Pol Price预测：Polygon的原住民令牌在创下创纪录的低点后躲避了另一场低迷

Polygon的原住民令牌Pol（以前是Matic）在4月7日达到了创纪录的低落后又躲过了衰退。

Key Takeaways

关键要点

* Polygon’s native token, POL — formerly MATIC — has dodged another downturn after hitting a record low on April 7.

* Polygon的原住民令牌Pol（以前是Matic）在4月7日达到了创纪录的低落后又躲过了衰退。

* Over the past seven days, the Polygo ecosystem, toke has rebounded impressively, posting a 22% increase.

*在过去的七天中，Polygo生态系统Toke令人印象深刻，提高了22％。

* However, in the year to date (YTD), POL is down 53%, making it one of the weaker performers among the top cryptos.

*但是，在迄今为止（YTD）的一年中，POL下降了53％，使其成为顶级加密货币中表现较弱的人之一。

* This mix of short-term strength and long-term weakness raises the question: Will POL’s price continue to climb, or is this rally just a fakeout?

*短期实力和长期弱点的这种结合引起了一个问题：Pol的价格会继续攀升，还是这只是假货的集会？

POL Channel Break Confirmed

Pol Channel Break已确认

From a technical perspective, the POL price seems ready to extend its recent rebound. A key indicator backing this bullish outlook is the formation of a golden cross on the daily chart — the first occurrence since November 2024.

从技术角度来看，Pol Price似乎准备好扩大其最近的反弹。支持这种看涨前景的关键指标是每日图表上的金十字架的形成，这是自2024年11月以来的首次出现。

A golden cross occurs when the short-term Exponential Moving Average (EMA) rises above the longer one. This indicates that momentum is in favor of buyers.

当短期指数移动平均线（EMA）上升到较长的较长时，就会发生黄金交叉。这表明势头支持买家。

In this context, CCN looks at the 9 EMA (blue) and 20 EMA (yellow), which mostly focus on the short-term price action. As shown below, POL’s price previously traded within a descending channel.

在这种情况下，CCN着眼于9个EMA（蓝色）和20个EMA（黄色），主要集中在短期价格行动上。如下所示，POL的价格先前在下降渠道内交易。

However, after the recent increase, the token broke out of the upper trendline of the bearish pattern. Amid this rise, the 9 EMA also crossed above the 20 EMA, marking the first golden cross in six months.

但是，在最近的增加之后，令牌脱离了看跌模式的上层趋势。在这一上升中，9 EMA也越过20 EMA，标志着六个月内的第一个金十字架。

This happened around Nov. 7, 2024, when the POL price was $0.34.

这发生在2024年11月7日左右，当时Pol价格为0.34美元。

One month later, the altcoin’s value has soared by 112% and hit $0.71. Therefore, if history repeats and bullish momentum holds, POL will likely follow a similar trend and trade higher.

一个月后，Altcoin的价值飙升了112％，达到0.71美元。因此，如果历史重复和看涨势头，POL可能会遵循类似的趋势并更高的贸易。

However, this does not guarantee the cryptocurrency’s exact performance during that time.

但是，这不能保证加密货币在此期间的确切性能。

Adoption Accelerates

采用加速

Beyond the golden cross, on-chain data provides another bullish signal for the Polygon token. According to IntoTheBlock, the Address Birth-Death Ratio has surged to its highest point in over a month.

除了黄金十字之外，链上的数据为多边形令牌提供了另一个看涨信号。根据Intotheblock的说法，地址生死亡比率已在一个月以上的最高点上升到其最高点。

This ratio tracks the number of new active addresses (births) relative to inactive or dormant ones (deaths), offering insight into network activity and user adoption.

该比率跟踪相对于不活动或休眠（死亡）的新活动地址（出生）的数量，从而洞悉网络活动和用户的采用。

The latest spike suggests that more participants enter the Polygon ecosystem, buy tokens, and interact with the network.

最新的尖峰表明，越来越多的参与者进入多边形生态系统，购买令牌并与网络互动。

This uptick in on-chain engagement correlates with rising demand and positive market sentiment. If adoption continues at this pace, the POL price could hit higher values, potentially erasing more losses.

这种链接互动的上升与需求不断上升和积极的市场情绪相关。如果采用以这种速度继续，则Pol价格可能会达到更高的价值，并可能消除更多的损失。

POL Price Analysis: Not Overbought Yet

POL价格分析：尚未过多

In support of the above signs, the Supertrend on the POL/USD daily chart has flashed a bullish signal. The signal came after the indicator’s green line appeared below POL’s price for the first time since last December.

为了支持上述标志，Pol/USD每日图表上的超级趋势闪烁了看涨信号。该信号是在指标的绿线出现在去年12月以来首次出现在POL的价格下方之后的。

The Money Flow Index (MFI) reading has also risen to 73.24. The MFI shows whether capital is flowing in or out of a cryptocurrency.It is also used to spot overbought or oversold levels and divergences.

货币流量指数（MFI）的阅读也已上升至73.24。 MFI显示了资本是流入还是从加密货币流中流出。

In this case, the increase in the MFI rating indicates rising buying pressure. However, it also shows that POL has not been overbought, as the reading has not yet exceeded 80.

在这种情况下，MFI评级的增加表明购买压力正在增加。但是，这也表明POL尚未过分购买，因为读数尚未超过80。

Should this trend continue, POL’s price could climb to $0.28 at the 0.786 Fibonacci level. If buying pressure intensifies, this target could be higher as the cryptocurrency could reach $0.39 later.

如果这种趋势继续下去，Pol的价格可能会在0.786斐波那契水平上攀升至0.28美元。如果购买压力加剧，则该目标可能会更高，因为加密货币后来可能达到0.39美元。

However, this forecast might be invalidated if the longer EMA crosses above the shorter one.

但是，如果较长的EMA跨越较短的ema，则此预测可能会无效。

The MFI reading might drop in that scenario, indicating selling pressure, while POL’s market value could slide to $0.15.

在这种情况下，MFI阅读可能会下降，表明销售压力，而POL的市场价值可能会下滑至0.15美元。