應對加密貨幣風暴：流行迷因幣的未來受到質疑

加密貨幣市場近期持續高度波動。許多投資者對柴犬（SHIB）和狗狗幣（DOGE）等代幣的未來不確定。

The cryptocurrency market has been experiencing high volatility in recent times, leaving many investors speculating on the future of popular meme coins like Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Dogecoin (DOGE). Both cryptocurrencies have faced challenges due to market downtrends and high levels of speculative trading. Let’s delve into the recent market conditions and explore the factors that will influence the future of SHIB and DOGE.

近年來，加密貨幣市場一直在經歷劇烈波動，這讓許多投資者對柴犬（SHIB）和狗狗幣（DOGE）等流行迷因幣的未來進行猜測。由於市場下跌趨勢和投機交易水準較高，這兩種加密貨幣都面臨挑戰。讓我們深入研究近期的市場狀況，探討影響SHIB和DOGE未來的因素。

Current Market Pulse

當前市場脈搏

As of November 4, 2024, Dogecoin (DOGE) has seen a gradual decline. Interestingly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen above 70, indicating an “overbought” condition. This usually leads to traders liquidating their holdings. Historically, when DOGE’s RSI reaches these levels, the price tends to correct itself downward. On the other hand, a “golden cross” has occurred with the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), which generally signals a positive trend. However, in past instances, such crossovers have led to sell-offs as early investors took profits. If the sell-off continues, DOGE could drop to around $0.111.

截至2024年11月4日，狗狗幣（DOGE）逐漸下跌。有趣的是，相對強弱指數（RSI）已升至 70 以上，顯示處於「超買」狀態。這通常會導致交易者清算其持股。從歷史上看，當 DOGE 的 RSI 達到這些水準時，價格往往會自行向下修正。另一方面，50 天指數移動平均線 (EMA) 出現了“金叉”，這通常預示著積極的趨勢。然而，在過去的情況下，這種交叉導致了早期投資者獲利了結而引發拋售。如果拋售繼續下去，DOGE 可能會跌至 0.111 美元左右。

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has also faced challenges in maintaining its price levels. The community-driven burn initiative aimed at reducing SHIB’s circulating supply has slowed significantly, with only 95,442,500 tokens burned last week—a 70.48% drop from the previous week. A low burn rate may signal a shift in strategy among SHIB holders or a loss of momentum within the community. As Bitcoin’s market remains stagnant, this could further hurt SHIB’s value, prompting investors to seek other options in the volatile market.

柴犬（SHIB）在維持物價水準方面也面臨挑戰。旨在減少 SHIB 流通供應量的社區驅動的銷毀計劃已顯著放緩，上週僅銷毀了 95,442,500 個代幣，較前一周下降了 70.48%。低燒錢率可能預示著 SHIB 持有者策略的轉變或社區內動力的喪失。由於比特幣市場仍然停滯不前，這可能會進一步損害 SHIB 的價值，促使投資者在動盪的市場中尋求其他選擇。

Crucial Factors Impacting Price Movements

影響價格變動的關鍵因素

Market Sentiment

市場情緒

Bearish sentiment has caused large liquidations of long positions in both SHIB and DOGE. Over $5 million in long positions were recently liquidated, signaling a shift in investor mood. This indicates that many investors are cautious and unwilling to hold assets in such uncertain conditions.

看跌情緒導致 SHIB 和 DOGE 的多頭部位大量清算。超過 500 萬美元的多頭部位最近被清算，顯示投資者情緒發生了轉變。這顯示許多投資者持謹慎態度，不願在這種不確定的情況下持有資產。

Volatility

揮發性

The volatility of SHIB has decreased, with the token now trading in a narrow price range. The price floor of $0.000016 is an important support level for buyers. Low volatility can signal a period of consolidation, where the market shows little excitement. While selling pressure has eased, the market is waiting for a potential shift in sentiment. If trading volume increases and buyers return, SHIB may break out of this range.

