PlanB 的比特幣重磅炸彈：到 2024 年將空前飆升至 10 萬美元

基於 Stock-to-Flow (S2F) 模型，這個廣泛使用的模型背後的創建者 PlanB 認為，比特幣正處於顯著增長的邊緣，有可能在 2024 年達到 10 萬美元的價值。

PlanB's Bold Prediction: Bitcoin Poised for Unprecedented Surge, Surpassing $100,000 in 2024

PlanB 大膽預測：比特幣將迎來前所未有的飆升，2024 年將突破 10 萬美元

In a highly anticipated announcement, PlanB, the creator of the renowned Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, has issued a groundbreaking prediction: Bitcoin is on the cusp of an extraordinary surge, with a potential value exceeding $100,000 by 2024. This bold forecast has sent shockwaves through the cryptocurrency community, stirring both excitement and intrigue.

在備受期待的公告中，著名的Stock-to-Flow (S2F) 模型的創建者PlanB 發布了一項開創性的預測：比特幣正處於非凡飆升的風口浪尖，到2024 年其潛在價值將超過100,000美元。

PlanB, renowned for his remarkable market accuracy, anchors his prediction firmly on the Stock-to-Flow model, a widely embraced metric that correlates Bitcoin's scarcity with its price. Despite Bitcoin's recent closing value slightly below $60,000, PlanB underscores its resilience, boasting a remarkable 36% year-over-year growth. He places immense significance on the current month, the last "Blue Dot" before the next halving, aligning with historical data that has consistently shown Bitcoin's price in sync with the Stock-to-Flow model at this pivotal juncture.

PlanB 以其卓越的市場準確性而聞名，他的預測牢牢地基於庫存流量模型，這是一種廣泛接受的指標，將比特幣的稀缺性與其價格聯繫起來。儘管比特幣近期收盤價略低於 60,000 美元，但 PlanB 仍強調其韌性，年增 36%。他對當前月份（下一次減半前的最後一個「藍點」）給予了巨大的重視，並與歷史數據保持一致，這些數據始終顯示比特幣的價格與庫存流量模型在這個關鍵時刻保持同步。

While acknowledging that Bitcoin's average price currently falls short of the initial projection of $55,000, PlanB maintains that it remains within the same order of magnitude. His analysis further reveals that Bitcoin's value could soar to unprecedented heights, potentially surpassing $100,000 and reaching as high as $500,000 by 2028. This forecast stems from the projected necessity for mining revenue to rebound within four to eight months after halving. With Bitcoin currently valued at $60,000, PlanB posits that $100,000 is entirely achievable within this year.

儘管承認比特幣的平均價格目前低於最初預測的 55,000 美元，但 PlanB 堅稱仍保持在同一數量級內。他的分析進一步表明，比特幣的價值可能飆升至前所未有的高度，有可能超過10 萬美元，到2028 年最高可達50 萬美元。個月內反彈的必要性。鑑於比特幣目前的價值為 6 萬美元，PlanB 認為今年內完全可以實現 10 萬美元的目標。

PlanB's predictions extend beyond 2024, envisioning a bull market peak in 2025. He meticulously examines diminishing returns to determine whether Bitcoin's price will exhibit a gradual or exponential trajectory. Amidst varying perspectives, PlanB staunchly upholds the accuracy of the Stock-to-Flow model, suggesting exponential returns, particularly given Bitcoin's nascent adoption rate.

PlanB 的預測持續到 2024 年之後，預計牛市將在 2025 年達到頂峰。儘管有不同的觀點，PlanB 堅定地維護 Stock-to-Flow 模型的準確性，表明指數回報，特別是考慮到比特幣的新生採用率。

Beyond the Stock-to-Flow model, PlanB draws upon a comprehensive array of technical indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the 200-week moving average. The RSI has normalized, falling from a previous peak of 77 to 66, indicating potential for further price increases, especially as the "Blue Dots" transition to "Red Dots" in the coming months. The 200-week moving average serves as a conservative floor, providing potential support levels during bull markets.

除了 Stock-to-Flow 模型之外，PlanB 還利用了一系列全面的技術指標，包括相對強弱指數 (RSI) 和 200 週移動平均線。 RSI 已正常化，從先前的峰值 77 降至 66，表明價格有進一步上漲的潛力，特別是在未來幾個月從「藍點」過渡到「紅點」時。 200 週移動平均線作為保守的下限，在牛市期間提供潛在的支撐位。

Despite short-term fluctuations, with potential 20-30% dips, analysts like PlanB advocate for patience and a long-term perspective for investors. They suggest that the peak may not fully materialize until 2025. The stage is set, and the anticipation is palpable as Bitcoin embarks on a thrilling journey ahead.

儘管短期波動，可能會下跌 20-30%，但 PlanB 等分析師仍主張投資者保持耐心並保持長遠眼光。他們認為，高峰可能要到 2025 年才會完全實現。