，从而创造出更加可持续和有效的争议解决系统。

"Prediction markets thrive on trust, transparency, and security. By evolving our oracle infrastructure, we're ensuring these markets can scale effectively while maintaining the economic integrity of their resolutions," says UMA Co-Founder Hart Lambur.

UMA联合创始人Hart Lambur说：“预测市场会在信任，透明度和安全性上蓬勃发展。通过发展我们的Oracle基础设施，我们正在确保这些市场可以有效地扩展其决议的经济完整性。”

Prediction markets have emerged as a powerful tool for collective intelligence, cutting through bias and misinformation to provide real-time, market-driven insights. However, their long-term success depends on the ability to securely resolve complex, subjective disputes at scale.

预测市场已成为集体智能，减少偏见和错误信息以提供实时，市场驱动的见解的强大工具。但是，他们的长期成功取决于能够按大规模解决复杂，主观争议的能力。

This collaboration between Polymarket, UMA, and EigenLayer aims to tackle one of the toughest challenges in decentralized computing: verifying truth in a trustless world. Polymarket provides the leading prediction market infrastructure, UMA delivers an optimistic oracle for open-ended dispute resolution, and EigenLayer offers verifiable intersubjectivity, reinforcing security against manipulation.

Polmoarket，UMA和Eigenlayer之间的这种合作旨在应对分散计算中最艰巨的挑战之一：在无信任的世界中验证真相。 Polymarket提供了主要的预测市场基础架构，UMA为开放式争议解决了乐观的甲骨文，Eigenlayer提供了可验证的主体间性，从而增强了安全性防止操作。

Together, these technologies will help define how decentralized truth is established, ensuring that prediction markets—and the broader ecosystem of intersubjective truth protocols—can evolve into a more scalable, resilient, and participatory future.

这些技术共同有助于定义如何建立分散的真理，从而确保预测市场（以及主体间真实协议的更广泛的生态系统）可以发展为更可扩展，更具弹性和参与性的未来。

As we continue this research, we also invite market participants, community members, and researchers to help shape the next generation of the optimistic oracle.

随着我们继续这项研究，我们还邀请市场参与者，社区成员和研究人员帮助塑造下一代乐观的甲骨文。