SHIB 的波動性有所下降，目前該代幣的交易價格範圍很窄。 0.000016 美元的價格下限對於買家來說是一個重要的支撐位。低波動性可能預示著一段時期的盤整，此時市場幾乎沒有表現出任何興奮。儘管拋售壓力有所緩解，但市場正在等待情緒的潛在轉變。如果交易量增加且買家回歸，SHIB 可能會突破該區間。

Technological Innovations

技術創新

Shiba Inu’s Layer 2 scaling solution, Shibarium, could help reduce transaction costs and improve speed. If successful, it may attract more users and investors, helping SHIB transition from a speculative asset to one with real-world utility.

Shiba Inu 的第 2 層擴展解決方案 Shibarium 可以幫助降低交易成本並提高速度。如果成功，可能會吸引更多用戶和投資者，幫助 SHIB 從投機資產轉變為具有現實實用性的資產。

Short-Term Outlook

短期展望

Shiba Inu’s Future

柴犬的未來

Analysts suggest that if the overall crypto market recovers, SHIB could see significant gains. Projections estimate SHIB could rise to between $0.0001 and $0.0003 by 2025, but several factors must align for this to happen:

分析師表示，如果整體加密貨幣市場復甦，SHIB 可能會獲得顯著收益。根據預測，到 2025 年，SHIB 可能會升至 0.0001 美元至 0.0003 美元之間，但要實現這一目標，必須考慮幾個因素：

Regulatory Clarity: Clearer regulations will benefit cryptocurrencies like SHIB, providing investors with more confidence.

監管清晰度：更清晰的監管將有利於SHIB等加密貨幣，為投資者提供更多信心。

Community Support: The “Shib Army” plays a crucial role in sustaining interest and driving demand for SHIB.

社區支持：「Shib 大軍」在維持 SHIB 興趣和推動需求方面發揮著至關重要的作用。

Market Adoption: Increased use of SHIB by businesses and platforms would further legitimize it beyond its meme status.

市場採用：企業和平台更多地使用 SHIB 將進一步使其合法化，超越其迷因地位。

Dogecoin’s Position

狗狗幣的立場

Dogecoin has more recognition than Shiba Inu, thanks in part to its use in online transactions and support from figures like Elon Musk. Despite its recent decline, DOGE remains resilient due to its established use case. Predictions suggest DOGE may stabilize at $0.10 to $0.15 if market conditions improve. Its survival depends on:

狗狗幣比柴犬更受認可，部分原因是它在線上交易中的使用以及伊隆馬斯克等人物的支持。儘管最近有所下降，但 DOGE 由於其既定的用例而仍然保持彈性。預測表明，如果市場狀況改善，DOGE 可能會穩定在 0.10 至 0.15 美元之間。它的生存取決於：

Community Support: The DOGE community has been key to its success and will continue to influence its price.

社群支持：DOGE 社群是其成功的關鍵，並將繼續影響其價格。

Adoption as a Payment Method: Wider acceptance of DOGE for transactions could solidify its place in the market.

採用作為支付方式：更廣泛地接受 DOGE 進行交易可以鞏固其在市場中的地位。

Conclusion

結論

The future of Shiba Inu and Dogecoin in the current downtrend depends on several factors, including market sentiment, technological developments, and community engagement. While meme coins can experience sudden price spikes, they also carry significant risks due to their speculative nature. Investors should approach these assets with caution and conduct thorough research before making any decisions.

在當前的下跌趨勢中，柴犬和狗狗幣的未來取決於幾個因素，包括市場情緒、技術發展和社區參與。雖然模因幣的價格可能會突然飆升，但由於其投機性質，它們也存在巨大的風險。投資者應謹慎對待這些資產，並在做出任何決定之前進行徹底的研究。

For SHIB and DOGE to thrive in the competitive crypto landscape, they must evolve beyond their meme origins. Both coins need to prove their potential for long-term growth and stability. Though recovery and growth are possible, the volatile market environment requires careful consideration and risk management.

為了在競爭激烈的加密貨幣領域中蓬勃發展，SHIB 和 DOGE 必須超越其迷因起源。這兩種貨幣都需要證明其長期成長和穩定性的潛力。儘管復甦和成長是可能的，但動盪的市場環境需要仔細考慮和風險管理。