Mt. Gox的比特幣[BTC]轉移引發市場波動擔憂，BTC能否突破阻力位或失去支撐風險？

Mt. Gox 轉移 4930 萬美元的比特幣 [BTC] 在市場上引起了連鎖反應，引發了人們對波動性加劇的擔憂。

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Transfer, Key Levels In Focus

比特幣價格分析：BTC 轉賬，焦點關鍵水平

Bitcoin’s (CRYPTO: BTC) price movements remained muted over the past 24 hours, as the world’s largest cryptocurrency consolidated within a critical range. At press time, BTC was trading at $94,435.63, reflecting a 0.72% dip.

比特幣（CRYPTO：BTC）的價格走勢在過去 24 小時內保持平靜，因為世界上最大的加密貨幣在關鍵區間內盤整。截至發稿，BTC 交易價格為 94,435.63 美元，下跌 0.72%。

Bitcoin’s price movements over the past 24 hours were largely influenced by a massive Bitcoin transfer from Mt. Gox, totaling $49.3 million at current prices. Of this amount, $19 million was transferred to fresh wallets, while the remaining $30.6 million moved to a final wallet.

過去 24 小時內比特幣的價格走勢很大程度上受到來自 Mt. Gox 的大規模比特幣轉帳的影響，以當前價格計算，總計 4,930 萬美元。其中，1,900 萬美元轉移到新錢包，其餘 3,060 萬美元轉移到最終錢包。

This large-scale redistribution sparked concerns among traders, who feared that it could herald a wave of sell-offs, impacting Bitcoin’s price. However, the sell-off fears were yet to materialize, as evident from the minimal price decline.

這種大規模的重新分配引發了交易員的擔憂，他們擔心這可能預示著一波拋售潮，從而影響比特幣的價格。然而，拋售擔憂尚未成為現實，從價格跌幅最小可以看出。

As Bitcoin hovered around the $94,000 level, crucial support and resistance levels played a pivotal role in determining the cryptocurrency’s short-term trajectory.

當比特幣徘徊在 94,000 美元水平附近時，關鍵的支撐位和阻力位在決定加密貨幣的短期軌跡方面發揮了關鍵作用。

A break below the critical support at $91,753 could open the door to a plunge toward $73,083, signaling bearish dominance. Conversely, if BTC price manages to climb past $96,000, it could build momentum toward the $100,000 milestone.

跌破關鍵支撐位 91,753 美元可能會為暴跌至 73,083 美元打開大門，表明看跌占主導地位。相反，如果 BTC 價格成功攀升至 96,000 美元以上，則可能會形成向 100,000 美元里程碑邁進的勢頭。

Bitcoin’s active addresses increased by 1.21% over the past 24 hours, reaching 9,747K, which indicated heightened engagement. This rise suggested more participants entering the market, likely driven by speculation surrounding the Mt. Gox movement.

在過去 24 小時內，比特幣的活躍地址增加了 1.21%，達到 9,747K，這表明參與度有所提高。這種上升表明更多參與者進入市場，可能是受到圍繞 Mt. Gox 運動的猜測所推動的。

Furthermore, increased network activity was a positive sign for demand, as it often correlated with stronger market health. Hence, sustained growth in active addresses could support Bitcoin’s recovery in the near term.

此外，網路活動的增加對需求來說是一個積極的信號，因為它通常與更強勁的市場健康狀況有關。因此，活躍地址的持續增長可能會在短期內支持比特幣的復甦。

The MVRV ratio, currently at 2.4 after a 1.17% decline, hinted at a cooling-off phase in speculative pressure. Historically, a lower ratio has aligned with healthier price levels, attracting long-term investors.

MVRV 比率在下降 1.17% 後目前為 2.4，暗示投機壓力已進入冷卻階段。從歷史上看，較低的比率與更健康的價格水平一致，吸引了長期投資者。

However, further declines might indicate waning confidence among participants, keeping traders cautious. Therefore, the MVRV ratio remained a crucial metric for gauging Bitcoin’s market position.

然而，進一步下跌可能表明參與者的信心減弱，從而使交易員保持謹慎。因此，MVRV 比率仍然是衡量比特幣市場地位的關鍵指標。

Exchange net inflows surged by 39.93%, totaling 19.545K BTC, raising concerns about potential sell-offs. Inflows to exchanges often signaled that traders were preparing to liquidate holdings, although not all inflows resulted in immediate selling.

交易所淨流入激增 39.93%，總計 19,545K BTC，引發了對潛在拋售的擔憂。流入交易所的資金通常表明交易者正準備清算所持資產，儘管並非所有資金流入都會立即拋售。

Therefore, monitoring exchange activity closely will be vital in determining whether this surge translates into bearish momentum or remains neutral.

因此，密切監控交易所活動對於確定這種飆升是否轉化為看跌勢頭或保持中立至關重要。

The ADX, currently at 30.53, indicates a moderately strong trend in the market. Meanwhile, the MACD shows bearish momentum following a crossover below the signal line.

ADX 目前為 30.53，顯示市場趨勢適度強勁。同時，MACD 在訊號線下方交叉後顯示出看跌勢頭。

However, the MACD’s position near the zero line suggests potential for a reversal if buyers regain control. Therefore, the technical indicators highlight the market’s delicate balance between bullish and bearish forces.

然而，MACD 位於零線附近的位置表明，如果買家重新獲得控制權，則可能會出現逆轉。因此，技術指標凸顯了市場多空力量之間的微妙平衡。

BTC derivatives activity has seen a notable uptick, with options volume rising by 39.63% to $2.94 billion. Open interest increased by 0.69% to $61.03 billion, while options open interest grew by 8.52% to $42.25 billion.

BTC 衍生性商品活動顯著增加，選擇權交易量成長 39.63% 至 29.4 億美元。未平倉合約成長 0.69% 至 610.3 億美元，選擇權未平倉合約成長 8.52% 至 422.5 億美元。

These figures reflect growing speculative interest, though the modest rise in open interest indicates limited directional conviction. Therefore, derivatives data suggests optimism but with an air of caution.

這些數字反映了投機興趣的增長，儘管未平倉合約的小幅增長表明方向性信念有限。因此，衍生性商品數據顯示出樂觀但謹慎的態度。