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分析師最近進行的比特幣價格分析主要集中在該週期中領先的加密貨幣是否已經達到頂峰的概念上。通過PLANB。
Recent Bitcoin price analyses from analysts have been mostly centred on the notion of whether the leading cryptocurrency has already reached its peak this cycle. Bearish sentiment is already creeping in among investors, and the outlook is now whether BTC and the entire crypto industry have transitioned into a bear market.
分析師最近進行的比特幣價格分析主要集中在該週期中領先的加密貨幣是否已經達到頂峰的概念上。看跌的情緒已經在投資者中蔓延,現在前景是BTC和整個加密貨幣行業是否已經過渡到熊市。
Interestingly, crypto analyst PlanB, widely followed for his stock-to-flow model and long-standing BTC forecasts, has pushed back against growing speculation that the market is transitioning into a bearish phase.
有趣的是,Crypto Analyst Planb廣泛遵循其股票對流量模型和長期存在的BTC預測,他們反對越來越多的猜測市場正在過渡到看跌階段。
PlanB Dismisses Bear Market Calls, Says Bear Market Has Not Arrived
Planb駁回了熊市的電話,說熊市尚未到達
Taking to social media platform X, crypto analyst PlanB laid out a compelling argument for why he believes Bitcoin is still in the middle of a sustainable uptrend, one that could see the price doubling once again by 2025. His interesting argument comes alongside other new outlooks from analysts, who are now noting key bullish signals for Bitcoin.
加密分析師在進入社交媒體平台X上,提出了一個令人信服的論點,說明他為什麼認為比特幣仍處於可持續性上升趨勢的中間,到2025年,價格再次增加了價格。
PlanB’s latest analysis is based on Bitcoin’s 200-week arithmetic and geometric moving averages, which are two long-term trend indicators analysts use to distinguish between bull and bear market phases. According to him, these two averages have been ‘close’ together for over a year. The close movement of these moving averages goes against a downward trend but rather a steady uptrend with reduced volatility.
PLANB的最新分析基於比特幣的200週算術和幾何移動平均值,這是分析師用來區分牛市和熊市階段的兩個長期趨勢指標。據他說,這兩個平均值已經“近距離”了一年多。這些移動平均值的緊密移動違背了下降趨勢,但穩定的上升趨勢會降低波動。
He explained that a real bear market usually comes after a true bull run, which is characterized by a sharp divergence between the two averages. Since that divergence has yet to happen in the current cycle, PlanB argues that the market has not experienced a real bull phase, let alone entered a bear phase.
他解釋說,真正的熊市通常是在真正的公牛奔跑之後出現的,其特徵是兩個平均值之間存在急劇分歧。由於這種分歧在當前週期尚未發生,Planb認為市場並沒有經歷過真正的牛階段,更不用說進入熊階段了。
Looking Ahead: Bitcoin Price To Double In 2025
展望未來:比特幣價格在2025年加倍
Expanding on this theme, PlanB pointed to Bitcoin’s performance over the past two years, noting a steady and predictable doubling of the price. Bitcoin rose from around $20,000 in 2022 to approximately $40,000 in 2023 and first moved to the $80,000 range in early 2024. If this pattern holds, the analyst predicted that Bitcoin could reach $160,000 by the end of 2025.
Planb在擴展這一主題的情況下指出了比特幣在過去兩年中的性能,並指出了價格的穩定且可預測的加倍。比特幣從2022年的20,000美元上升至2023年的約40,000美元,並首先升至2024年初的80,000美元。如果這種模式成立,分析師預測,到2025年底,比特幣可以達到160,000美元。
PlanB acknowledged that this trajectory if it continues, could be the end to the traditional four-year cycle theory that has predicted Bitcoin’s market psychology since its launch. Nonetheless, such a change would be more fitting for a maturing asset class like BTC, which has pierced into the institutional market in the past year.
Planb承認,如果這種軌跡繼續進行,則可能是傳統的四年周期理論的終結,該理論預測了比特幣發射以來的市場心理學。儘管如此,這種變化將更適合像BTC這樣的成熟資產類別,BTC在過去的一年中一直進入機構市場。
If PlanB’s projection of a price-doubling trend holds, BTC could be on track for not just $160,000 in 2025. According to the analyst’s prediction, the rate of uptrend means that Bitcoin has the chance to trade at $320,000 in 2026 and $640,000 sometime in 2027.
如果Planb對價格上漲趨勢的預測持續存在,BTC可能不僅在2025年以160,000美元的價格行駛。根據分析師的預測,上升趨勢的速度意味著比特幣有機會在2026年以32萬美元的價格交易,而2027年某個時候則有640,000美元。
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