Pol Price預測：Polygon的原住民令牌在創下創紀錄的低點後躲避了另一場低迷

Polygon的原住民令牌Pol（以前是Matic）在4月7日達到了創紀錄的低落後又躲過了衰退。

Key Takeaways

關鍵要點

* Polygon’s native token, POL — formerly MATIC — has dodged another downturn after hitting a record low on April 7.

* Polygon的原住民令牌Pol（以前是Matic）在4月7日達到了創紀錄的低落後又躲過了衰退。

* Over the past seven days, the Polygo ecosystem, toke has rebounded impressively, posting a 22% increase.

*在過去的七天中，Polygo生態系統Toke令人印象深刻，提高了22％。

* However, in the year to date (YTD), POL is down 53%, making it one of the weaker performers among the top cryptos.

*但是，在迄今為止（YTD）的一年中，POL下降了53％，使其成為頂級加密貨幣中表現較弱的人之一。

* This mix of short-term strength and long-term weakness raises the question: Will POL’s price continue to climb, or is this rally just a fakeout?

*短期實力和長期弱點的這種結合引起了一個問題：Pol的價格會繼續攀升，還是這只是假貨的集會？

POL Channel Break Confirmed

Pol Channel Break已確認

From a technical perspective, the POL price seems ready to extend its recent rebound. A key indicator backing this bullish outlook is the formation of a golden cross on the daily chart — the first occurrence since November 2024.

從技術角度來看，Pol Price似乎準備好擴大其最近的反彈。支持這種看漲前景的關鍵指標是每日圖表上的金十字架的形成，這是自2024年11月以來的首次出現。

A golden cross occurs when the short-term Exponential Moving Average (EMA) rises above the longer one. This indicates that momentum is in favor of buyers.

當短期指數移動平均線（EMA）上升到較長的較長時，就會發生黃金交叉。這表明勢頭支持買家。

In this context, CCN looks at the 9 EMA (blue) and 20 EMA (yellow), which mostly focus on the short-term price action. As shown below, POL’s price previously traded within a descending channel.

在這種情況下，CCN著眼於9個EMA（藍色）和20個EMA（黃色），主要集中在短期價格行動上。如下所示，POL的價格先前在下降渠道內交易。

However, after the recent increase, the token broke out of the upper trendline of the bearish pattern. Amid this rise, the 9 EMA also crossed above the 20 EMA, marking the first golden cross in six months.

但是，在最近的增加之後，令牌脫離了看跌模式的上層趨勢。在這一上升中，9 EMA也越過20 EMA，標誌著六個月內的第一個金十字架。

This happened around Nov. 7, 2024, when the POL price was $0.34.

這發生在2024年11月7日左右，當時Pol價格為0.34美元。

One month later, the altcoin’s value has soared by 112% and hit $0.71. Therefore, if history repeats and bullish momentum holds, POL will likely follow a similar trend and trade higher.

一個月後，Altcoin的價值飆升了112％，達到0.71美元。因此，如果歷史重複和看漲勢頭，POL可能會遵循類似的趨勢並更高的貿易。

However, this does not guarantee the cryptocurrency’s exact performance during that time.

但是，這不能保證加密貨幣在此期間的確切性能。

Adoption Accelerates

採用加速

Beyond the golden cross, on-chain data provides another bullish signal for the Polygon token. According to IntoTheBlock, the Address Birth-Death Ratio has surged to its highest point in over a month.

除了黃金十字之外，鏈上的數據為多邊形令牌提供了另一個看漲信號。根據Intotheblock的說法，地址生死亡比率已在一個月以上的最高點上升到其最高點。

This ratio tracks the number of new active addresses (births) relative to inactive or dormant ones (deaths), offering insight into network activity and user adoption.

該比率跟踪相對於不活動或休眠（死亡）的新活動地址（出生）的數量，從而洞悉網絡活動和用戶的採用。

The latest spike suggests that more participants enter the Polygon ecosystem, buy tokens, and interact with the network.

最新的尖峰表明，越來越多的參與者進入多邊形生態系統，購買令牌並與網絡互動。

This uptick in on-chain engagement correlates with rising demand and positive market sentiment. If adoption continues at this pace, the POL price could hit higher values, potentially erasing more losses.

這種鏈接互動的上升與需求不斷上升和積極的市場情緒相關。如果採用以這種速度繼續，則Pol價格可能會達到更高的價值，並可能消除更多的損失。

POL Price Analysis: Not Overbought Yet

POL價格分析：尚未過多

In support of the above signs, the Supertrend on the POL/USD daily chart has flashed a bullish signal. The signal came after the indicator’s green line appeared below POL’s price for the first time since last December.

為了支持上述標誌，Pol/USD每日圖表上的超級趨勢閃爍了看漲信號。該信號是在指標的綠線出現在去年12月以來首次出現在POL的價格下方之後的。

The Money Flow Index (MFI) reading has also risen to 73.24. The MFI shows whether capital is flowing in or out of a cryptocurrency.It is also used to spot overbought or oversold levels and divergences.

貨幣流量指數（MFI）的閱讀也已上升至73.24。 MFI顯示了資本是流入還是從加密貨幣流中流出。

In this case, the increase in the MFI rating indicates rising buying pressure. However, it also shows that POL has not been overbought, as the reading has not yet exceeded 80.

在這種情況下，MFI評級的增加表明購買壓力正在增加。但是，這也表明POL尚未過分購買，因為讀數尚未超過80。

Should this trend continue, POL’s price could climb to $0.28 at the 0.786 Fibonacci level. If buying pressure intensifies, this target could be higher as the cryptocurrency could reach $0.39 later.

如果這種趨勢繼續下去，Pol的價格可能會在0.786斐波那契水平上攀升至0.28美元。如果購買壓力加劇，則該目標可能會更高，因為加密貨幣後來可能達到0.39美元。

However, this forecast might be invalidated if the longer EMA crosses above the shorter one.

但是，如果較長的EMA跨越較短的ema，則此預測可能會無效。

The MFI reading might drop in that scenario, indicating selling pressure, while POL’s market value could slide to $0.15.

在這種情況下，MFI閱讀可能會下降，表明銷售壓力，而POL的市場價值可能會下滑至0.15美元。