应对加密货币风暴：流行模因币的未来受到质疑

加密货币市场近期持续高度波动。许多投资者对柴犬（SHIB）和狗狗币（DOGE）等代币的未来不确定。

The cryptocurrency market has been experiencing high volatility in recent times, leaving many investors speculating on the future of popular meme coins like Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Dogecoin (DOGE). Both cryptocurrencies have faced challenges due to market downtrends and high levels of speculative trading. Let’s delve into the recent market conditions and explore the factors that will influence the future of SHIB and DOGE.

近年来，加密货币市场一直在经历剧烈波动，这让许多投资者对柴犬（SHIB）和狗狗币（DOGE）等流行模因币的未来进行猜测。由于市场下跌趋势和投机交易水平较高，这两种加密货币都面临挑战。让我们深入研究近期的市场状况，探讨影响SHIB和DOGE未来的因素。

Current Market Pulse

当前市场脉搏

As of November 4, 2024, Dogecoin (DOGE) has seen a gradual decline. Interestingly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen above 70, indicating an “overbought” condition. This usually leads to traders liquidating their holdings. Historically, when DOGE’s RSI reaches these levels, the price tends to correct itself downward. On the other hand, a “golden cross” has occurred with the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), which generally signals a positive trend. However, in past instances, such crossovers have led to sell-offs as early investors took profits. If the sell-off continues, DOGE could drop to around $0.111.

截至2024年11月4日，狗狗币（DOGE）逐渐下跌。有趣的是，相对强弱指数（RSI）已升至 70 以上，表明处于“超买”状态。这通常会导致交易者清算其持仓。从历史上看，当 DOGE 的 RSI 达到这些水平时，价格往往会自行向下修正。另一方面，50 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 出现了“金叉”，这通常预示着积极的趋势。然而，在过去的情况下，这种交叉导致了早期投资者获利了结而引发抛售。如果抛售继续下去，DOGE 可能会跌至 0.111 美元左右。

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has also faced challenges in maintaining its price levels. The community-driven burn initiative aimed at reducing SHIB’s circulating supply has slowed significantly, with only 95,442,500 tokens burned last week—a 70.48% drop from the previous week. A low burn rate may signal a shift in strategy among SHIB holders or a loss of momentum within the community. As Bitcoin’s market remains stagnant, this could further hurt SHIB’s value, prompting investors to seek other options in the volatile market.

柴犬（SHIB）在维持价格水平方面也面临挑战。旨在减少 SHIB 流通供应量的社区驱动的销毁计划已显着放缓，上周仅销毁了 95,442,500 个代币，较前一周下降了 70.48%。低烧钱率可能预示着 SHIB 持有者策略的转变或社区内动力的丧失。由于比特币市场仍然停滞不前，这可能会进一步损害 SHIB 的价值，促使投资者在动荡的市场中寻求其他选择。

Crucial Factors Impacting Price Movements

影响价格变动的关键因素

Market Sentiment

市场情绪

Bearish sentiment has caused large liquidations of long positions in both SHIB and DOGE. Over $5 million in long positions were recently liquidated, signaling a shift in investor mood. This indicates that many investors are cautious and unwilling to hold assets in such uncertain conditions.

看跌情绪导致 SHIB 和 DOGE 的多头头寸大量清算。超过 500 万美元的多头头寸最近被清算，表明投资者情绪发生了转变。这表明许多投资者持谨慎态度，不愿在这种不确定的情况下持有资产。

Volatility

挥发性

The volatility of SHIB has decreased, with the token now trading in a narrow price range. The price floor of $0.000016 is an important support level for buyers. Low volatility can signal a period of consolidation, where the market shows little excitement. While selling pressure has eased, the market is waiting for a potential shift in sentiment. If trading volume increases and buyers return, SHIB may break out of this range.

