Mt. Gox的比特币[BTC]转移引发市场波动担忧，BTC能否突破阻力位或失去支撑风险？

Mt. Gox 转移 4930 万美元的比特币 [BTC] 在市场上引起了连锁反应，引发了人们对波动性加剧的担忧。

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Transfer, Key Levels In Focus

比特币价格分析：BTC 转账，焦点关键水平

Bitcoin’s (CRYPTO: BTC) price movements remained muted over the past 24 hours, as the world’s largest cryptocurrency consolidated within a critical range. At press time, BTC was trading at $94,435.63, reflecting a 0.72% dip.

比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）的价格走势在过去 24 小时内保持平静，因为世界上最大的加密货币在关键区间内盘整。截至发稿，BTC 交易价格为 94,435.63 美元，下跌 0.72%。

Bitcoin’s price movements over the past 24 hours were largely influenced by a massive Bitcoin transfer from Mt. Gox, totaling $49.3 million at current prices. Of this amount, $19 million was transferred to fresh wallets, while the remaining $30.6 million moved to a final wallet.

过去 24 小时内比特币的价格走势很大程度上受到来自 Mt. Gox 的大规模比特币转账的影响，按当前价格计算，总计 4930 万美元。其中，1900 万美元转移到新钱包，其余 3060 万美元转移到最终钱包。

This large-scale redistribution sparked concerns among traders, who feared that it could herald a wave of sell-offs, impacting Bitcoin’s price. However, the sell-off fears were yet to materialize, as evident from the minimal price decline.

这种大规模的重新分配引发了交易员的担忧，他们担心这可能预示着一波抛售潮，从而影响比特币的价格。然而，抛售担忧尚未成为现实，从价格跌幅最小可以看出。

As Bitcoin hovered around the $94,000 level, crucial support and resistance levels played a pivotal role in determining the cryptocurrency’s short-term trajectory.

当比特币徘徊在 94,000 美元水平附近时，关键的支撑位和阻力位在决定加密货币的短期轨迹方面发挥了关键作用。

A break below the critical support at $91,753 could open the door to a plunge toward $73,083, signaling bearish dominance. Conversely, if BTC price manages to climb past $96,000, it could build momentum toward the $100,000 milestone.

跌破关键支撑位 91,753 美元可能会为暴跌至 73,083 美元打开大门，表明看跌占主导地位。相反，如果 BTC 价格成功攀升至 96,000 美元以上，则可能会形成向 100,000 美元里程碑迈进的势头。

Bitcoin’s active addresses increased by 1.21% over the past 24 hours, reaching 9,747K, which indicated heightened engagement. This rise suggested more participants entering the market, likely driven by speculation surrounding the Mt. Gox movement.

过去 24 小时内，比特币的活跃地址增加了 1.21%，达到 9,747K，这表明参与度有所提高。这种上升表明更多参与者进入市场，可能是受到围绕 Mt. Gox 运动的猜测推动的。

Furthermore, increased network activity was a positive sign for demand, as it often correlated with stronger market health. Hence, sustained growth in active addresses could support Bitcoin’s recovery in the near term.

此外，网络活动的增加对需求来说是一个积极的信号，因为它通常与更强劲的市场健康状况相关。因此，活跃地址的持续增长可能会在短期内支持比特币的复苏。

The MVRV ratio, currently at 2.4 after a 1.17% decline, hinted at a cooling-off phase in speculative pressure. Historically, a lower ratio has aligned with healthier price levels, attracting long-term investors.

MVRV 比率在下降 1.17% 后目前为 2.4，暗示投机压力已进入冷却阶段。从历史上看，较低的比率与更健康的价格水平一致，吸引了长期投资者。

However, further declines might indicate waning confidence among participants, keeping traders cautious. Therefore, the MVRV ratio remained a crucial metric for gauging Bitcoin’s market position.

然而，进一步下跌可能表明参与者的信心减弱，从而使交易员保持谨慎。因此，MVRV 比率仍然是衡量比特币市场地位的关键指标。

Exchange net inflows surged by 39.93%, totaling 19.545K BTC, raising concerns about potential sell-offs. Inflows to exchanges often signaled that traders were preparing to liquidate holdings, although not all inflows resulted in immediate selling.

交易所净流入激增 39.93%，总计 19,545K BTC，引发了对潜在抛售的担忧。流入交易所的资金通常表明交易者正准备清算所持资产，尽管并非所有资金流入都会立即抛售。

Therefore, monitoring exchange activity closely will be vital in determining whether this surge translates into bearish momentum or remains neutral.

因此，密切监控交易所活动对于确定这种飙升是否转化为看跌势头或保持中性至关重要。

The ADX, currently at 30.53, indicates a moderately strong trend in the market. Meanwhile, the MACD shows bearish momentum following a crossover below the signal line.

ADX 目前为 30.53，表明市场趋势适度强劲。与此同时，MACD 在信号线下方交叉后显示出看跌势头。

However, the MACD’s position near the zero line suggests potential for a reversal if buyers regain control. Therefore, the technical indicators highlight the market’s delicate balance between bullish and bearish forces.

然而，MACD 位于零线附近的位置表明，如果买家重新获得控制权，则可能出现逆转。因此，技术指标凸显了市场多空力量之间的微妙平衡。

BTC derivatives activity has seen a notable uptick, with options volume rising by 39.63% to $2.94 billion. Open interest increased by 0.69% to $61.03 billion, while options open interest grew by 8.52% to $42.25 billion.

BTC 衍生品活动显着增加，期权交易量增长 39.63% 至 29.4 亿美元。未平仓合约增长 0.69% 至 610.3 亿美元，期权未平仓合约增长 8.52% 至 422.5 亿美元。

These figures reflect growing speculative interest, though the modest rise in open interest indicates limited directional conviction. Therefore, derivatives data suggests optimism but with an air of caution.

这些数字反映了投机兴趣的增长，尽管未平仓合约的小幅增长表明方向性信念有限。因此，衍生品数据显示出乐观但谨慎的态度。