SHIB 的波动性有所下降，目前该代币的交易价格范围很窄。 0.000016 美元的价格下限对于买家来说是一个重要的支撑位。低波动性可能预示着一段时期的盘整，此时市场几乎没有表现出什么兴奋。尽管抛售压力有所缓解，但市场正在等待情绪的潜在转变。如果交易量增加且买家回归，SHIB 可能会突破该区间。

Technological Innovations

技术创新

Shiba Inu’s Layer 2 scaling solution, Shibarium, could help reduce transaction costs and improve speed. If successful, it may attract more users and investors, helping SHIB transition from a speculative asset to one with real-world utility.

Shiba Inu 的第 2 层扩展解决方案 Shibarium 可以帮助降低交易成本并提高速度。如果成功，可能会吸引更多用户和投资者，帮助 SHIB 从投机资产转变为具有现实实用性的资产。

Short-Term Outlook

短期展望

Shiba Inu’s Future

柴犬的未来

Analysts suggest that if the overall crypto market recovers, SHIB could see significant gains. Projections estimate SHIB could rise to between $0.0001 and $0.0003 by 2025, but several factors must align for this to happen:

分析师表示，如果整个加密货币市场复苏，SHIB 可能会看到显着的收益。据预测，到 2025 年，SHIB 可能会升至 0.0001 美元至 0.0003 美元之间，但要实现这一目标，必须考虑几个因素：

Regulatory Clarity: Clearer regulations will benefit cryptocurrencies like SHIB, providing investors with more confidence.

监管清晰度：更清晰的监管将有利于SHIB等加密货币，为投资者提供更多信心。

Community Support: The “Shib Army” plays a crucial role in sustaining interest and driving demand for SHIB.

社区支持：“Shib 大军”在维持 SHIB 兴趣和推动需求方面发挥着至关重要的作用。

Market Adoption: Increased use of SHIB by businesses and platforms would further legitimize it beyond its meme status.

市场采用：企业和平台更多地使用 SHIB 将进一步使其合法化，超越其模因地位。

Dogecoin’s Position

狗狗币的立场

Dogecoin has more recognition than Shiba Inu, thanks in part to its use in online transactions and support from figures like Elon Musk. Despite its recent decline, DOGE remains resilient due to its established use case. Predictions suggest DOGE may stabilize at $0.10 to $0.15 if market conditions improve. Its survival depends on:

狗狗币比柴犬更受认可，部分原因是它在在线交易中的使用以及埃隆·马斯克等人物的支持。尽管最近有所下滑，但 DOGE 由于其既定的用例而仍然保持弹性。预测表明，如果市场状况改善，DOGE 可能会稳定在 0.10 至 0.15 美元之间。它的生存取决于：

Community Support: The DOGE community has been key to its success and will continue to influence its price.

社区支持：DOGE 社区是其成功的关键，并将继续影响其价格。

Adoption as a Payment Method: Wider acceptance of DOGE for transactions could solidify its place in the market.

采用作为支付方式：更广泛地接受 DOGE 进行交易可以巩固其在市场中的地位。

Conclusion

结论

The future of Shiba Inu and Dogecoin in the current downtrend depends on several factors, including market sentiment, technological developments, and community engagement. While meme coins can experience sudden price spikes, they also carry significant risks due to their speculative nature. Investors should approach these assets with caution and conduct thorough research before making any decisions.

在当前的下跌趋势中，柴犬和狗狗币的未来取决于几个因素，包括市场情绪、技术发展和社区参与。虽然模因币的价格可能会突然飙升，但由于其投机性质，它们也存在巨大的风险。投资者应谨慎对待这些资产，并在做出任何决定之前进行彻底的研究。

For SHIB and DOGE to thrive in the competitive crypto landscape, they must evolve beyond their meme origins. Both coins need to prove their potential for long-term growth and stability. Though recovery and growth are possible, the volatile market environment requires careful consideration and risk management.

为了在竞争激烈的加密货币领域中蓬勃发展，SHIB 和 DOGE 必须超越其模因起源。这两种货币都需要证明其长期增长和稳定性的潜力。尽管复苏和增长是可能的，但动荡的市场环境需要仔细考虑和风险管理。